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Gray Zone

Expert Q&A: Undersea Cables Under Attack, from Outside and Within

EXPERT Q&A — Reports of damage to undersea cables across the world are on the rise, with suspected foul play in many of these incidents. These cables [...] More

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The Latest

When States Go Mob: The Criminalization of Modern Statecraft

OPINION — In the fall of 2021, an FBI informant received a chilling offer: $300,000 to assassinate former U.S. National Security Advisor John Bolton. [...] More

Expert Q&A: Taiwan Prepares for China’s Next Move

EXPERT Q&A — Taiwan’s recent Han Kuang military exercises tested the island’s responses to a potential full-scale Chinese invasion. The drills not [...] More

Sabotage Without Warning: ​Why the Gray Zone Could Be America’s Biggest Blind Spot

Sabotage Without Warning: ​Why the Gray Zone Could Be America’s Biggest Blind Spot

EXPERT BRIEFING — Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk announced this week that 32 people have been detained since the start of Moscow’s war with [...] More

Battered but Not Broken: Why NATO Still Fears a Weakened Russia

Battered but Not Broken: Why NATO Still Fears a Weakened Russia

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – President Donald Trump announced new arms shipments for Ukraine on Monday and threatened Russia with “very severe tariffs” [...] More

Resetting Ukraine Negotiations Could Prevent a Shift in Great Power Competition

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The change in U.S. posture toward Ukraine, the expanding fracture between the U.S. and NATO, and what appears, at least for now, [...] More

Russia and the ‘Gray Zone’ of War 

Russia and the ‘Gray Zone’ of War 

EXPERT INTERVIEWS – It’s a theater of conflict that isn’t quite war – or a war that is fought in the shadows, using non-traditional and hard-to-trace [...] More

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Tariffs Overlook Gray Zone Threats Posed by China

OPINION — The recent tariffs against China are obviously getting a lot of attention. China is a major trading partner, so the idea of an escalating [...] More

How is War Fought in the Gray Zone?

Beth Sanner is a principal member of The Cipher Brief’s Gray Zone Group, a gathering of experts focused on raising awareness of adversarial [...] More

How Can the U.S. better manage the Gray Zone?

This is part three in a three-part series by Cipher Brief Expert and former Assistant Director of CIA for South and Central Asia Dave Pitts, who also [...] More

What are our Adversaries trying to achieve in the Gray Zone? 

This is part 2 of a 3-part series by Cipher Brief Expert and former Assistant Director of CIA for South and Central Asia Dave Pitts, who also serves [...] More

The Undersea Cable War Hits Taiwan

EXPERT INTERVIEW — Undersea cables have been dominating the headlines in recent months - specifically, repeated episodes in which damage has been [...] More

Welcome to the Gray Zone and the Future of Great Power Competition

This is part one of a 3-part series by Cipher Brief Expert and former Assistant Director of CIA for South and Central Asia Dave Pitts, who also [...] More