Members Only The Real Impact of Western-Supplied Arms to Ukraine
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT: A crucial decision by Germany to provide Leopard II main battle tanks to Ukraine and to allow other Leopard-equipped militaries to do […] More
Members-only Briefs & Analysis
Members Only 
Members Only What Japan’s Massive Defense Investment Means for the World
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT: Japan’s new security strategy is bringing unprecedented change to its military policy and is introducing a new dynamic for global collective […] More
Members Only What a World Rife with Volatility Means for the Energy Market
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The new year is bringing new concerns for the energy market and what that might mean for broader national security moving forward. […] More
Members Only Can Russia’s Military Recover in Ukraine?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — As the Russian war against Ukraine enters its 11th month, Moscow has fallen dramatically short of the military goals it set out last […] More
Members Only A Coming Year of Change in the Middle East
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — Change is a constant in the Middle East as the past several months have demonstrated with focused attention on protests in Iran, […] More
Members Only Russia’s Wounded Economy — How Bad is it?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The European Union has made its long-awaited decision to cap Russian crude oil at $60 per barrel and to prevent European companies from shipping […] More
Members Only Australia Under Cyber Siege
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — Australia has suffered enormous back-to-back cyberattacks in recent months. The first major attack hit Optus, Australia’s second-largest telecommunications company, in September. The […] More
The Nexus of Climate Change and National Security
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The COP27 conference in late November put climate change back on the agenda. The summit ended with an historic agreement to establish […] More
Members Only Deep Tech Dominates Future Trajectory of Commerce, National Security
EXPERT ANALYSIS — Deep tech ventures have steadily gained stature as keystones of future economic and national security success. This sector nevertheless faces stiff challenges. […] More
The Impact of a Single Missile
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — An explosion last week, in the eastern Polish village of Przewodow, killed two people and created heightened concern about just how quickly […] More
Closing the Gap in US Cruise Missile Defenses
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE – Following recent Russian airstrikes on Kyiv, Germany sent the first of four planned IRIS-T SLM air defense systems to Ukraine. France, the […] More
Members Only Are We Witnessing the First Global Energy Crisis?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — European Energy pressures exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, have forced a reset in energy production and supply. “I don’t believe there […] More
Members Only What Emperor for Life Looks Like in China
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — There was something unnerving about the 20th Party Congress of the Chinese Communist Party. It was orchestrated meticulously, except for the removal […] More
Members Only Tehran’s Protest Problem may run deeper than it thinks
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — Students at dozens of universities across Iran faced tear gas and gunfire over the weekend as they continue to defy officials in […] More
Is This Our Digital Sputnik Moment?
“Just as we pulled together as a nation in the early days of the space race, we simply must redouble our efforts to develop the […] More
Members Only How Dirty and Dangerous Will Putin Get in Ukraine?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE – Russian officials are warning of a nuclear ‘dirty bomb’ threat as Moscow continues attacking energy and civilian targets in Ukraine. It’s the […] More
Members Only China’s Post-Ukraine Playbook
Cipher Brief Expert and retired CIA Senior Executive Mark Kelton took part in a Russia panel during the recent Cipher Brief Threat Conference, along with […] More
Members Only Is a US – China Face-off over Taiwan Looming?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — Chinese President Xi Jinping opened the 20th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party on Sunday with a speech that makes clear where […] More
Taiwan and the Perils of Strategic Ambiguity
The concept of strategic ambiguity has its advantages but also its perils. It means that a US President may have just a few hours to […] More
Members Only Today’s Global Threat from Terrorism
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The US – Europe Group on Afghanistan, which includes special envoys and representatives for Afghanistan from France, Germany, Italy, Norway, the UK, […] More
Members Only The Impact of JCPOA
As the world waits to see whether a new nuclear deal will be agreed to with Iran, Cipher Brief CEO & Publisher Suzanne Kelly spoke […] More
Members Only Iran: Deal or No Deal?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The EU may be losing confidence in the prospect of a new nuclear agreement with Iran. The Iran nuclear deal, known as […] More
Members Only The Drone Series: What’s Over the Horizon?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE – Russian authorities say they shot down a Ukrainian drone over the area that serves as headquarters for the Russian Black Sea Fleet […] More
We Know Afghanistan’s Past but Where is it Headed?
The United States’ policy errors which led to the chaotic exit from Afghanistan were only surpassed by Pakistan’s blunder in championing the Taliban and the […] More