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News & Analysis

Sunrise in New York City

Reflect, Remember, Renew

PERSONAL REFLECTION -- Majestic blue skies greeted me as I turned into the Pentagon’s North Parking lot on Tuesday morning, September 11, 2001. As I [...] More

United States Americas North America

The Latest

TOPSHOT-IRAN-US-ISRAEL-WAR-TRANSPORT-HORMUZ

There Will be Unseen Costs to be Paid over the War in Iran. Who is Weighing Them?

EXPERT INTERVIEW – With an interim agreement expected as early as today between the U.S. and Iran aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz to shipping [...] More

Middle East Iran Brad Christian
We've Seen Autonomous Warfare and We're in Trouble

We've Seen Autonomous Warfare and We're in Trouble

Editor’s note- Russia's war in Ukraine has fundamentally changed the character of warfare, proving that autonomous and attritable drones are no [...] More

Tech/Cyber Xen
TOPSHOT-RUSSIA-UKRAINE-CONFLICT-WAGNER

The Continued Myth of Russia’s Imminent Collapse: Lessons from Prigozhin’s Mutiny Three Years On

KREMLIN FILES/COLUMN: Three years ago, in June 2023, the Kremlin confronted one of the most dramatic internal crises of Vladimir Putin's [...] More

U.S. Military Launches Operation Epic Fury Attacking Iran

Endless Warfare – Part II: Countering Endless Warfare and its Networks

Author’s Note: This article is not about ‘endless wars’ as a critique of U.S. military interventions — that debate belongs elsewhere. It examines a [...] More

United States Americas Dave Pitts North America
TURKEY-NATO-SUMMIT-DIPLOMACY

What's at Stake as NATO Meets in Ankara

As NATO leaders gather in Ankara this week, the alliance faces a myriad of security challenges unlike anything it has confronted in decades.With [...] More

International NATO
CIA

DNI Day Two: Building the Intelligence Community for 2045

Author's NoteIn our first paper, DNI Day One: Three Strategic Decisions for National Security Evolution, we identified three challenges confronting [...] More

Renee Pruneau Novakoff Intelligence
Propaganda paintings with american flag an "Down with the USA text" in Tehran, Iran - stock photo

What Iran Wants and How It Can Still Fight

U.S. Vice President JD Vance is touting success out of the latest round of talks in Switzerland focused on seeking a permanent end to the war in [...] More

Middle East Iran
US-POLITICS-OBAMA-INTELLIGENCE

DNI Day One: Three Strategic Decisions for National Security Evolution

Authors’ Note:This paper is intended to frame a discussion, not settle one.Too often, debates about intelligence reform begin with organizational [...] More

Renee Pruneau Novakoff Intelligence
Pentagon On Lockdown Briefly After False Air Quality Alert

The AI Race Won't Be Won by the Best Model—But by the Fastest Military

The United States Intelligence Community does not ordinarily deal in hyperbole. When the Office of the Director of National Intelligence released its [...] More

United States Americas North America
US-RUSSIA-POLITICS-INTELLIGENCE-HACKING-REPRISALS

Expect Russia to Escalate Its Attacks on our Democracies

The Kremlin Files: For many in the West, Russian information warfare still conjures images of hacked emails, troll farms, and social media [...] More

U.S. Continues Maritime Blockade In Strait Of Hormuz

Middle East at the Brink: Norm Roule on Iran, Israel, and the High-Stakes Struggle Taking Shape

As tensions between Israel and Iran continue to evolve following a weekend Iranian ballistic missile attack against Israel, policymakers and markets [...] More

Middle East Iran
Defense Department Showcases Multi-Domain Autonomous Display In Pentagon's Courtyard

Can the Pentagon’s New Innovation System Deliver?

Welcome to The Iron Triangle, the Cipher Brief column serving Procurement Officers tasked with buying the future, Investors funding the next [...] More

Joey Gagnard