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Iran is a Terrorist State

OPINION — Since 1984, Iran has been designated a state sponsor of terrorism. The designation is justified, given Iran’s continued support of proxies [...] More

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Expert Q&A;: Lebanon's New Leadership Offers Hope After Chaos

EXPERT INTERVIEW — Lebanon’s parliament elected Joseph Aoun, the commander of the Lebanese Armed Forces, as the country’s new president on January 9, [...] More

8 Global Security Questions For 2025

SPECIAL REPORT — Given how unpredictable 2024 proved to be – did anyone foresee the fall of Bashar Al-Assad, the decapitation of Hezbollah, an [...] More

2024: 10 Great Cipher Brief Conversations

SPECIAL REPORT — In a year of world-changing events – from the Middle East to Ukraine, cyberattacks to undersea cable attacks, and much more – The [...] More

2024: 10 Events That Changed The World

SPECIAL REPORT — As we look back at the major national and global security events of 2024, it’s tempting to overuse certain words: stunning; [...] More

Memo to the 47th President: A New and Dangerous Middle East

EDITOR'S NOTE — Since Donald Trump’s victory in the November 5 election, The Cipher Brief has reached out to our network of experts for thoughts on [...] More

Lessons from Israel's Tale of Two Fronts

OPINION — On Oct 6th, Hamas was ready to launch an audacious attack. It was complex, involved thousands of fighters, and aimed to kill, capture, and [...] More

Iran’s ‘Ring of Fire’ Is In Trouble. What Comes Next?

DEEP DIVE — It may be the most consequential change to the Middle East since the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks against Israel, and the wars that [...] More

How Trump’s Win Alters the Landscape in the Middle East

DEEP DIVE — The Middle East has changed dramatically since President Donald Trump left office in 2021. An always-tense part of the world has seen an [...] More

Militant Islam is Under Attack – But Its Root Causes Endure

OPINION — As the Israeli assault on Gaza passes the 13-month mark, and as Hezbollah reels under the massive Israeli bombing campaign on its leaders [...] More

Israel’s New Military and Security Strategy: Could it Work?

EXPERT INTERVIEW — The Israel-Iran conflict has intensified in unprecedented ways over the past year, since Hamas — one of Iran’s anti-Israel proxy [...] More

Could Israeli Attacks Prompt Changes in Iranian Intelligence?

OPINION — Iran’s intelligence services, particularly its Ministry of Intelligence (MOIS), must have been awestruck by Israel’s late-September [...] More

The Axis of Authoritarians - and A Dangerous World

OPINION — The October 1 debate between Senators Tim Walz and JD Vance dealt with just one foreign policy question: the widening war in the Middle [...] More