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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

The Hormuz Standoff: Global Energy Flow Severs After 'Epic Fury' Strikes

As tankers idle and insurers pull coverage, Iran’s mine threat turns the world’s most vital oil chokepoint into a high-stakes test of U.S. deterrence and global economic resilience.

Commercial vessels divert to UAE coasts amid navigation issues

The Hormuz Standoff: Global Energy Flow Severs After 'Epic Fury' StrikesAs tensions in and around Iran proliferate, the narrow waterway between Iran [...] More

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The Open Source Report

Explosions heard in Tehran as new Israeli airstrikes hit Iranian capital

Global Intelligence Report for Monday, March 2, 2026

U.S. confirms American troops killed and wounded in Iran clashes, Trump says more ‘likely’ to die

CIA shared ‘high fidelity’ intelligence with Israel, empowering fatal Iran strikes

U.S. uses cyber, information warfare to pressure Iranian regime defections

Unrest across Pakistan as protestors attempt to storm U.S. consulate


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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Breaking Down our "Red October" Moment for AI

Mark Munsell

OPINION -- In the climax of the 1990 movie “The Hunt for Red October”, the Soviet captain of the V.K. Konovalov makes a fatal error. Intent on destroying the defecting Red October submarine, he orders his crew to [...] More

The Transparency Challenge: Europe’s Defense Supply Chain Blind Spot—and Why the Pentagon Went to War Footing

Joey Gagnard

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — In this issue we will discuss how the security of the defense industrial base (DIB) has moved from a logistics concern to a Tier-1 strategic threat. While the U.S. has transitioned to an [...] More

News & Analysis

After the Strikes: Is Iran on the Brink?

After the Strikes: Is Iran on the Brink?

EXPERT INTERVIEW – U.S. and Israeli forces intensified their unprecedented military campaign against Iran over the weekend, striking strategic [...] More

Opinion

Purpose-Built or Perilous: Congress Faces a Critical FBI Headquarters Decision

Purpose-Built or Perilous: Congress Faces a Critical FBI Headquarters Decision

OPINION – Congress is weighing a decision with critical National Security implications for generations to come: where to locate the next FBI [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

IRAN AMOK: If you read Friday’s Nightcap newsletter, then you already knew - just hours before the U.S. and Israel began launching attacks against Iran - that there were a number of signs that it may happen this weekend. A wave of attacks and retaliatory attacks has kept cable networks going 24/7 – but here are a few oddball items you might have missed:LOOSE LIPS? On Friday afternoon, attorney Mark Geragos was reportedly chowing down at a well-known DC restaurant, Joe's Seafood, Prime Steak & Stone Crab just before he was planning to go record a podcast from the bar with TMZ boss Harvey Levin. But four men sitting at a [...] More

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Events

Live Events

The Cipher Brief 2026 HONORS Awards

The Cipher Brief 2026 HONORS Awards

Join us for the third annual Cipher Brief Honors Dinner, the evening of March 13, 2026. This Black-Tie event is invite only, please apply here for a [...] More

Upcoming: 13 March, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

Sir Richard Moore gets serious with the State Secrets podcast about the impact that intelligence alliances will have on future security, shares what he knows about China and Russia, lays out the ways in which AI and other technologies will impact the intelligence mission and oh yeah, aliens. We actually asked him about that. Find out what he had to say in this episode of the State Secrets podcast - recorded just as he prepares to accept this year’s Cipher Brief HONORS Award for Impact in Alliance.

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment


David McCloskey, former CIA Analyst turned novelist is out with his fourth book, The Persian, about an Iranian dentist who is recruited by Mossad to take on a dangerous mission inside Iran. Cover Stories Host Suzanne Kelly digs in on how McCloskey’s real-life Intelligence background fueled his latest novel, and discovers a few of McCloskey’s own secrets along the way.