The Cost of Not Bringing the Pentagon into the Post-Cold War Era
OPINION — We are in a new kind of warfare with Russia and a little-noticed House Armed Services Strategic Forces Subcommittee hearing last Tuesday showed, […]
Opinion
The Risks Facing Putin and his Inner Circle
As Cipher Brief Expert and former CIA Chief of the Central Eurasia Division, Rob Dannenberg writes for Subscriber+Members the way that Russian President Vladimir Putin’s […]
The Facts that Putin Cannot Change
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — As we used to say in government, it could be worse. A single death or wounding, a single destroyed hospital, school or […]
Putin’s Health and State of Mind are very Hard Targets
OPINION — The current horrific invasion of Ukraine – including aerial bombing of civilian targets in large cities – by Russian military forces, and Russian […]
Getting Our Act Together on American Tech Policy
OPINION — Earlier this year, the American Innovation and Choice Online Act (AICOA), which aims to prevent leading technology companies from engaging in anti-competitive behavior, […]
A Picture of Putin’s Nuclear Option
OPINION — Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has repeatedly threatened the use of his nuclear weapons and now has placed his nuclear deterrence forces on […]
With the World Turning Against Him, Putin’s Going to Need a Way Out
The Cipher Brief spoke with former Canadian National Security Advisor and former Deputy Minister of National Defence Richard B. Fadden about the risks and challenges […]
NATO and Putin’s Bad Assumptions
A former NATO Supreme Allied Commander takes aim at the Russian President’s less-than-perfect assumptions about invading Ukraine and the opportunity presented for NATO The Cipher […]
The Ghosts of Afghanistan Haunt Ukraine
OPINION – The world is watching with dread, Russia’s multi-pronged campaign against Ukraine that includes major military operations, cyberattacks, propaganda, misinformation screeds, and possible sabotage […]
Ukraine and Using the Righteousness of our Cause Creatively
OPINION — Putin’s invasion of Ukraine will generate immediate waves on the intel front, especially in HUMINT operations. Some effects will follow established patterns, but […]
Putin’s Ukraine Gambit: Why Now and What’s Next
OPINION — Following a masterful combination of long-term strategy, gray zone tactics, hybrid warfare, and management of the information space, Russia’s President Putin has at […]
The Ukraine Cyber Crisis: We Should Prepare but not Panic
OPINION — As the situation in Ukraine unfolds, the prospect of serious cyberattacks has captured the attention of cyber intelligence professionals like myself and the […]
Putin Moves on Ukraine. How Will the World Respond?
OPINION — Is this the future of major power conflicts? Remember President Joe Biden’s January 19, 2022, press conference response to a question about sanctions […]
The Perfect Storm of Technology, Intelligence and AI
OPINION — The Artificial Intelligence (AI) revolution is here and is rapidly becoming a central element of the Great Power Competition. Machine Learning (ML) and […]
Fabrication Operations in War
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said Thursday that an attack against a kindergarten in Ukraine is a “false flag operation designed to discredit the Ukrainians”, […]
Could Ukraine end up as a War of Words?
OPINION — The Biden administration has introduced a new tactic that I’ve called “Deterrence by Disclosure,” as the U.S. makes public its intelligence about Moscow’s […]
Is the Russian President a Strategic Master or a Strategic Failure?
OPINION — As a national leader, Vladimir Putin deserves respect. You underestimate him at your peril. But it is a qualified respect. Putin wields the […]
The Battle the FBI is Waging Every Day
OPINION — FBI Director Christopher Wray’s talk at the Reagan Library on January 31 was titled “Countering Threats Posed by the Chinese Government Inside the […]