Top U.S. Commanders See Major Pacific Risks

Leaders of Indo-Pacific and Special Operations commands warn of Pacific War Risks

United States Pacific Air Force and Philippines Air Force personnel pose for pictures in front of a U.S. Air Force F-16 fighter jet, during the United States-Philippines ‘Cope Thunder’ Air Forces joint exercise, in Angeles City, Philippines, on April 07, 2025. (Photo by Daniel Ceng/Anadolu via Getty Images)

By Tom Nagorski

Tom Nagorski is the Managing Editor for The Cipher Brief.  He previously served as Global Editor for Grid and served as ABC News Managing Editor for International Coverage as well as Senior Broadcast Producer for World News Tonight.

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING — A pair of top U.S. military commanders warned Congress last week of dangers in their areas of operations which could factor in a potential war with China: the catastrophic fallout from a conflict over Taiwan; and the risk that the U.S. is falling behind in both military innovation and non-kinetic areas. 

In separate appearances, Admiral Samuel J. Paparo Jr., Commander of INDOPACOM, painted a nightmarish picture of what a Taiwan war might look like; and Army Gen. Bryan P. Fenton, Commander of U.S. Special Operations Command (USSOCOM), suggested ways in which the U.S. risked finding itself at a disadvantage in any such conflict.

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