The Economics Driving Security in The Middle East
The Cipher Brief welcomes former National Intelligence Manager for Iran, ODNI, and Cipher Brief Expert Norm Roule for a virtual briefing on the economics affecting […] More
Posts Tagged ‘economics’
Paris and the Prospects & Perils of a Post-American Order
Bottom Line Up Front As the recent World War I centenary tribute in Paris foreshadowed, the world order may be shifting, with the contours […] More
Threat Report 2018: China’s Expanding Economy and Military Reach
Despite indications that China’s economy is likely to experience a moderate slowdown, the world’s second largest economy – and largest market by headcount – continues […] More
In Putin’s Fourth Term, What—If Anything—Threatens His Control?
On May 7, Vladimir Putin was inaugurated for his fourth six-year term as President of Russia. He gained more than 76 percent of the vote […] More
China Pulls Pakistan Further into its Economic Orbit
Bottom Line: China’s “One Belt, One Road” economic strategy, aimed at developing regional trades routes connecting East Asia, South Asia, Central Asia and Europe, has […] More
Social Security and Medicare Could Cripple National Security
When giving public or semi-public talks, I have long been asked “What single threat worries you the most? What keeps you up at night?” When […] More
Don’t Let China Start Calling the Shots in Pakistan
The vast size of the proposed China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) has players on all sides struggling to calculate the pros and cons for their […] More
Foreign Investment Helps Boost U.S. National Security
President Donald Trump is currently on his first trip to China and East Asia. The visit comes at a time when America’s allies in the […] More
Foreign Investment Helps Boost U.S. National Security
President Donald Trump is currently on his first trip to China and East Asia. The visit comes at a time when America’s allies in the […] More
Will Egypt’s Currency Reform Raise Risk of Revolt?
Last November, Egypt’s Central Bank announced it was taking steps to allow the pound to trade freely on the currency market. The move to float […] More
Modi: Pro Business, Not Pro Markets
Last November, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi implemented a demonetization of the country’s two most popular bank notes, sparking chaos across the country as people […] More
India Races to Revamp its Economy and Military
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi is well known for his massive Twitter following – roughly 32 million – and obsession with taking selfies at every […] More
Free Trade’s New Champions
The recently agreed framework for a Europe-Japan free trade agreement could not provide a clearer indication as to the changing of the guard in terms […] More
Japan and the EU Show That Free Trade Will Not Wait for Trump
In keeping with his America First agenda, President Donald Trump is pushing ahead with the promised new direction in U.S. trade and international economic policy. […] More
The Germans Won’t Budge on their Vision of Europe
French President Emmanuel Macron clinched a major win in the country’s recent parliamentary elections, and as Germany looks toward federal elections in September, Chancellor Angela […] More
Are France and Germany the Last Hope for the EU?
With Britain leaving the European Union, a surge in support for populist and anti-EU parties across the continent, and an uncertain United States that seems […] More
France Must Reform Before Building a Franco-German Engine
Will French President Emmanuel Macron be able to work with German Chancellor Angela Merkel to restore a fracturing European Union to a position of strength? […] More
Our National Security Relies on a Healthy Economy
The most important determinant of a country’s national security is the health of its economy and its society. That is a strong statement, but it […] More
China Looking to Expand Saudi Trade Via Renewable Energy, Petrochemicals
Saudi-China bilateral relations took a notable upswing this March after Saudi King Salman and Chinese President Xi Jinping signed landmark economic deals worth approximately $65 […] More
China Courts Iran to Sell Goods, Diversify Oil Sources
As a major importer of oil from both Saudi Arabia and Iran, and with expanding economic interests in the Middle East, China has a stake […] More
Will China Play Peacemaker with Its Oil Suppliers Saudi Arabia and Iran?
China, for some time, has performed a delicate balancing act in the Middle East. As a major importer of oil from two archrivals, Saudi Arabia […] More
Turkey’s Security Deteriorates, Economy Falters
The Fund For Peace’s 2017 Fragile States Index paints an alarming, but justified, picture of Turkey: it is declining dramatically in most areas measured by […] More
How Can the U.S. Level the Digital Trade Playing Field?
Trade growth has been running flat against GDP growth since 2012. According to the World Trade Organization (WTO), global trade volumes grew just 1.3 percent in […] More
U.S. Internet Firms Could Slowly Lose Edge to Asian Rivals
The McKinsey Global Institute estimated last year that digital trade has a greater impact on economic growth, measured by a nation’s Gross Domestic Product, than […] More