The Cipher Brief

DNI Day Two: Building the Intelligence Community for 2045

A new DNI should refocus ODNI on enterprise leadership, modernize intelligence investment, and close the seams adversaries exploit across the national security landscape.

Author's NoteIn our first paper, DNI Day One: Three Strategic Decisions for National Security Evolution, we identified three challenges confronting [...] More

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Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

The AI Bubble and the Growing National Security Problem

The AI Bubble and the Growing National Security Problem

The AI bubble is not a capability bubble. It is an expectation bubble. National security leaders are treating AI as a replacement for analysts, [...] More

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SHRIMP DIPLOMACY FOR GREENLAND? President Trump's push to acquire Greenland has been sold as a matter of Arctic security, rare earth minerals and countering Chinese influence – all of which makes sense for the U.S. presence that already exists there. But one Trump appointee recently added another benefit to the list: bringing back unlimited shrimp at Red Lobster. In the “we can’t make this up” category, Tom Dans, chairman of the U.S. Arctic Research Commission, reportedly told The New Yorker that America could absorb Greenland's seafood exports, cut China out of the supply chain and restore the restaurant chain's [...] More

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State Secrets

What happens when one of Hollywood's most influential futurists sits down with a former NSA Director?

In this special State Secrets conversation, Ronald D. Moore—the creator behind For All Mankind, Battlestar Galactica, and Star Trek—joins former NSA and U.S. Cyber Command Commander Gen. Timothy Haugh to explore the increasingly blurred line between science fiction and national security reality.

From the new space race and AI-powered disinformation to cyber warfare, Russia, China, and the future of conflict, this wide-ranging discussion reveals how the stories we imagine today may become tomorrow's strategic challenges.

Are we entering a technological revolution as consequential as the space race? And who is best positioned to anticipate what's next—the intelligence community or the storytellers imagining the future?