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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

Moscow and Beijing’s shadow war: How Russia and China are keeping Iran lethal

From satellite imagery to MANPADs and BeiDou navigation, Moscow and Beijing are quietly sustaining Tehran’s ability to threaten U.S. forces.

CHINA-RUSSIA-IRAN-DIPLOMACY

The ceasefire between the United States and Iran is barely holding. Pakistani mediators are still shuttling between capitals, fighting has flared in [...] More

Open Source Report logo

The Open Source Report

San Diego, California, USA - September 28, 2025: A composite formation flyover featuring four F/A-18 Hornets and two F-35B Lightning II jets during the Marine Air-Ground Task Force demonstration.

Global Intelligence Report for Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Trump delays Iran strikes at request of Middle East leaders, making room for “serious” talks

U.S. slaps sanctions on Cuban political, military leaders and state institutions

In closed-door talks, the U.S. demands a major role in Greenland

Risks of direct Russia-NATO clash are increasing, senior Russian diplomat says

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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Inside the FBI’s New Push to Track Leaks and Monitor Employees

Walter Pincus

OPINION — “The FBI requests $7 million to procure and deploy a digital watermarking solution capable of embedding unique digital forensic watermarks in commonly shared documents to mitigate unauthorized disclosures from [...] More

Roses, Trees, and Power: The Symbolism Behind the Trump-Xi Summit

Kenneth Dekleva

OPINION — Last week’s high-level summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi achieved few traditional ‘deliverables’ between the two leaders, and this led many outside observers to dismiss its singular [...] More

News & Analysis

RUSSIA-CHINA-DIPLOMACY

The Bear and the Dragon: The Threat of Sino-Russian Opportunism and Intelligence Miscalculation

KREMLIN FILES/COLUMN: As Washington's attention continues to be diverted with an Iran unwilling to come to a comprehensive peace, a more dangerous [...] More

Opinion

The Pakistani General Running Washington’s Backchannel to Tehran

OPINION -- As Washington and Tehran edge closer to escalation, the most critical line of communication keeping the crisis from spiraling is being run [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

NOT EXACTLY ETERNAL JOY: The ping-pong defense didn't work. On May 3rd when Dead Drop last checked in on Lu Jianwang, AKA: "Harry Lu," he was on trial in Brooklyn federal court. His attorney was arguing that the six-story Chinatown building he ran was just a spot for Chinese diaspora members to renew their driver's licenses and play mahjong and table tennis. But a jury decided otherwise and convicted him of acting as an unregistered agent of the Chinese government. They also convicted him of obstruction of justice for deleting WeChat messages that prosecutors said contained orders from Beijing to silence and harass [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

Former Australian Signals Directorate Director-General Rachel Noble joins State Secrets with Suzanne Kelly for a rare insider’s look at the cyber battles shaping modern national security. From China’s targeting of critical infrastructure to Russia, Iran, AI-enabled threats, offensive cyber operations and the power of the Five Eyes alliance, Noble explains why the next conflict may already be underway - inside our networks.

In this episode:

  • Why the Australian Signals Directorate is one of the Five Eyes’ most important cyber and intelligence partners
  • How China is pre-positioning inside critical infrastructure and telecommunications networks
  • Why cyber criminals and state-backed actors are increasingly blurring together
  • What Russia, Iran and China are teaching the world about cyber conflict
  • How AI is accelerating both cyber defense and cyber offense
  • Why private sector companies may now be the first line of defense in modern conflict
  • What citizens can do to strengthen national cyber resilience
  • Why intelligence agencies need to better explain their mission to the public

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