How an Escalation to War Could Happen with Iran

By Steven Ward

Steven R. Ward is a former member of CIA’s senior analytic service who specializes in Middle East security affairs. He also served as Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East on the National Intelligence Council, and was a Director for Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council. He is the author of Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence: A Concise History, Georgetown University Press.

A series of events last week led to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Iran. While tensions had seemed to ease somewhat on Friday, President Trump tweeted on Sunday ‘If Iran wants to fight, that will be the official end of Iran. Never threaten the United States again!’

Intelligence sources told The New York Times last week that members of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corp (IRGC) had been loading missiles on to ships in what intelligence officials saw as an escalatory move toward a potential attack.

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