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How Long Can Ukraine Fight?

Cipher Brief Experts assess Ukraine’s chances as hopes wane for a truce

How Long Can Ukraine Fight?

Soldiers of the 30th Prince Konstanty Ostrogski Mechanized Brigade fire a missile from a BM-21 Grad multiple rocket launcher at the positions of Russian troops in the Donetsk direction, Ukraine, on June 3, 2025.

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Photo by Viacheslav Madiievskyi/Ukrinform/NurPhoto via Getty Images

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DEEP DIVE – As ceasefire talks falter, U.S. support wanes, and Russia opens a new military offensive, Ukraine faces critical questions about how it can continue to fight.

Even so, on some fronts, there is still good news for Kyiv: Ukraine has been buoyed by repeated pledges of European military support, and it has shown an increasing ability to carry out damaging strikes inside Russian territory.

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