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Artificial Intelligence

Before the IC Trusts AI, It Needs to Prove It Can Assure It

Artificial intelligence is moving quickly into national security work. That is not a future trend. It is already happening in analysis, collection [...] More

The Latest

Deterrence Is Not Enough in the Age of Synthetic Asymmetry

Events have moved faster than doctrine. Part 1 of this series diagnosed the rise of synthetic asymmetry, an era where technological convergence [...] More

Your AI Isn’t My AI: The Quiet Splintering Ahead

One of the most consequential geopolitical and technological races underway is the competition to shape the future of large language models. For a [...] More

How Anonymous Wikipedia Editors Influence Global Narratives — and AI Systems

OPINION -- If you ask Google what Al Jazeera is, the answer you receive draws heavily on Wikipedia. The same is true if you ask ChatGPT, Perplexity [...] More

The Limits of Human Oversight at Machine Speed

OPINION — Warfare has always operated at human speed, but we now have the capability to operate at machine speed. The risks are high, but so are the [...] More

Rethinking the Intelligence Cycle for the AI Era

There’s a profound assumption embedded in much of today’s conversation about AI and intelligence: better technology will solve our core problems. We [...] More

Sustaining Decision Advantage: The Case for Analytic Tradecraft Reform

OPINION -- In an era where warfighters and decision-makers have on-demand access to vast data holdings and AI-generated insights, the future of [...] More

America’s AI Strategy Is Fighting the Last War

Washington’s strategy for artificial general intelligence (AGI), or the ability to replace human cognitive labor, assumes the United States is locked [...] More

New Presidential Executive Order Targets Transnational Cybercrime

The Cipher Brief broke new ground when it published my piece addressing scams as a national security issue in December 2023. Two years later, there [...] More

When Deepfakes Become Doctrine

Since U.S. and Israeli strikes began against Iranian military and nuclear infrastructure in late February, two wars have been running simultaneously. [...] More

The Next Battlefield Is Perception, Not Territory

The Gray Zone is no longer a peripheral space between war and peace. It has become the primary arena in which strategic advantage is tested and [...] More

Should Western Tech Giants Partner With Pro-Hamas Network Al Jazeera?

A few weeks ago, Al Jazeera named Google Cloud as its primary technology provider for “The Core,” a sweeping program designed to integrate generative [...] More

Export Controls Backfire: The China Innovation Paradox

Export Controls Backfire: The China Innovation Paradox

DEEP DIVE — When the Biden administration rolled out its semiconductor export restrictions in October 2022, the logic seemed airtight: cut off [...] More