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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

At the Center of the World’s Most Dangerous Chokepoint

As threats mount in the Strait of Hormuz and oil markets react, former Iran intelligence chief Norm Roule breaks down the military, economic and strategic risks ahead

STRAIT OF HORMUZ - 17 JANUARY 2026

EXPERT INTERVIEW – Amid escalating tensions in the Middle East and growing concerns about the security of global energy supplies, the Strait of [...] More

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The Open Source Report

IRAN-ISRAEL-US-WAR

Global Intelligence Report for Wednesday, March 18, 2026

Iran strikes Tel Aviv with cluster warheads in retaliation for killing of security chief

Kremlin rejects report alleging Russia shared satellite imagery and drone technology with Iran

Top Counterterrorism Official Joe Kent Resigns, Says Iran Did Not Pose Immediate Threat

Trump Postpones China Visit as Iran War Disrupts Washington-Beijing Diplomacy

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Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Down But Not Out: Iran’s Axis of Resistance

Michele Kernitsky

OPINION — When HAMAS attacked Israel on 7 October 2023, Iran and its partners around the Middle East—collectively known as the Axis of Resistance—were riding high. Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) armed, [...] More

GPS Denied: Time to Upgrade

Mark Munsell

OPINION — The Global Positioning System (GPS) is arguably the greatest dual-use technology ever developed. It saves us trillions of dollars in wasted fuel and inefficient logistics. However, our modern world is built on a [...] More

News & Analysis

China Holds Annual Two Sessions Political Meetings-NPC

China's Military: Five Lessons from the Iran War

It may seem early to be drawing lessons from the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran, but one of the world’s most powerful militaries has already reached [...] More

Opinion

America Is Digitally Fragile — and Our Adversaries Know It

OPINION — America has entered a moment in which it is fundamentally more vulnerable than at any point in modern history. For the first time, the [...] More

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Book Reviews

TUCKER’S DEEP STATE TALES: Tucker Carlson posted a five-minute video Saturday night claiming that the CIA read his texts with Iranian contacts and is preparing a criminal referral against him to the Department of Justice - punishment, he implies, for his journalism before the U.S. struck Iran. Let’s explore some context, shall we? The CIA is statutorily barred from domestic surveillance on U.S. persons. So if Carlson's texts were collected, it most likely would have been NSA incidental collection under FISA 702 - standard intake when the foreign end of a conversation is a valid target. Carlson claimed the charges against [...] More

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Events

Live Events

The Cipher Brief 2026 HONORS Awards

The Cipher Brief 2026 HONORS Awards

Join us for the third annual Cipher Brief Honors Dinner, the evening of March 13, 2026. This Black-Tie event is invite only, please apply here for a [...] More

Previous Event: 13 March, 2026

Podcasts

State Secrets


Washington Post columnist and bestselling novelist David Ignatius joins State Secrets to reflect on more than five decades covering intelligence, war, and global power. In this conversation with Suzanne Kelly, Ignatius shares his perspective on what he calls a potentially historic moment in U.S. conflict with Iran and explains why today’s battles increasingly unfold in the gray zone - from cyber operations to covert networks operating far from traditional battlefields.

Ignatius also discusses the evolving relationship between journalists and intelligence agencies, the challenges of reporting during periods of restricted access, and why original reporting still matters in an era of AI-generated analysis.

Drawing on decades of travel and firsthand reporting - from Beirut to Kyiv - he explains why being on the ground remains essential to understanding modern conflict, including what he calls Ukraine’s emerging “algorithm war.”

The conversation comes as Ignatius is honored with The Cipher Brief’s 2026 Impact in Journalism Award, recognizing a career spent uncovering how intelligence, technology, and geopolitics shape the world.