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OPINION — For decades, Thailand has worked to energize its economy, attract foreign investment, and modernize services for its people. Thailand is a country with remarkable talent and a longtime U.S. military ally – and digital innovation presents it with a unique opportunity to transform its economy, while giving the United States a chance to strengthen a relationship that has weakened in recent years. But steep challenges await any U.S. efforts to expand its digital partnership with Thailand: namely, competition from The People’s Republic of China’s lower-cost digital infrastructure offerings, which have already gained significant market placement.
To reclaim its special relationship with Thailand and remain a leading partner in the Indo-Pacific region, the U.S. must offer more than competitive pricing with its commercial deals. It must deliver unmatched value, innovation, and support for Thailand’s long-term development goals. By investing strategically in Thailand’s digital infrastructure and helping it reduce red tape, increase efficiency, and develop its economy, the U.S. can build a mutually beneficial partnership that is both profitable for American companies and worthy of U.S. government attention.
The power of “Thailand 4.0” – and the China problem
These are not entirely new ideas, and this is not another proposal for development aid. In recent years, the market has seen a number of initiatives that reflect the value of deeper Thai-U.S. cooperation in the digital realm. In 2024, Microsoft invested in Thailand’s cloud and AI infrastructure, signaling a commitment to the regional market, while supporting a range of Royal Thai Government (RTG) projects, including “Ignite Thailand 2030.” Amazon Web Service’s major 2022 investment in local zones in Bangkok signaled some confidence in the market’s future potential. And as has been seen across other business sectors, there have also been expanding ties between tech professionals in both countries.
All of this reinforces Thailand’s ambitious “Thailand 4.0” initiative, the aim of which is to create a dynamic tech-driven, innovation economy. Any number of grand economic plans have failed to achieve their objectives in Thailand in recent decades, but both the opportunities and risks are different this time. Much can be done to build the U.S.-Thai partnership in support of both countries’ goals, while serving as a necessary counterbalance to China’s growing influence in the region.
Through its Belt and Road Initiative, China has steadily become Southeast Asia’s go-to provider of digital infrastructure. Cash-strapped governments find China’s affordable 5G networks and smart city technologies particularly appealing. But these apparent bargains come with serious hidden costs that may only become evident over time. Buyers will eventually realize that their data are vulnerable to unauthorized collection. They will have limited visibility into the technical and business backends of these new systems. They are making decisions that will lock their countries into heavy reliance on Chinese technology, perhaps for decades to come. And when their aspirations are bigger than their pocketbooks, as is often the case, they become vulnerable to a debt trap. In essence, these decisions can create digital dependencies with an authoritarian regime whose interests are not aligned with the purchasing country’s own national security.
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Navigating the Thai ecosystem
Despite its many strategic advantages, the U.S. has been slow to build a deeper partnership and related business opportunities in Thailand’s digital sector. Having lived and worked in the region for years, I know that navigating Thailand’s sometimes opaque business environment will demand flexibility, grace, cultural literacy, and copious amounts of patience. A sense of humor will come in handy, as well. Indeed, though Thailand actively seeks foreign investment, as a practical matter the unfamiliar regulatory environment can present challenges for foreign partners. Thankfully, a growing pool of English-speaking professionals can help navigate Thailand’s bureaucracy, and high-quality translation services are ubiquitous in the country. Though I spoke the language well during my years living in Thailand, I nevertheless relied heavily on trusted Thai advisors to ensure that my actions aligned with local policies, regulations, and cultural norms. It made all the difference.
Whether in the business or diplomatic worlds, I found that forming strong local partnerships, maintaining robust communication with relevant government representatives, and embracing Thailand’s rich culture can greatly smooth out the inevitable bumps in the road. There are also longstanding organizations that can help navigate this path, including the U.S.-ASEAN Business Council and the American Chamber of Commerce in Thailand. And more broadly, the RTG has signaled a commitment to greater efficiency, such as expedited approvals and incentives, through projects like the Eastern Economic Corridor (EEC).
