The Question: Why Would China not Invade Taiwan now?
The Cipher Brief is proud to launch ‘The Question’, designed to make us think forward, consider broader scenarios and challenge each other in constructive ways […] More
Tim Willasey-Wilsey
The Real Danger in a Quiet Escalation of Tensions Between China and India
As the world focuses on the immediate threat of the coronavirus pandemic, China is exercising its muscle over territorial claims. As The New York Times […] More
Afghanistan’s Hard Lessons. A British Perspective.
Tim Willasey-Wilsey is a former senior British diplomat and now a Senior Visiting Fellow at King’s College London’s Department of War Studies. The probability is […] More
Why has Pakistan not Annexed its parts of Kashmir?
Tim Willasey-Wilsey is a Visiting Senior Research Fellow at King’s College, London and a former senior British diplomat. Pakistan has decided not to annex its […] More
Kim Jong Un’s Frustration and the Risk of Hybrid Warfare
EXPERT OPINION — Kim Jong-un is a desperate man. He has long believed that Donald Trump’s unpredictability and their quirky friendship offers him the best, […] More
India’s Dangerous Move in Kashmir
The Indian-administered area of Kashmir has been on lockdown since the Indian government said earlier this week that it was revoking the region of its […] More
New Lessons Lead to New War Plans for India and Pakistan
India believes it won the hostilities which followed the Pulwama attack in February 2019. According to New Delhi the attack on Balakot not only punished […] More
Reading the Clues on North Korea
Tim Willasey-Wilsey is a former senior member of the British Foreign Office and a Cipher Brief expert. He is currently a Senior Visiting Research Fellow […] More
How Close Did India and Pakistan Come to War?
It needs no more than 4 bad decisions for India and Pakistan to go to war; and 5 for that war to go nuclear. So […] More
The Next North Korean Summit
President Donald Trump will hold a second summit with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un in late February. The White House made the announcement following […] More