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Cipher Brief Expert View

Chinese Ghost Machines: The Hidden Risk in Australia's Energy Infrastructure

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The recent revelations from Reuters and other U.S. news outlets, detailing the discovery of "rogue" communication devices [...] More

The Latest

What Comes After Istanbul Will Define Ukraine

Never give in—never, never, never, never, in nothing great or small, large or petty, never give in except to convictions of honor and good sense. [...] More

Tariffs Delivered the Jolt - Now Comes the Build

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION — Bold moves lead to bold outcomes. President Trump understood that reshaping global trade would bring short-term pain, [...] More

Resetting Ukraine Negotiations Could Prevent a Shift in Great Power Competition

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The change in U.S. posture toward Ukraine, the expanding fracture between the U.S. and NATO, and what appears, at least for now, [...] More

Trump is Handing Europe its Turn to Lead

OPINION / EXPERT PERSPECTIVE (LONDON) – U.S. President Donald Trump has only been back in the White House for 6 weeks, but the reaction in Europe to [...] More

The Art of Negotiating with Vladimir Putin

OPINION / EXPERT PERSPECTIVE – As talks move forward between the U.S. and Russia with the intention of an agreement to end Moscow's war in Ukraine - [...] More

Will the new Administration bring new opportunity on Afghanistan?

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION — In April of 2024, I offered some thoughts in The Cipher Brief on a possible way forward in Afghanistan. That approach [...] More

The world can't afford another 'Mafia Don' war when it comes to Russia

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION – The upcoming peaceful inauguration of the next U.S. president should serve as a reminder to the world of the virtues [...] More

Supreme Leader Khamenei’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Year

“Fate is a wheel that turns; in our pride, we sometimes forget how swiftly it can crush us beneath it.” - Attributed to Shah Ismail I, founder of the [...] More

Are We Positioned to Win the Race for AI Supremacy?

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION — In the high-stakes geostrategic race for artificial intelligence supremacy, the United States faces an unexpected [...] More

Avoiding Strategic Surprise will be key in the next Administration

EXPERT Q&A – The Cipher Brief tapped Dave Pitts, former Assistant Director of CIA for South and Central Asia and range of other experts with deep [...] More

Sinwar is Dead. What Does it Mean for Power Dynamics in the Region?

EXPERT Q&A – In what many Cipher Brief Experts are calling one of the most significant events in the year-long war in Gaza, the killing of Hamas [...] More