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South China Sea

China Holds Annual Two Sessions Political Meetings-NPC

China's Military: Five Lessons from the Iran War

It may seem early to be drawing lessons from the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, but one of the world’s most powerful militaries has already reached [...] More

The Latest

Eighty Years On, Can the UN Meet Its Mission?

OPINION — The 80th ordinary session of the United Nations ended on September 8, 2026. During this year, the UN will have an opportunity to help [...] More

China Can Do More to Improve Relations with the U.S.

OPINION — Secretary of State Marco Rubio met with his Chinese counterpart, Foreign Minister Wang Yi, at the ASEAN Summit. Rubio described the [...] More

A U.S.-Philippines ‘Full-Battle Test’ Aimed at China 

OPINION — “Beijing's aggressive maneuvers around Taiwan are not just exercises – they are dress rehearsals for forced unification…Russia's growing [...] More

Amid Tensions with China, The Philippines Worries About the U.S.

Amid Tensions with China, The Philippines Worries About the U.S.

EXPERT INTERVIEW – As the world trains its focus on the headlines about Ukraine — the U.S. pivot to Russia, the pause on American support to Ukraine, [...] More

Why Political Change in the Philippines May Mean Trouble for the U.S. 

OPINION — Domestic geopolitics matters. The recent departure of Philippine Vice President Sara Duterte-Carpio from President Bongbong Marcos’s [...] More

EXPERT ANALYSIS: Escalating Tensions Between China and the Philippines Could Draw the U.S. Into Conflict

EXPERT ANALYSIS: Escalating Tensions Between China and the Philippines Could Draw the U.S. Into Conflict

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT — Long-simmering tensions in the South China Sea and a recent spate of close calls and violent run-ins involving China and the [...] More

South China Sea Flareups Raise Fears of Wider Conflict

South China Sea Flareups Raise Fears of Wider Conflict

SUBSCRIBER+ EXCLUSIVE REPORTING — The South China Sea is boiling again. This month, the Philippines accused China’s coast guard of deploying water [...] More

Track 2 Talks Aimed at Preventing Conflict with China

OPINION – The need to avoid war and military confrontation was the focus of Track 2 talks with China following the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation [...] More

War is the Realm of Uncertainty

Pulitzer Prize Winning Journalist Walter Pincus is a contributing senior national security columnist at The Cipher Brief. He spent forty years at The [...] More

Multilateralism and the South China Sea

The Cipher Brief’s Academic Incubator partners with national security-focused programs from colleges and Universities across the country to share the [...] More

The China Problem

The China Problem

Secretary of State Mike Pompeo called out China’s claims in the South China Sea this week, saying they are “completely unlawful.” It was a [...] More

The Uneasy Balance between Care and Provocation

OPINION — This past March and April, US Naval Forces attached to Central Command carried out live fire exercises in the North Persian Gulf’s [...] More