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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

Europe Prepares for War

“War footing” looks different in East and West – but increasingly, the continent is focused on defense

Europe Prepares for War

DEEP DIVE – From large-scale military drills to increased defense spending to the continent’s easternmost nations fortifying their borders with [...] More

The Open Source Report

An Israeli soldier walks near tanks as they are stationed near the border with the Gaza Strip

Report for Thursday, September 18, 2025

As death toll passes 65,000, Israeli tanks push into major Gaza City residential area

Ukraine to receive Patriot and HIMARS missiles under new NATO funding

Russians with spy ties behind 2024 parcel explosions in Europe, Lithuania says

Beijing warns against ‘external interference’ on Taiwan, says China force for stability

Access Today’s Report

Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

China’s Gray War on America

Dave Pitts
Chip Usher

OPINION — In early 2024, the American public received a stark warning from top U.S. security officials. Chinese state-sponsored hackers, known as "Volt Typhoon," had penetrated not just data repositories but embedded [...] More

Drones are Funding Russia's War Against Ukraine

Joey Gagnard

OPINION — The war in Ukraine has evolved into a complex geopolitical conflict, shaped not only by military strategy but by global economic dependencies. While Western nations continue to provide financial and military [...] More

Threat Con 2025

News & Analysis

Can NATO Still Scare Putin?

Can NATO Still Scare Putin?

EXPERT INTERVIEW – Polish President Karol Nowrocki signed a classified decree over the weekend allowing armed forces of NATO member states to be [...] More

Opinion

Russia Pays the Price as Ukraine Targets Its Oil Refineries

OPINION — Following Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, Vladimir Putin expected a swift victory from his “special military operation.” Instead, it [...] More

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What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

WE’RE NOT GOING TO WAR WITH FUZZY FACES: An announcement was made yesterday by chief Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell highlighting how the Secretary of War is cracking down on grooming standards for the troops. Parnell shared a memo that his boss sent to Pentagon leaders on August 20 (way back when Pete Hegseth was known as the Secretary of Defense.) For many years, servicemen could get medical waivers allowing them to grow beards if they had conditions that prevented them from getting close shaves. (There is a condition known as Pseudofolliculitis barbae - aka “razor bumps” - that impacts men of subequatorial African [...] More

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Events

Live Events

Threat Conference

Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 19 October, 2025

Nighcap

Podcasts

State Secrets



Former CIA Director General David Petraeus (Ret.) doesn’t mince words: Russia’s 19-drone incursion into Polish airspace was no accident — it was a deliberate test of NATO’s resolve. Joining The State Secrets Podcast from Kyiv, Ukraine, General Petraeus lays out Ukraine’s breathtaking innovation in drone warfare, noting that units now fly thousands of missions daily, with entire regiments springing up to meet demand. But the Russians are innovating, too. So, what does that mean for the future of this war and those to come?

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment


Author and former Marine Elliot Ackerman’s latest tale is about an ex-CIA Ground Branch operator who goes by his call sign, “Skwerl” and a former Afghan special ops pilot who goes by the name “Big Cheese” so you’re probably already getting a good picture of Ackerman’s latest novel Sheepdogs, which follows Skwerl and Cheese on a globe-trotting adventure from Uganda to Marseille. Cipher Brief CEO & Publisher Suzanne Kelly welcomed Ackerman to the Cover Stories Studio to talk about missing handlers, hidden cargo and shadow war.