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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

Inside Iran’s New Wartime Leadership

Months of assassinations have hollowed out Iran’s old leadership and elevated a new generation of IRGC power brokers, as Tehran struggles to dispel questions about Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei’s health and ability to govern.

Tehran’s new power brokersA wave of assassinations rebuilt Iran’s leadership from the top down, leaving a severely wounded supreme leader and a [...] More

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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Opinion

Blowing up Boats: The Numbing Effect of Repetitive Illegality

Operation Southern Spear, the U.S. campaign against alleged drug trafficking small boats off the coast of several South American nations, continues unabated. But while both the public and politicians seem to have become [...] More

Opinion

America Is Buying an Army It Cannot Command

The U.S. Army has committed to a million small drones by 2028. The Department of Defense has not decided who will authorize how they fire.That is not a materiel gap. The volume is on order; Nvidia’s latest earnings [...] More

News & Analysis

TOPSHOT-IRAN-US-ISRAEL-WAR-TRANSPORT-HORMUZ

There Will be Unseen Costs to be Paid over the War in Iran. Who is Weighing Them?

EXPERT INTERVIEW – With an interim agreement expected as early as today between the U.S. and Iran aimed at reopening the Strait of Hormuz to shipping [...] More

Opinion

The Vatican’s Quiet Intelligence Diplomacy

Last week all eyes were focused on the secret, first-ever trip of CIA Director John Ratcliffe to Moscow, flying on a C-17 Globemaster (the modern [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

SPYING ON THE CHEAP: If Beijing is outsourcing espionage to college students, it may not pay very well. According to CBC News, a University of Waterloo undergraduate student is accused of taking assignments from a mysterious Chinese contact to photograph specific airplanes and FedEx facilities in Toronto and Chicago. The alleged pay: $20 to $30 per accepted photo, with the student telling investigators that he'd made somewhere around $500 total over 18 months (accounts vary on the exact figure, and a couple put it closer to $74). At Chicago's O'Hare Airport in April, security cameras allegedly caught him hanging around a [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

The Cipher Brief 2027 HONORS Awards

The Cipher Brief 2027 HONORS Awards

Join us for the third annual Cipher Brief Honors Dinner, the evening of April 9, 2027. This Black-Tie event is invite-only. Please apply here for a [...] More

Upcoming: 09 April, 2027

Podcasts

State Secrets

Iranian-American businessman Emad Shargi spent more than five years detained in Iran, enduring solitary confinement, brutal interrogations, a mock execution and a 10-year prison sentence after being accused of cooperating with the United States.

Now, Shargi joins The Cipher Brief CEO & Publisher Suzanne Kelly to tell the extraordinary story of his arrest, imprisonment, attempted escape from Iran and eventual release — and to offer a stark warning about how the Iranian regime operates.

Shargi describes the night IRGC intelligence agents raided his family’s home in Tehran, his detention inside the notorious Evin Prison and the pressure he faced to falsely confess to being a CIA spy.

He also recounts an attempted escape from Iran after being sentenced to a decade in prison — an effort that ended when he was captured near the Iraqi Kurdistan border and returned to IRGC custody.

But this conversation goes beyond his years in prison.

Drawing on his firsthand experience with the Iranian security apparatus, Shargi explains why he believes Washington must fundamentally rethink how it deals with Tehran, the role economic pressure can play in weakening the regime and why he believes the Iranian people ultimately have the will to demand change.

“You cannot negotiate with a cult of death,” Shargi tells The Cipher Brief.