Members Only Are We Witnessing the First Global Energy Crisis?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — European Energy pressures exacerbated by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, have forced a reset in energy production and supply. “I don’t believe there […] More
Latest Europe Briefs
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Members Only The New Age of Energy Crisis and Diplomacy
The energy pressures created by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine are continuing to shape a new global energy future. An EU embargo on Russian coal imports […] More
Today’s Terrorist Threat
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — MI5 Director General, Ken McCallum’s, joint address on 6th July with the FBI Chief saw a welcome rebalancing of the Security Service’s […] More
Members Only The Drone Series: A New Battle in the Air
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE: The presence of drones/UAV’s in armed conflicts as varied as Syria, Nagorno-Karabakh, and Ukraine is not only influencing military tactics and strategy but it’s […] More
Members Only The Drone Series: Expanding Horizons for Drone Technology
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE: Superlatives have been piling up about a weapon of war that’s been around for decades, but has taken on new prominence across the battlefields […] More
Members Only The Waves left by the Sinking of the Moskva
EXPERT ANALYSIS — While the sinking of the Russian cruiser and Black Sea flagship Moskva is unquestionably the most eye-catching episode in the conflict at […] More
Members Only NATO Prepares for Battle
In an apparent reversal of more than 200 years of military neutrality, Sweden’s governing party on Sunday, announced that it will support an application to […] More
Energy’s Impact on Europe’s Moral Imperative
French President Emmanuel Macron is joining other European leaders in support of an EU Russian oil embargo according to French officials. French Finance Minister Bruno […] More
Members Only Putting Europe’s Energy Problem into Perspective
Foreign Ministers from Ireland, Lithuania and the Netherlands say the European Union is drafting proposals for an oil embargo on Russia as news of civilian […] More
This is NATO’s Casablanca Moment
OPINION — In the 1942 Hollywood classic Casablanca, Ingrid Bergman, playing Ilsa Lund famously says, “Play it, Sam.” A little under a year later, the […] More
Winter is Coming: Global Energy Markets and the Impact on National Security
Colder weather is settling in around much of the globe and after a year and a half of managing a global pandemic, energy markets are […] More
Intelligence Sharing in a Complicated World: The Future of Five Eyes
In the midst of World War II, facing multiple threats in a complicated series of engagements around the world, the US and the UK entered […] More
A New World of Global Security: A Briefing with Sir John Sawers
The new COVID-19 national security world is one shaped by a host of national and global security issues that were impacted – both good and […] More
Operation Fortitude: A Lesson in Deception from D-Day
(Photo caption: Full-size dummy LCTs, codenamed BIGBOB, moored in South East England before the Normandy invasion (British Imperial War Museums, photograph H 42527, public domain). This […] More
Members Only Is Russia getting away with Murder?
(The Cipher Brief 2020 Threat Conference will host an interactive session on this topic during The Cipher Brief Threat Conference September 13-15. Find details in […] More
Members Only A Look Inside the Justice Department’s National Security Priorities
Last week, the Justice Department brought an indictment against two individuals accused of working with China’s Ministry of State Security to conduct a decade-long cyber […] More
Members Only Are We Ready for Another Shock?
OPINION — “Black swans” are events that arrive as unwelcome surprises and have significant effects on nations and societies. They can upend the status quo […] More
NATO Imagines Future Warfare
Innovation is a key component of readiness when it comes to future threats. NATO’s Innovation Hub recently commissioned a short story from author August Cole, […] More
Members Only The OSINT Global Trendline Report
The Cipher Brief’s Open Source Trend Line Report utilizes open source data to track trends around the world that impact national and global security. We break the world […] More
Members Only NATO’s Future After the Threat it Didn’t see Coming
NATO, like many of the nations it represents, was caught off guard by the coronavirus pandemic. Concerned about a potential second wave of coronavirus infections, […] More
Members Only OSINT Global Trendline Report: Europe
The Cipher Brief’s Open Source Trend Line Report utilizes open source data on a quarterly basis to track trends around the world that impact national and global […] More
Members Only OSINT Global Trendline Report: COVID and the Americas
The Cipher Brief’s Open Source Trend Line Report utilizes open source data on a quarterly basis to track trends around the world that impact national and global […] More
What we’re learning about National Security from COVID-19
As of this writing, Johns Hopkins, is reporting more than 432,438 confirmed cases of coronavirus in the US, and nearly 1.5m confirmed cases worldwide. While […] More
The Coronavirus is worse than the System Blinking Red
Norman T. Roule served for 34-years in the Central Intelligence Agency, managing numerous programs relating to Iran and the Middle East. He served as the […] More