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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

The Bear and the Dragon: The Threat of Sino-Russian Opportunism and Intelligence Miscalculation

Russia and China don’t need a secret war plan to overwhelm U.S. strategy — they may only need to reach the same dangerous conclusion at the same time.

RUSSIA-CHINA-DIPLOMACY

KREMLIN FILES/COLUMN: As Washington's attention continues to be diverted with an Iran unwilling to come to a comprehensive peace, a more dangerous [...] More

Open Source Report logo

The Open Source Report

San Diego, California, USA - September 28, 2025: A composite formation flyover featuring four F/A-18 Hornets and two F-35B Lightning II jets during the Marine Air-Ground Task Force demonstration.

Global Intelligence Report for Tuesday, May 19, 2026

Trump delays Iran strikes at request of Middle East leaders, making room for “serious” talks

U.S. slaps sanctions on Cuban political, military leaders and state institutions

In closed-door talks, the U.S. demands a major role in Greenland

Risks of direct Russia-NATO clash are increasing, senior Russian diplomat says

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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Inside the FBI’s New Push to Track Leaks and Monitor Employees

Walter Pincus

OPINION — “The FBI requests $7 million to procure and deploy a digital watermarking solution capable of embedding unique digital forensic watermarks in commonly shared documents to mitigate unauthorized disclosures from [...] More

Roses, Trees, and Power: The Symbolism Behind the Trump-Xi Summit

Kenneth Dekleva

OPINION — Last week’s high-level summit in Beijing between President Trump and President Xi achieved few traditional ‘deliverables’ between the two leaders, and this led many outside observers to dismiss its singular [...] More

News & Analysis

U.S. Donald Trump Meets With China's President Xi In South Korea

When a Charismatic and a Machiavellian Meet

ANALYSIS -- President Trump will visit Beijing later this month for the first time in almost a decade. As a former CIA clinical psychologist, I have [...] More

Opinion

The Pakistani General Running Washington’s Backchannel to Tehran

OPINION -- As Washington and Tehran edge closer to escalation, the most critical line of communication keeping the crisis from spiraling is being run [...] More

What’s on The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Book Reviews

THE FAMILY BUSINESS: The CIA director flew to Havana a free days ago to deliver a message from President Trump - and found the Castro dynasty still very much in the room. John Ratcliffe met with Raúl Guillermo Rodríguez Castro, grandson of former Cuban leader Raúl Castro, a one-time presidential bodyguard, and former head of Cuba's equivalent of the Secret Service, along with Cuba's interior minister and the head of Cuban intelligence. Rodríguez Castro has never held a formal government post. Ratcliffe reportedly urged the Cubans to take the January operation that ousted Nicolás Maduro in Venezuela as a lesson. The Cuban [...] More

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Events

Live Events

2026 Threat Conference

2026 Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 25 October, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

Jennifer Ewbank dives deep into how algorithmic manipulation and AI are reshaping the battlefield of information.

As threats evolve, our understanding of them must too. The convergence of technology and tactics is unprecedented, and it's vital to recognize the implications of this industrialized production of misinformation.

The developments in AI could be a game-changer, enabling us to identify synthetic media at scale, offering a way to counter this threat without censorship.

Is this the moment we redefine our approach to misinformation?