Skip to content
Search

Latest Stories

TCB Conference Banner
cipherbrief

Welcome! Log in to stay connected and make the most of your experience.

Input clean

Afghanistan

Confidence, Interoperability, and the Limits of U.S. Decision Systems

OPINION -- In recent months, U.S. policy debates have increasingly acknowledged that the decisive contests of the 21st century will not be fought [...] More

The Latest

Iran at the Breaking Point: How Afghanistan and Iraq Still Inform U.S. Strategy

Iran is experiencing its most consequential period of internal unrest in years. Nationwide demonstrations driven by economic collapse, social [...] More

A Fragile Truce at the Durand Line: Will the Afghanistan–Pakistan Ceasefire Last?

One of the most enduring security issues in South Asia has been rekindled by the recent border conflicts between the Taliban-led Afghanistan and [...] More

Afghanistan Is Becoming India and Pakistan’s Proxy Battlefield—Again

On Oct. 15, 2025, Islamabad and Kabul announced a 48-hour ceasefire after days of shelling and cross-border clashes around Spin Boldak/Chaman and in [...] More

Talks, Deception, and Terror: The Taliban Subsumed Under Al Qaeda’s Strategic Umbrella

There has been an argument suggesting that the international community—particularly the United States—should engage with the Taliban to hold them [...] More

I Sat Across the Table from China’s Spies. Here’s How They Operate in Fragile States

In 2016, I sat across the table from China’s Director of Operations for the Ministry of State Security (MSS). Their visit to Kabul was tightly [...] More

Russia’s Outreach to the Taliban: Strategic Calculations or Regional Security Fears?

In recent weeks, reports of Russia considering formal engagement and recognition of the Taliban have reignited debate around international approaches [...] More

Why Al Qaeda Refuses to Die

Why Al Qaeda Refuses to Die

DEEP DIVE — More than two decades after the 9/11 terrorist attacks, Al Qaeda is not only alive — it has adapted, expanded, and quietly embedded [...] More

From Kabul to Kyiv: Lessons the U.S. Must Heed for Peace

Since the beginning of the war in Ukraine, I’ve found the familiar rhetoric supporting Ukraine’s right to self-defense against Russian aggression [...] More

Afghanistan's Tale of Two Extremist Movements

OPINION — There has been considerable comparison between the Taliban and Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), as both groups originated from extremist [...] More

How Far Might a U.S.-Taliban Engagement Go?

How Far Might a U.S.-Taliban Engagement Go?

EXPERT INTERVIEWS — The Taliban government in Afghanistan enjoys no formal recognition from the rest of the world, thanks largely to a poor human [...] More

Taliban’s Internal Power Struggle: A Regime on the Brink

A few months ago, I received an unexpected message from a well-placed source within the Taliban. That message led to a series of secured phone calls, [...] More

Will the new Administration bring new opportunity on Afghanistan?

In April of 2024, I offered some thoughts in The Cipher Brief on a possible way forward in Afghanistan. That approach certainly wasn’t perfect or [...] More