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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

When a Charismatic and a Machiavellian Meet

As Presidents Trump and Xi prepare to meet in Beijing, two experts examine the psychology, power instincts, and risks shaping one of the world’s most consequential relationships.

U.S. Donald Trump Meets With China's President Xi In South Korea

ANALYSIS -- President Trump will visit Beijing later this month for the first time in almost a decade. As a former CIA clinical psychologist, I have [...] More

Open Source Report logo

The Open Source Report

State police officers patrol cobblestone street in armored truck amid security concerns related to drug trafficking and violence in Guerrero - stock photo Taxco, Mexico - January 16, 2025: State police officers patrol cobblestone street in armored truck amid security concerns related to drug trafficking and violence in Guerrero

Global Intelligence Report for Wednesday, May 13, 2026

U.S., Mexican officials deny report on CIA’s secret war against cartels inside Mexico

U.S. intelligence shows Iran retains substantial missile capabilities

Putin says Russia will deploy new Sarmat ICBM this year

Japan’s new spy agency receives FBI backing with eyes on China and Russia


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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

The Nuclear Arms Race Is Accelerating — and the U.N. Looks Increasingly Powerless

Ambassador Joseph DeTrani

OPINION – Last week, the 11th Review Conference of the Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons, currently in session at the United Nations, elected Iran as one of its 34 vice presidents. It did [...] More

Confidence, Interoperability, and the Limits of U.S. Decision Systems

Masoud Andarabi

OPINION -- In recent months, U.S. policy debates have increasingly acknowledged that the decisive contests of the 21st century will not be fought primarily on conventional battlefields. They will be fought in the [...] More

News & Analysis

From Socialist Surge to Regional Realignment- Latin America’s Pink Tide Is Receding

From Socialist Surge to Regional Realignment- Latin America’s Pink Tide Is Receding

Latin America’s Pink Tide Recedes as Economic Reality Fractures Socialist AllianceLatin America’s leftist front is hitting a wall. The momentum that [...] More

Opinion

The Pakistani General Running Washington’s Backchannel to Tehran

OPINION -- As Washington and Tehran edge closer to escalation, the most critical line of communication keeping the crisis from spiraling is being run [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

MANHOLE COVER STORY: A Russian cargo ship called the Ursa Major sank off the coast of Spain in December 2024 under circumstances that were, until recently, as murky as the 8,000 feet of Mediterranean water now covering it. A just published CNN investigation has filled in some of the blanks. The ship's official paperwork claimed it was carrying industrial equipment and two manhole covers. According to CNN, Spanish authorities learned, however, from the ship's captain that the vessel may have been carrying components for two nuclear submarine reactors - possibly destined for North Korea. The story is especially sensitive [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

Jennifer Ewbank dives deep into how algorithmic manipulation and AI are reshaping the battlefield of information.

As threats evolve, our understanding of them must too. The convergence of technology and tactics is unprecedented, and it's vital to recognize the implications of this industrialized production of misinformation.

The developments in AI could be a game-changer, enabling us to identify synthetic media at scale, offering a way to counter this threat without censorship.

Is this the moment we redefine our approach to misinformation?