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Global Challenges for 47th President: Two Major Wars, and Avoiding Conflict With China

EXPERT OPINION — As Americans vote, and an anxious nation awaits the results, we turned to a member of our expert network with extensive global [...] More

Why the ‘Philadelphi Corridor’ May Derail a Gaza Deal

DEEP DIVE — A small sliver of territory lies at the heart of the desperate international effort to free Hamas’ remaining hostages, and bring at least [...] More

Assessing the 'Last Opportunity' for a Gaza Ceasefire Deal

EXPERT INTERVIEWS— In the last-gasp negotiations for a Gaza ceasefire underway in Cairo, the negotiating teams reflect the high stakes of the moment. [...] More

What Happened to Iran’s Promised Revenge Against Israel?

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT — Cipher Brief Experts suggest a range of possible explanations for Iran's delay in delivering promised retaliation toward [...] More

War, Legitimacy and Context in the Middle East

OPINION — Gaza. The word immediately evokes images of wartime carnage. For us, however, it represents something else: an example of the danger [...] More

U.S. Moving Big Guns to the Middle East to Deter, Protect and Defend

EXPERT Q&A — The U.S. began moving additional military assets to the Middle East in anticipation of a direct attack on Israel after the assassination [...] More

Spoilers that could Ignite 'Tinder Box' in the Middle East

SUBSCRIBER+EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW – Since the killing of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran nearly two weeks ago, world leaders are urging [...] More

Israel's Internal Division are Opportunities for its Adversaries

OPINION — Before Hamas’ attack on October 7, Israel’s security leaders issued multiple warnings that internal strife - then mainly over Netanyahu’s [...] More

The Last Ten Yards of Hostage Negotiations

OPINION — “Based on everything we’ve been doing for these last now really six months – because starting in January, we believed and we continue to [...] More

Israel, the U.S. and the Politics of 2,000-Pound Bombs 

SUBSCRIBER+ EXCLUSIVE REPORTING — While the public focus of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s visit to Washington this week has been on his [...] More

Israel's Fragile North and the Art of 'Intelligence' Diplomacy

EXPERT Q&A – Tensions along Israel’s northern border have been increasing over the past several weeks with Iranian-backed Hezbollah firing more than [...] More

How Hezbollah Fundraises Through Crime

OPINION — Hours after Hamas massacred 1,200 Israelis on October 7, Hezbollah opened a second front against Israel on its northern border, re-igniting [...] More