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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

The Sahel’s Terror Surge Signals a New Front in Global Security

Extremist groups are expanding unchecked across West Africa as U.S. influence wanes

The Sahel’s Terror Surge Signals a New Front in Global Security

DEEP DIVE — On the night of June 20, 2025, the Nigerien village of Manda became the stage for one of the deadliest massacres in the Sahel in recent [...] More

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The Open Source Report

President of Venezuela Nicolás Maduro says goodbye after a press conference at Hotel Melia Caracas on September 01, 2025 in Caracas, Venezuela.

Global Intelligence Report for Monday, November 3, 2025

Trump Says War With Venezuela Is Unlikely but Suggests Maduro’s Time Is Up

No Tomahawk missiles for Ukraine, for now

U.S. allies await answers before committing to Trump’s Gaza peace force

China’s updated sixth-generation fighter jets put US on notice for air supremacy

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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Countering the Kremlin’s Five Most Effective Narratives About Ukraine

Dave Pitts

EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — In the summer of 2008, as Russian tanks rolled toward the borders of Georgia, the battle had already begun—shaped decisively by large-scale cyberattacks and cognitive warfare. Weeks before the first [...] More

Putin’s Strategic Failure: How the Ukraine War Is Eroding Russia From Within

Rob Dannenberg

And there is one sure thing about the fall of gods: they do not fall a little; they crash and shatter or sink deeply into green muck.- John Steinbeck, East of EdenEvil people don’t have songs. How is it, then, that the [...] More

News & Analysis

Soldiers of the Mexican Army stand guard as they secure an area during a military operation in Culiacan, Sinaloa State, Mexico, on September 19, 2024

From the Caribbean to Jalisco, Trump Takes Aim at Cartels — But Will He Strike the Kingpins?

DEEP DIVE — Eight weeks ago, Secretary of State Marco Rubio went to Mexico City, the epicenter of the global illegal drug trade, and declared, “The [...] More

Opinion

How the U.S. Can Stay Ahead of China in Space

OPINION — Space has gone from frontier to front line. But despite this increased urgency and promises to remain first in flight, the Trump [...] More

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Book Reviews

SLOW BOAT? On Friday October 24, Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell announced on social media that the “Secretary of War” Pete Hegseth had ordered the Gerald R. Ford Carrier Strike Group to leave the Mediterranean and head for the U.S. Southern Command’s area of responsibility to support “the President’s directive to dismantle Transnational Criminal Organizations (TCOs) and counter narco-terrorism.” Armchair admirals started to calculate how quickly FORD and friends would show up off the coast of Venezuela. The carrier strike group was reported to be off the coast of Croatia when the announcement was made but five days [...] More

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The Cipher Brief 2026 HONORS Awards

The Cipher Brief 2026 HONORS Awards

Join us for the third annual Cipher Brief Honors Dinner, the evening of March 13, 2026. This Black-Tie event is invite only, please apply here for a [...] More

Upcoming: 13 March, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets

Shawn Chenoweth has one of the most fascinating titles in government, Director of Cognitive Advantage at the National Security Council. Sean explains the concept of cognitive advantage, the challenges of measuring success, and talks about the 'Kill Web' concept, which highlights the interconnectedness of information and cognitive processes in modern warfare.

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment


David McCloskey, former CIA Analyst turned novelist is out with his fourth book, The Persian, about an Iranian dentist who is recruited by Mossad to take on a dangerous mission inside Iran. Cover Stories Host Suzanne Kelly digs in on how McCloskey’s real-life Intelligence background fueled his latest novel, and discovers a few of McCloskey’s own secrets along the way.