Hayden: A World Both Dangerous and More Complicated

“The world has been more dangerous, but it has never been more complicated.” These were the words Michael Hayden, former director of both CIA and NSA, used to launch the 2018 Threat Report at The Cipher Brief’s Annual Threat Conference in Sea Island, Ga., on Sunday. Hayden first prefaced the discussion with a few long-term threats of his own, including the effects of climate change on U.S. strategic position in the world and the withdrawal of the U.S.-led Bretton Woods world order.

Hayden then delved into the evolving dynamics of China’s strategic competition from the east, a revisionist Russia, the challenges on a path toward a denuclearized North Korea, an increasingly influential Tehran and the small footprint of U.S. counterterrorism strategy in the Trump Administration.

“The Cipher Brief has become the most popular outlet for former intelligence officers; no media outlet is even a close second to The Cipher Brief in terms of the number of articles published by formers.” —Sept. 2018, Studies in Intelligence, Vol. 62

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