Competing effectively against China’s aggressive state-backed approach, however, will require fresh thinking. The U.S. must play to its own strengths, by emphasizing a value proposition rooted in quality, innovation, common values, and enduring partnerships. Taking a multi-faceted approach that aligns American commercial interests with Thailand’s national priorities is the path toward deeper and closer ties with America’s original ally in East Asia. Drawing from my years living and working in the country, and more recent experience in digital innovation, I’ve identified several initiatives that could form the foundation of a revitalized digital partnership. And while these ideas are rooted in private sector efforts, more engagement and support from the U.S. government would benefit America’s broader strategic interests.
A way forward
The U.S. cannot win a price war with China and probably should not try. What the U.S. offers instead are smarter financing solutions that make higher quality technology more accessible. Government-backed loans paired with private investment, or subscription models that let Thailand spread costs over time while still gaining immediate access to cutting-edge systems could be suitable approaches, which address the real-world budget constraints Thai officials face while playing to American financial strengths.
The U.S. also needs to shift the conversation from upfront costs to long-term value. American digital infrastructure may require higher initial investment, but its durability and security advantages translate to lower maintenance costs and fewer vulnerabilities over time. This approach not only delivers better value but also enhances Thailand’s digital sovereignty, in contrast to cheaper Chinese alternatives.
Anyone who has lived and worked in Thailand knows the frustration of navigating its opaque bureaucracy. While the U.S. government is not a model of streamlined efficiency itself, American tech companies have developed impressive solutions for cutting through red tape. By helping Thailand implement streamlined digital business registrations and automated permit systems, as a start, the U.S. can address a pain point that Thai citizens and businesses experience daily. These practical improvements would demonstrate American tech solving real problems while making Thailand more attractive to investors across the board.
Thailand’s vibrant markets and entrepreneurial spirit suggest openings for e-commerce growth, but the country needs better digital infrastructure to fully tap into global markets. American e-commerce giants have mastered the logistics, payment systems, and user experiences that would help Thai businesses expand their reach to customers worldwide. Despite some tricky regulations, partnerships in this space could quickly boost export opportunities for Thai products while creating new consumer markets for U.S. companies. I’ve seen firsthand how Thai artisans and small businesses, for example, could expand their sales internationally with the right platforms, tools, and support to get there.
There is a unique opportunity in Thailand. The kingdom can simply skip obsolete technologies altogether. Instead of building expensive legacy systems that will need replacement in a decade, Thailand can jump straight to AI-driven solutions, blockchain applications, and cloud infrastructure. This leapfrogging strategy would work particularly well in sectors where Thailand already excels, like tourism and agriculture, but could also transform healthcare delivery and city planning. Thai tech entrepreneurs are not interested in yesterday’s solutions. They want to collaborate, as partners, on building tomorrow’s systems today.
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Leveraging AI – and cybersecurity
But what about the wealth and development gap within the country itself? Artificial intelligence should not just benefit urban business elites, the highly educated, or big corporations. It should improve life for all Thais. Smart irrigation systems and AI-powered crop analysis, for example, could help farmers in Thailand’s northeastern Isaan region increase yields while using less water. Similar technologies could address the chronic water management and deforestation challenges facing communities in the Deep South. During my visits to these areas, I’ve seen long-suffering communities hungry for practical solutions. And today, cloud-based AI solutions can be reached via the very mobile devices used by virtually every adult Thai. These new AI applications, applied to real-world problems, would demonstrate that U.S.-Thai partnerships can deliver tangible benefits to regions that have historically lagged behind in Thailand’s development.
Pursuing these and other initiatives to strengthen the U.S.-Thai partnership in digital transformation will give American companies the chance to do well by doing good. In essence, there’s a real opportunity in Thailand for the U.S. to create new business opportunities while assisting Thailand with its development priorities, strengthening America’s waning regional influence in the process. Such an effort would have a strategic value beyond profit and loss and should be of keen interest to the U.S. government.
