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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

When a Charismatic and a Machiavellian Meet

As Presidents Trump and Xi prepare to meet in Beijing, two experts examine the psychology, power instincts, and risks shaping one of the world’s most consequential relationships.

U.S. Donald Trump Meets With China's President Xi In South Korea

ANALYSIS -- President Trump will visit Beijing later this month for the first time in almost a decade. As a former CIA clinical psychologist, I have [...] More

Open Source Report logo

The Open Source Report

Abu Dhabi, UAE - January 3, 2025: A stunning view of the Abu Dhabi skyline with the UAE flag prominently displayed, highlighting the city's modern architecture and coastal beauty.

Global Intelligence Report for Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Trump weighs military action against Iran with ceasefire "on life support”

The UAE has been secretly carrying out attacks on Iran

Russian ship that sank mysteriously in Mediterranean may have been carrying submarine nuclear reactors to North Korea

China’s Xi poised to press Trump on arms sales to Taiwan


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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Confidence, Interoperability, and the Limits of U.S. Decision Systems

Masoud Andarabi

OPINION -- In recent months, U.S. policy debates have increasingly acknowledged that the decisive contests of the 21st century will not be fought primarily on conventional battlefields. They will be fought in the [...] More

Congress Faces a Growing Blind Spot in the Pentagon’s Expanding Budget

Walter Pincus

OPINION -- “That brings me to a concern I want to put on the record. In addition to the billions requested for the F-35 [fighter-bomber] enterprise, several of these programs I consider highest priority are being funded [...] More

News & Analysis

From Socialist Surge to Regional Realignment- Latin America’s Pink Tide Is Receding

From Socialist Surge to Regional Realignment- Latin America’s Pink Tide Is Receding

Latin America’s Pink Tide Recedes as Economic Reality Fractures Socialist AllianceLatin America’s leftist front is hitting a wall. The momentum that [...] More

Opinion

Human vs. Machine: Operational Realities from Ukraine’s Frontline

A global debate is underway over how much human involvement should be required when artificial intelligence is implemented in military operations. [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

JACK IS BACK – Which one, you ask? While The Dead Drop has been asking Hollywood Executive Producer Howard Gordon to bring Jack Bauer back for a long while now, the Jack we’re talking about this time is Jack Ryan. And he’s back with a reluctant mission turned full-on adventure in “Ghost War” on Amazon Prime. Consider this something of a warning order because the movie doesn’t actually come out until May 20 but we got a sneak preview. We can’t really let you read our full review until May 18 per our pinky swear promise to the Amazon screening team, so we’ll just say that we loved it. (That’s not really a review, right?) [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

Jennifer Ewbank dives deep into how algorithmic manipulation and AI are reshaping the battlefield of information.

As threats evolve, our understanding of them must too. The convergence of technology and tactics is unprecedented, and it's vital to recognize the implications of this industrialized production of misinformation.

The developments in AI could be a game-changer, enabling us to identify synthetic media at scale, offering a way to counter this threat without censorship.

Is this the moment we redefine our approach to misinformation?