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Coup

What International Leaders Should Do About Myanmar's Military Coup

Cipher Brief Expert Ambassador Joseph DeTrani is former Special envoy for Six Party Talks with North Korea and the former U.S. Representative to the [...] More

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How Valuable are the Indicators?

A few years ago, my colleagues and I published an article on forecasting instability in nations around the world. Two things stood out in that paper. [...] More

Indicators of Political Instability

Indicators of Political Instability

Why has Russia under President Vladimir Putin remained fairly stable despite worsening economic conditions? Is Zimbabwe likely to become embroiled in [...] More

Despite Coup Failure, Turkish Democracy Still at Risk

One week after the failed military coup took place in Turkey, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has taken significant steps to consolidate his power, [...] More