Incentivizing U.S. tech giants to establish regional hubs in Thailand can create jobs and showcase American innovation. Partnerships with Thai universities and vocational programs can ensure a skilled workforce for these firms. Local manufacturing of digital infrastructure components can reduce costs and boost Thai-American collaboration, while diversifying vulnerable production and supply chains based in China.
Thailand’s geographic position, transportation infrastructure, and trade agreements make it an ideal gateway to ASEAN markets. By bolstering Thailand’s position as a supply chain hub, U.S. companies can expand their influence across Southeast Asia while strengthening Thailand’s role as a regional leader.
Teaming up on cybersecurity presents another promising opportunity for America and Thailand to deepen digital cooperation. As Thailand continues its economic digitization, the country increasingly needs strong cyber protections. American companies are leaders in this space and can provide cutting-edge threat detection, security training, and infrastructure safeguards. There have already been positive results from joint cyber exercises between the two countries, and the growing digital threats across Southeast Asia open doors for stronger partnerships, particularly in protecting financial systems and critical infrastructure.
Bangkok’s thriving startup ecosystem represents another collaboration opportunity. The city has developed a dynamic entrepreneurial scene in recent years, with innovative companies emerging in fintech, e-commerce, and various digital services. U.S. businesses can engage through venture funding, accelerator programs, and technology partnerships. Major American tech companies could set up innovation hubs or startup support facilities in Thailand, following successful models elsewhere in the region. This is neither charity nor development aid; these engagements would strengthen Thailand’s entrepreneurial landscape while giving American companies business insights and early access to innovations designed for Southeast Asian markets.
When considered together, these initiatives would tangibly advance Thailand’s development ambitions, create valuable business opportunities for U.S. companies, and help America rebuild the “special relationship” it risks losing with Thailand. In a region that sits at the center of increasing geopolitical competition, the U.S. needs to strengthen, not reduce, its alliances. Building and sustaining them will require more attention and focus than the U.S. government has shown in recent years. This needs to change.
In a broader context, the U.S. government should think of investments in Thailand’s digital transformation as a strategic move in the contest for global leadership. China’s authoritarian regime seeks to supplant America’s democratic system as the world’s leading model of governance, and the gravitational pull of China’s installed technology and signed trade agreements will determine which tech standards win out in this race for international influence. Southeast Asia, with its dynamic economies and growing populations, is an important battleground in this contest.
America cannot rely on ideals alone to win this competition, however. Countries like Thailand have tangible, urgent development goals: increasing efficiency, creating jobs, and raising the standard of living for their populations. To succeed, the U.S. must demonstrate that its vision is practical and beneficial to all parties. This requires showing up not as a “big brother” to lecture other countries, as has often been the case in Thailand, but as a trusted partner offering solutions tailored to local needs.
Successfully expanding America’s digital footprint in Thailand would resonate across Southeast Asia, a region where technology choices today will help shape global digital standards and trade patterns for decades to come. The U.S. alternative must demonstrate that democratic values and market-driven innovation can deliver both practical development outcomes and deeper strategic partnerships. This means offering solutions that respect local aspirations while advancing shared values of transparency, sovereignty, innovation, and human dignity. America can accomplish these objectives while generating value for U.S. companies.
By deepening its digital engagement with Thailand, the U.S. can demonstrate that democratic partnership offers a superior path to prosperity and innovation than that offered by authoritarian alternatives. This approach would not only reinvigorate America’s special relationship with Thailand but also strengthen the broader community of free and open societies across the Indo-Pacific region.
The Cipher Brief is committed to publishing a range of perspectives on national security issues submitted by deeply experienced national security professionals.
Opinions expressed are those of the author and do not represent the views or opinions of The Cipher Brief.
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