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The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

Can NATO Still Scare Putin?

Experts warn that sanctions alone won’t cut it as Moscow pushes the boundaries of airspace and Western leaders hesitate on red lines.

Can NATO Still Scare Putin?

EXPERT INTERVIEW – Polish President Karol Nowrocki signed a classified decree over the weekend allowing armed forces of NATO member states to be [...] More

The Open Source Report

Report for <span>Monday, September 15, 2025</span>

Report for Monday, September 15, 2025

Trump Says He Will Impose More Sanctions on Russia if NATO Does

Ukrainian Drone Strikes Target Russian Oil Infrastructure in Leningrad

Israel intensifies Gaza City bombing

U.S. - China end first day of talks in Spain on trade, TikTok deadline

Access Today’s Report

Expert Insights

Cipher Brief Experts bring context to today’s global events

Ex-CIA Station Chief’s Firsthand Account from Ukraine’s Frontline

Ralph Goff

Cipher Brief exclusive: Former six-time CIA station chief Ralph Goff details the status of the frontlines in Ukraine and where Kyiv needs the most help from its allies.EXPERT Q&A — The Russian drone incursion into Polish [...] More

Inside Ukraine's Innovation Under Fire

Joey Gagnard

Cipher Brief exclusive: Retired CW5 Joey Gagnard details how Ukrainian commanders are rewriting the rulebook on tech, tactics, and survival.EXPERT Q&A —This week, after the Russian drone incursions into Poland, Ukrainian [...] More

Threat Con 2025

News & Analysis

Putin's Drone Hit a NATO Nerve in Poland, Opening an Opportunity for Ukraine

Putin's Drone Hit a NATO Nerve in Poland, Opening an Opportunity for Ukraine

EXPERT INTERVIEW – More Western leaders and national security experts are now saying that Russia’s recent drone incursion into Poland was not a [...] More

Opinion

Russia Pays the Price as Ukraine Targets Its Oil Refineries

OPINION — Following Russia’s full-scale invasion in 2022, Vladimir Putin expected a swift victory from his “special military operation.” Instead, it [...] More

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Book Reviews

GETTING BILLY LONG-ED: DOD may have morphed into the Department of War…but it turns out there may also be a lot of combat going on within the ranks of the Department of Justice. Fox News reports that FBI Director Kash Patel is under fire from some of his bosses at DOJ and the White House. Some sources told Fox that Attorney General Pam Bondi and her deputy Todd Blanche “cannot stand him.” The reports come at an interesting time when just today a second deputy FBI director, former Missouri Attorney General Andrew Bailey, was sworn in to back up Patel alongside Dan Bongino. Some people speculate that Bailey may soon move up [...] More

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Events

Live Events

Threat Conference

Threat Conference

The Cipher Brief Threat Conference is the nation’s premier forum for non-partisan discussion of global threats and solutions as well as high-level [...] More

Upcoming: 19 October, 2025

Nighcap

Podcasts

State Secrets



Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth recently visited a warship off the coast of Puerto Rico, telling Marines and sailors that they are on the “front lines” of a critical counter-narcotics mission. Exactly what that mission is – remains murky but the statement itself was a clue to the administration’s intent. The U.S. has been beefing up military assets in the region. In this edition of The State Secrets Podcast, The Cipher Brief is talking with Renee Novakoff, former Deputy Director of Intelligence for Sensitive Activities and Special Programs at the Office of the Secretary of Defense about what we know and what we still don’t - about the Pentagon’s mission off the coast of Venezuela.

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment


Author and former Marine Elliot Ackerman’s latest tale is about an ex-CIA Ground Branch operator who goes by his call sign, “Skwerl” and a former Afghan special ops pilot who goes by the name “Big Cheese” so you’re probably already getting a good picture of Ackerman’s latest novel Sheepdogs, which follows Skwerl and Cheese on a globe-trotting adventure from Uganda to Marseille. Cipher Brief CEO & Publisher Suzanne Kelly welcomed Ackerman to the Cover Stories Studio to talk about missing handlers, hidden cargo and shadow war.