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News & Analysis

TOPSHOT-IRAN-US-ISRAEL-WAR-TRANSPORT-HORMUZ

There Will be Unseen Costs to be Paid over the War in Iran. Who is Weighing Them?

EXPERT INTERVIEW – With an interim agreement expected as early as today between the U.S. and Iran aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz to shipping [...] More

Middle East Iran Brad Christian

The Latest

TURKEY-NATO-SUMMIT-DIPLOMACY

What's at Stake as NATO Meets in Ankara

As NATO leaders gather in Ankara this week, the alliance faces a myriad of security challenges unlike anything it has confronted in decades.With [...] More

International NATO
CIA

DNI Day Two: Building the Intelligence Community for 2045

Author's NoteIn our first paper, DNI Day One: Three Strategic Decisions for National Security Evolution, we identified three challenges confronting [...] More

Renee Pruneau Novakoff Intelligence
Propaganda paintings with american flag an "Down with the USA text" in Tehran, Iran - stock photo

What Iran Wants and How It Can Still Fight

U.S. Vice President JD Vance is touting success out of the latest round of talks in Switzerland focused on seeking a permanent end to the war in [...] More

Middle East Iran
US-POLITICS-OBAMA-INTELLIGENCE

DNI Day One: Three Strategic Decisions for National Security Evolution

Authors’ Note:This paper is intended to frame a discussion, not settle one.Too often, debates about intelligence reform begin with organizational [...] More

Renee Pruneau Novakoff Intelligence
Pentagon On Lockdown Briefly After False Air Quality Alert

The AI Race Won't Be Won by the Best Model—But by the Fastest Military

The United States Intelligence Community does not ordinarily deal in hyperbole. When the Office of the Director of National Intelligence released its [...] More

United States Americas North America
US-RUSSIA-POLITICS-INTELLIGENCE-HACKING-REPRISALS

Expect Russia to Escalate Its Attacks on our Democracies

The Kremlin Files: For many in the West, Russian information warfare still conjures images of hacked emails, troll farms, and social media [...] More

U.S. Continues Maritime Blockade In Strait Of Hormuz

Middle East at the Brink: Norm Roule on Iran, Israel, and the High-Stakes Struggle Taking Shape

As tensions between Israel and Iran continue to evolve following a weekend Iranian ballistic missile attack against Israel, policymakers and markets [...] More

Middle East Iran
Defense Department Showcases Multi-Domain Autonomous Display In Pentagon's Courtyard

Can the Pentagon’s New Innovation System Deliver?

Welcome to The Iron Triangle, the Cipher Brief column serving Procurement Officers tasked with buying the future, Investors funding the next [...] More

Joey Gagnard
Russia's President Vladimir Putin Visits Beijing

How America’s Adversaries Compete Across Peace and War

Author’s Note: This article does not introduce “Endless Warfare” as another term in an already crowded national security lexicon. It examines an [...] More

Dave Pitts Asia
Remembering the Americans Who Made Ukraine’s War Their Own

Remembering the Americans Who Made Ukraine’s War Their Own

This Memorial Day, The Cipher Brief is remembering the Americans who answered the call after Russia launched its unprovoked, deadly invasion of [...] More

Ukraine International Europe
The G-2: Takeaways from Trump's Trip to Beijing

The G-2: Takeaways from Trump's Trip to Beijing

By most accounts, President Donald Trump’s trip to Beijing ended ambiguously for the U.S. From Air Force One on his way back to the U.S., Trump [...] More

China Brad Christian Asia
Cybersecurity Photo Illustrations

Iran's Digital War Machine Targeting U.S. Infrastructure

The first missile strikes hadn’t even cooled before Iranian-linked hackers were moving. When the U.S. and Israel launched military operations against [...] More

Middle East Iran