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Gray Zone

BLUF: The US Must Lead in Gray Zone Activity

As Washington works on the historically large defense budget, there is one theme which should loom large in the budget but comparatively, will cost [...] More

The Latest

Confidence, Interoperability, and the Limits of U.S. Decision Systems

OPINION -- In recent months, U.S. policy debates have increasingly acknowledged that the decisive contests of the 21st century will not be fought [...] More

Romania Pays the Cyber Price for Backing Ukraine. Where is the EU?

When ransomware groups hit Romania’s national water agency, its largest coal-fired power producer and oil pipeline operator all in recent months, it [...] More

The Next Battlefield Is Perception, Not Territory

The Gray Zone is no longer a peripheral space between war and peace. It has become the primary arena in which strategic advantage is tested and [...] More

The Cognitive Battlefield is Now Decisive Terrain

Senior policymakers, military leaders, technologists and narrative strategists had one thing on their minds as they gathered in a Reston conference [...] More

Iran at the Breaking Point: How Afghanistan and Iraq Still Inform U.S. Strategy

Iran is experiencing its most consequential period of internal unrest in years. Nationwide demonstrations driven by economic collapse, social [...] More

Two men in a serious conversation, one in a suit, the other in a military uniform.

The Kremlin Files: Russia’s Way to the Gray Zone

THE KREMLIN FILES / COLUMN — Russian hybrid warfare, often referred to in the West as “gray zone” conflict, has transitioned from theoretical concept [...] More

The Coast Guard's Mission in the Gray Zone

OPINION — U.S. defense planning rests on the assumption that wars are fought abroad, by expeditionary forces, against defined adversaries. For [...] More

The Country’s First ‘Cognitive Advantage’ Chief: Influence Is the New Battlefield

The Country’s First ‘Cognitive Advantage’ Chief: Influence Is the New Battlefield

WEEKEND INTERVIEW — In an era when foreign adversaries can shape public sentiment with a well-timed meme and a handful of AI-driven accounts, the [...] More

Uber Krysha: How Russia Turns Crime into Power—and Poison

Current discussion of Russian "hybrid warfare" tends to revolve around concepts like disinformation, proxy militias, cyber operations, sabotage, and [...] More

Venezuela’s Key Takeaways for the World

Venezuela’s Key Takeaways for the World

CIPHER BRIEF EXPERT INTERVIEW – While the U.S. operation to detain Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro took just hours to execute, a full assessment [...] More

A Trained Eye Sees Strategic Patterns in Venezuela

OPINION -- Venezuela presents a long-standing challenge tied to narcotics trafficking and transnational criminal networks. For years, the country has [...] More

2025: 10 Events That Changed the World

2025: 10 Events That Changed the World

SPECIAL REPORT — In a turbulent year, one of the biggest national security stories came in the form of a document.The administration’s National [...] More