A Strategy to Constrain Iran

| Norman Roule
Norman T. Roule
Former National Intelligence Manager for Iran, ODNI

In the midst of recent escalatory statements and actions between the U.S. and Iran, a spokesman for the Iranian atomic agency said Monday that within 10 days, the country will pass the allowed limit for low-grade uranium enrichment under the nuclear deal struck in 2015. The U.S. walked away from the deal in May of 2018.   

Also on Monday, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani sent a warning to his European partners still committed to the nuclear deal, saying there is limited time to save it.  Rouhani made the comment while meeting with France’s Ambassador to Tehran, saying, “The current situation is very critical and France and the other parties to the (deal) still have a very limited opportunity to play their historic role for saving the deal.”

Amid concerns of a potential conflict that many are calling ‘war’ between the two countries, The Cipher Brief spoke with expert Norm Roule, the former National Intelligence Manager for Iran at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence about the U.S. strategy, the potential for escalation, and the role other countries are playing, and can play in efforts to constrain Iran’s behavior.

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The Author is Norman T. Roule

Norman T. Roule served for 34-years in the Central Intelligence Agency, managing numerous programs relating to Iran and the Middle East.   He served as the National Intelligence Manager for Iran (NIM-I) at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence from November 2008 until September 2017.  As NIM-I, he was the principal Intelligence Community (IC) official responsible for overseeing all aspects of national intelligence policy and activities related to Iran, to include IC... Read More

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