Report for Wednesday, November 27, 2024

THE TOP HEADLINES

Report for Wednesday, November 27, 2024

The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire takes effect – but can it hold?

Biden seeks $24 billion more for Ukraine aid and weapons replenishment.

Blinken is finally set to testify in Congress on U.S. exit from Afghanistan.

China places defense minister Dong Jun under investigation for corruption

‘Major’ cyber incident disrupts hospital operations in northwest England, Wales.

CIPHER BRIEF EXCLUSIVES

The Biden Administration’s Race to Help Ukraine – and Putin’s ResponseThe Cipher Brief 

Is Biden Aid to Ukraine Too Little, Too Late?The Cipher Brief 

THE MIDDLE EAST AT WAR

The Israel-Lebanon ceasefire takes effect – but can it hold?  Israel's security cabinet approved the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire  agreement in a 10-1 vote Tuesday.  President Joe Biden, speaking from the White House Tuesday, said he had spoken to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Lebanon's caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati, and that fighting would end at 4 a.m. local time (200 GMT, 9 p.m. EST).  At that hour, Reuters reported that gunfire could be heard across Beirut.  It wasn’t clear whether people were celebrating or rejecting the deal. Streams of Lebanese people who had driven from the border by Israeli airstrikes could be seen returning to southern Lebanon, according to Reuters and The New York Times. The deal calls for Hezbollah, an Iran-backed militant group, to retreat north of the Litani River in southern Lebanon in exchange for a gradual withdrawal of Israeli troops over an initial 60-day period. The Lebanese military and U.N. peacekeepers will secure the region. “This is designed to be a permanent cessation of hostilities,” Biden said. “We’re determined this conflict will not be just another cycle of violence.” In a televised speech before the vote, Netanyahu said that a cease-fire with Hezbollah served Israel’s interests but added that the country would “maintain full freedom of military action,” with the option of striking again at the militant group if it poses a threat. Lebanese forces will ensure all heavy weaponry and Hezbollah infrastructure have been removed from the area between the Litani River and the Israeli border, the Biden administration official said. The United States and France will join an existing verification mission to make sure “on a real-time basis … that any violations are deterred,” according to an official.   Axios  Washington Post   New York Times  New York Times Financial Times  Wall Street Journal    

Independent Inquiry Blames Israeli Leaders for Oct. 7.  An independent commission, founded by survivors and relatives of Israelis killed and taken hostage last October 7, has issued a scathing report condemning Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu and top military commanders for years of faulty decisions that made Israel more vulnerable to attack by Hamas militants. The Civilian Commission of Inquiry of the Oct. 7 Disaster found that one of the main causes was the government’s decision to adopt the doctrine of “money for quiet,”  funneling money to Hamas in the years before the attack. Netanyahu was criticized for squelching internal debate about that policy.  Top generals were blamed for stationing too few troops along Israel’s border with Gaza, lack of discipline among those who remained, and failure to understand the human and visual monitoring reports of Hamas preparations inside Gaza.  The commission’s existence underscores Israelis’ frustration at the government’s failure to hold powerful figures accountable.   New York Times Haaretz Jerusalem Post Times of Israel     

More than 800 European financial groups linked to companies with ties to Israeli settlements. Record numbers of European financial institutions have relationships with companies linked to Israeli settlements, according to a new study by 25 European and Palestinian civil society groups.  Some 822 financial institutions this year have relationships with 58 firms "actively involved" in Israeli settlements versus 776 in 2023, said the report of a coalition called Don't Buy into Occupation.   Israeli settlement activity has set new records.  Some settlers hope President-elect Donald Trump will help them impose Israeli sovereignty over territory that was to belong to a Palestinian state, if a two-state solution could have been achieved.  Reuters 

