Exclusive Interview: A Sobering Battlefield Assessment in Ukraine
ZAPORIZHZHIA, UKRAINE – AUGUST 11: A hole left by missile near a hotel. (Photo by Elena Tita/Global Images Ukraine via Getty Images) “The Cipher Brief […] More
Europe
Prigozhin’s Uncertain Fate
EXPERT PERPECTIVE — In the wake of Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin’s 36-hour mutiny and the scant and the confusing smoke signals emanating from the Kremlin […] More
CIA Director: Putin’s Hold on Power Betrays “Significant Weaknesses”
CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – A social contract that Russian President Vladimir Putin has engineered over the decades to cement his authority may now be showing signs […] More
Western Focus Sharpens on China Over Black Sea Grain Deal
EXCLUSIVE SUBSCRIBER+ INTERVIEW — In the wake of a Kremlin decision to halt a U.N.-brokered Black Sea agreement, which allowed Ukraine to export tens of millions […] More
NATO’s Four Big Challenges: A Subscriber+Exclusive Interview
Exclusive Subscriber+Interview — This week’s NATO Summit in Vilnius may have fallen short of the clear path to membership that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has […] More
NATO Intel Chief Warns Russia: Ukraine ‘belongs in the NATO family’
CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – In late 2021, NATO Assistant Secretary for Intelligence and Security David Cattler traveled to Kyiv, Ukraine, just around the time Russian […] More
Erdogan’s ‘Poker Game’ Uses Sweden As Chip: A Subscriber+Exclusive Interview
Exclusive Subscriber+Member Interview — In a flurry of negotiations on the eve of the NATO summit, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan revealed himself as the […] More
What Iran is Really After: A Subscriber+Exclusive Interview
EXCLUSIVE SUBSCRIBER+INTERVIEW — Iranian forces recently attempted to seize two oil tankers in separate incidents within a few hours of each other in the Gulf […] More
The Race to Write the World’s First AI Rule Book
CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING — Designed to drum up the world’s first AI rulebook, the European Union’s proposed Artificial Intelligence Act is a far-reaching legal framework […] More
The Stakes in Ukraine are Greater than you Think
SUBSCRIBER+EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW – On the eve of a widely predicted Ukrainian offensive along a 900-mile front that includes a bevy of fixed Russian positions, the very nature […] More
Intelligence in the Age of New Global Alliances
ANALYSIS/INTERVIEW — Chinese President Xi Jinping’s visit to Moscow this week demonstrates Beijing’s strongest support yet for Russian President Vladimir Putin and the China-Russia alliance, […] More
Are We Witnessing the First Global Energy Crisis?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — European Energy pressures exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, have forced a reset in energy production and supply. “I don’t believe there […] More
The New Age of Energy Crisis and Diplomacy
The energy pressures created by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine are continuing to shape a new global energy future. An EU embargo on Russian coal imports […] More
NATO Prepares for Battle
In an apparent reversal of more than 200 years of military neutrality, Sweden’s governing party on Sunday, announced that it will support an application to […] More
Energy’s Impact on Europe’s Moral Imperative
French President Emmanuel Macron is joining other European leaders in support of an EU Russian oil embargo according to French officials. French Finance Minister Bruno […] More
Putting Europe’s Energy Problem into Perspective
Foreign Ministers from Ireland, Lithuania and the Netherlands say the European Union is drafting proposals for an oil embargo on Russia as news of civilian […] More
The OSINT Global Trendline Report
The Cipher Brief’s Open Source Trend Line Report utilizes open source data to track trends around the world that impact national and global security. We break the world […] More
OSINT Global Trendline Report: Europe
The Cipher Brief’s Open Source Trend Line Report utilizes open source data on a quarterly basis to track trends around the world that impact national and global […] More