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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

How Ukraine’s Ground Robots Are Changing the Battlefield

Ukraine’s Operation Vivaldi offers a glimpse of a battlefield where unmanned ground vehicles penetrate enemy lines, disrupt defenses and clear the way for infantry.

The 214th Separate Assault Battalion OPFOR Training Held In Ukraine

Operation Vivaldi, a Ukrainian military effort to repel Russian forces in the Donbas, has done much more than push back Moscow’s offensive in the [...] More

Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Opinion

The Future of Iran Lies Beyond the Regime

The U.S. administration is pursuing its latest strategy: a naval blockade combined with aggressive “Outcast” sanctions, aiming to strangle the Iranian economy, force the regime to its knees, and compel it to return to [...] More

Opinion

How War Starts: A Warning from the Korean DMZ

The current landmine incident in the Demilitarized Zone of the Korean Peninsula could escalate into conflict on the Korean Peninsula.South Korea and the United Nations Command said North Korea violated the Korean War [...] More

News & Analysis

US-UNITED NATIONS-AI

Exactly how could AI kill humans?

Nobel laureate Geoffrey Hinton walked out of a closed-door Capitol Hill briefing on September 17 and gave lawmakers a deadline.“Maybe a year, but not [...] More

Opinion

The Next Drone Won't Have a Radio Link, Our Intelligence Enterprise Needs to Plan for That Now

On the last day of the 2026 World Cup, NORAD F-16s fired flares over northern New Jersey to warn off civilian pilots who had flown into restricted [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

WHAT CAN BROWN DO FOR BEIJING? When we told you a few weeks ago about the F-35 parts that took a wrong turn to Hong Kong, nobody could say how it happened. Now someone briefed on the incident tells Bloomberg that the freight forwarder handling the shipment for Lockheed Martin emailed UPS a warning that the cockpit canopy and weapons-bay door could not transit certain countries under ITAR, the International Traffic in Arms Regulations that were designed to keep U.S. weapons technology away from adversaries. But OOPS, a UPS agent apparently missed that message, possibly because it arrived through a different IT system. UPS [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

The Cipher Brief 2027 HONORS Awards

The Cipher Brief 2027 HONORS Awards

Join us for the third annual Cipher Brief Honors Dinner, the evening of April 9, 2027. This Black-Tie event is invite-only. Please apply here for a [...] More

Upcoming: 09 April, 2027

Podcasts

State Secrets

A 10th ANNIVERSARY SPECIAL EDITION of the State Secrets Podcast with Suzanne Kelly and Brad Christian as they share the behind-the-scenes stories from the past decade as The Cipher Brief prepares to host the Cipher Brief Threat Conference. From a world where terrorism was front and center and AI was still a curiosity, to today’s world, where China remains the pacing threat, and is buoyed by rapidly emerging technology and a new alignment with Russia, Iran and North Korea.