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What Would It Take to End the Regime in Iran?

What Would it Take to End the Regime in Iran?

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – As U.S. President Donald Trump demands Iran’s “unconditional surrender” and hints that Iran’s Supreme Leader could also be [...] More

How Things Could go from Worse to Devastating for Iran

How Things Could go from Worse to Devastating for Iran

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – Given the state of damage Iran has suffered since Israel launched a devastating round of airstrikes targeting nuclear and [...] More

The Pathways to a New U.S.-Iran Nuclear Deal

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT - In the early days of the Trump administration, talk of peace deals and ceasefires were focused on the wars in Ukraine and in [...] More

Parsing the Opportunity from Extreme Challenges in the Middle East

EXPERT INTERVIEW / PERSPECTIVE – The Middle East has changed dramatically over the past four years, creating both extraordinary challenges and [...] More

Supreme Leader Khamenei’s Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad Year

“Fate is a wheel that turns; in our pride, we sometimes forget how swiftly it can crush us beneath it.” - Attributed to Shah Ismail I, founder of the [...] More

Global Challenges for 47th President: Two Major Wars, and Avoiding Conflict With China

EXPERT OPINION — As Americans vote, and an anxious nation awaits the results, we turned to a member of our expert network with extensive global [...] More

Assessing the 'Last Opportunity' for a Gaza Ceasefire Deal

EXPERT INTERVIEWS— In the last-gasp negotiations for a Gaza ceasefire underway in Cairo, the negotiating teams reflect the high stakes of the moment. [...] More

What Happened to Iran’s Promised Revenge Against Israel?

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT — Cipher Brief Experts suggest a range of possible explanations for Iran's delay in delivering promised retaliation toward [...] More

U.S. Moving Big Guns to the Middle East to Deter, Protect and Defend

EXPERT Q&A — The U.S. began moving additional military assets to the Middle East in anticipation of a direct attack on Israel after the assassination [...] More

Spoilers that could Ignite 'Tinder Box' in the Middle East

SUBSCRIBER+EXCLUSIVE INTERVIEW – Since the killing of Hamas political leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran nearly two weeks ago, world leaders are urging [...] More

U.S. Adversaries Create a Web of Threats

EXPERT Q&A — Closer collaboration between China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea - increasingly referred to as the ‘Axis of Authoritarians’ - requires [...] More

Americans Need to Understand We're Living in a New Era of Global Threats

EXPERT Q&A – Experts have been concerned in recent times, about national security threats emanating from China, Russia, Iran, and North Korea but a [...] More