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Threat Con 2025
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Europe

Europe Prepares for War

Europe Prepares for War

DEEP DIVE – From large-scale military drills to increased defense spending to the continent’s easternmost nations fortifying their borders with [...] More

Threat Con 2025

The Latest

Expert Q&A: Putin Overplayed His Hand with Trump on Ukraine

EXPERT Q&A — President Donald Trump has offered a strong hand of support to Ukraine in recent days, pledging new weapons and threatening Russia with [...] More

A Nuclear Day of the Jackal

BOOK REVIEW: The Moldavian GambitBy Brad Meslin / Manhattan Book GroupReviewed by: James LawlerThe Reviewer — James Lawler devoted more than half of [...] More

How the Danes See NATO, Trump and Ukraine

OPINION — “The most important part right now is that Europe would be able to buy military equipment here in the U.S. so we can donate these military [...] More

Battered but Not Broken: Why NATO Still Fears a Weakened Russia

Battered but Not Broken: Why NATO Still Fears a Weakened Russia

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – President Donald Trump announced new arms shipments for Ukraine on Monday and threatened Russia with “very severe tariffs” [...] More

The Peacewalkers: How the West Went to War in 2022

“The protagonists of 1914 were sleepwalkers, watchful but unseeing, haunted by dreams, yet blind to the reality of the horror they were about to [...] More

NATO Wins Will Have an Impact

CIPHER BRIEF EXPERT Q&A — NATO leaders convened at The Hague this week and agreed to raise the alliance’s defense spending target to 5% GDP, marking [...] More

Threat Con 2025
NATO Lures Trump Back - at a Cost

NATO Lures Trump Back - at a Cost

CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – The stakes at this week’s NATO summit were sky-high – support for Ukraine, a shoring up of Europe’s defenses, and the [...] More

How Long Can Ukraine Fight?

How Long Can Ukraine Fight?

DEEP DIVE – As ceasefire talks falter, U.S. support wanes, and Russia opens a new military offensive, Ukraine faces critical questions about how it [...] More

As U.S. Commitment Wanes, Europe Faces  Questions About its Own Defense

As U.S. Commitment Wanes, Europe Faces Questions About its Own Defense

EXPERT INTERVIEW – In the early weeks of the second Trump administration, questions were raised about Ukraine’s ability to defend itself, as the [...] More

A Short Diary from Ukraine’s War: One American’s Story from Kyiv

A Short Diary from Ukraine’s War: One American’s Story from Kyiv

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — I arrived to Kyiv in January 2025, at a time when the war with Russia was almost three years old. My purpose was professional [...] More

What A U.S. Commander’s Testimony Tells Us About Russia’s War on Ukraine

OPINION — “The Russian economy has been both bolstered and distorted by this war. Specifically, the Russian government has had to turbo-charge their [...] More

Allies Weigh In On The Future Under Trump 2.0

Allies Weigh In On The Future Under Trump 2.0

EXPERT INTERVIEWS – Over the past two and a half months, as President Donald Trump's administration has upended long-standing policies and [...] More