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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

The Dangerous Trade of State Secrets

From Venezuela to Iran, a string of well-timed wagers is exposing how wartime intelligence can be monetized in public view.

​Armed supporters of ousted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro stand guard

At just after 2 a.m. on January 3, explosions echoed across Caracas. Low-flying aircraft struck military installations. Venezuelan President Nicolás [...] More

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The Open Source Report

Afghan rescue teams and Taliban security personnel search for bodies under the rubble of a damaged building after an airstrike hit the Secondary Rehabilitation Services, in Kabul on March 16, 2026. Heavy casualties were feared on Tuesday after Afghanistan accused Pakistan of hitting a treatment centre for drug addicts in the capital, Kabul, and killing civilians. Pakistan denied deliberately targeting the facility, instead saying it had conducted precision strikes on "military installations and terrorist support infrastructure". The Pakistani military has struck Kabul several times in recent weeks, as part of a conflict sparked by claims that the Taliban government has harboured extremists who have carried out attacks across the border. (Photo by Wakil KOHSAR / AFP via Getty Images)

Global Intelligence Report for Tuesday, April 28, 2026

Trump unlikely to accept Iran’s proposal to end war, lift Hormuz blockade, source says

U.S. being ‘humiliated’ by Iran, says Germany’s Merz

U.S. military strikes another boat in eastern Pacific, killing 3

Afghanistan accuses Pakistan of ‘war crimes’ after seven killed, 85 wounded in attacks

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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Pyongyang’s Bet: Nuclear Growth and Great Power Support

Ambassador Joseph DeTrani

OPINION – North Korea is building more nuclear weapons and more sophisticated ballistic missiles to target the region and the U.S., while ensuring that they are closely aligned with China and Russia. Basically, North [...] More

Why the Navy’s Next Battleship Faces Major Hurdles

Walter Pincus

OPINION — “The Navy and Coast Guard need to demonstrate that the approach to these [shipbuilding] programs is not a short-term deviation followed by returning to the long-standing business as usual approach. This is [...] More

News & Analysis

TOPSHOT-AFGHANISTAN-PAKISTAN-CONFLICT

Pakistan: Broker of Peace While Still at War

Just a few weeks ago, Pakistan, the host for fragile ceasefire talks aiming to end the war between the U.S. and Iran, was at war with Afghanistan in [...] More

Opinion

Half Measures and Maximum Risk in Iran

OPINION – Over the past month, U.S. and Israeli operations have killed Iran’s senior leadership, destroyed over 155 naval vessels and roughly 300 [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

LUNCHEON DIPLOMACY: With a Trump-Xi summit set for Beijing May 14-15, The Wall Street Journal has a tasty story about the unseen theater of great-power diplomacy. It’s probably no surprise that menu items at high-level meetings like presidential summits are screened for poison. But it was a little odd when China’s President Xi lunched on herbed-ricotta ravioli at a San Francisco-area dinner in 2023, but only after his security team reportedly swooped in to spray his utensils with an unidentified liquid to prevent the foreign collection of presidential DNA. The behind-the-scenes savory details don’t stop with lunch. [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

What does “success” look like in a conflict with Iran - and what comes next? In this in-depth conversation, General David Petraeus joins The Cipher Brief’s Suzanne Kelly to unpack the military and strategic realities shaping today’s most consequential conflicts. From the importance of reopening the Strait of Hormuz to the unresolved risks around Iran’s nuclear program, Petraeus explains what’s at stake not just for the U.S., but for the global economy. But the real story? Ukraine. Petraeus calls it the true test case for the future of war - where drones, autonomy, and rapid innovation are redefining the battlefield in real time.