The Cipher Take

Our Daily Breakdown of Headlines Around the World

Headline: U.S. Intelligence Detects “Unusual” North Korean Submarine Activity

U.S. intelligence spotted a North Korean submarine about 60 miles from shore Thursday, much farther than normal deployments, according to two U.S. officials who spoke to CNN. The news comes after previous intelligence had suggested North Korea had just tested a component for a submarine-launched ballistic missile and might be preparing for either another ICBM test or a submarine-launched ballistic missile test. North Korea’s July 4 ICBM test demonstrated a new technical capability that would allow it to hit U.S. territory in Alaska, although experts believe such missiles are still inaccurate.

The Cipher Take:

The submarine in question is believed to be a Romeo-class submarine. U.S. intelligence has been tracking the submarine for at least 48 hours, and Washington and Seoul have raised alert levels for military forces in the region. It is unclear whether the submarine’s activity is related to missile test preparations. North Korea possesses several of these Cold War-era subs, although they are not believed to be capable of firing a ballistic missile. North Korea has only one Sinpo-class submarine believed to have this capability, and it conducted its first successful test in August after several test failures. Given the nascent stage of North Korea’s submarine-launched missile, it is unlikely it would conduct a test so far out at sea.

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