THE UKRAINE UPDATE

Biden seeks $24 billion more for Ukraine aid and weapons replenishment. President Joe Biden has requested $24 billion in emergency funding for Ukraine to support its defense against Russia and replenish U.S. weapon stocks. The proposal, quietly sent to Congress on Monday, includes $16 billion to replace U.S. arms already supplied to Ukraine and $8 billion for the Ukraine Security Assistance Initiative, which facilitates Pentagon contracts with American companies to arm Ukrainian forces. The request, outlined by the White House Office of Management and Budget, is part of a list of spending exemptions for a government funding patch expected to pass next month. Congressional aides confirmed the proposal but noted it has not yet been publicly disclosed. As Biden’s term nears its end, the request reflects a push to sustain Ukraine's war effort amid heightened uncertainty over future U.S. support, especially with President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to reassess American aid commitments to Kyiv. Politico Pro

Elon Musk opposes Biden's request for another $24 billion for Ukraine. Elon Musk, appointed to lead the Department of Government Efficiency in Donald Trump’s administration, criticized President Joe Biden’s request for $24 billion in additional aid to Ukraine, writing on X (formerly Twitter), “This is not ok.” Biden’s proposal includes $16 billion to replenish U.S. weapon stockpiles and $8 billion for Ukraine’s defense. Musk, a key supporter of Trump’s campaign, has been involved in high-level discussions, including with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. Ukrainska Pravda

How many Ukrainian soldiers have died? At least 60,000 to 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers are estimated to have died since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in 2022, based on reports from intelligence agencies, researchers, and open-source data. UAlosses, a detailed casualty database, records 60,435 verified deaths by name and age but acknowledges underreporting. Additionally, 400,000 Ukrainian soldiers are estimated to be too injured to fight, with up to one in 20 men of fighting age either dead or severely wounded. Civilian casualties remain undocumented in detail, but tens of thousands are believed to have been killed. The Economist

Kremlin admits Ukraine hit targets in Russia with US-made ATACMS. Ukraine has conducted two high-profile strikes in Russia’s Kursk region using U.S.-supplied ATACMS missiles, targeting critical military infrastructure. On Nov. 23, Ukrainian forces struck an S-400 air defense battalion in Lotarevka, damaging its radar system and causing casualties. On Nov. 25, eight ATACMS missiles were launched at the Kursk-Vostochny airfield, with one hitting its target and wounding two soldiers. Kyiv has confirmed its role in the S-400 strike but remains silent on the airfield attack. These actions, enabled by recent U.S. authorization to deploy ATACMS in cross-border operations, mark an escalation in Ukraine’s capability to hit strategic Russian targets. The Kremlin admitted the attacks and announced preparations for retaliation. Politico EU Reuters Bloomberg BBC

Ukrainian Troops Advance In Kupiansk. Ukrainian forces have pushed Russian troops back from Kupiansk in Kharkiv Oblast, stabilizing the city's outskirts. Utilizing a mix of modern T-84 Oplat tanks, captured Russian T-72B3s, and up-armored T-72Bs, Ukrainian brigades, including the experienced 14th Mechanized Brigade, thwarted Russian attempts to infiltrate and cross the Oskil River. Russian sabotage groups were largely neutralized. The Ukrainian 4th National Guard Brigade played a key role, engaging Russian troops at close range. Kupiansk offers a rare bright spot amid intense battles in Kursk and Donetsk, where Ukrainian forces face severe manpower and equipment disadvantages. Russia’s intensified artillery and glide bomb strikes appear aimed at displacing civilians from the eastern Oskil bank. Forbes Ukrainska Pravda 

New Russian missile fired at Ukraine carried warheads without explosives. Ukraine has revealed that the Russian ballistic missile fired at Dnipro last week carried dummy warheads without explosives, confirming it caused minimal damage. The Oreshnik missile, touted by the Kremlin as a new intermediate-range weapon, appears to have been a test, aligning with Russia’s claim of targeting a defense facility. Analysts suggest the dummy warheads likely contained instrumentation to measure missile performance. Western experts believe the missile is derived from the RS-26 design, and U.S. officials estimate Russia has a limited stock. Ukraine is developing countermeasures as Vladimir Putin signals plans for further testing of the experimental weapon. Reuters

Ukraine probes massive malfunction of mortar shells on the battlefield. Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense has launched an investigation into reports of malfunctioning domestically produced 120 mm mortar shells. According to complaints from troops, one in 10 shells from a recent batch failed to detonate during use. At least 100,000 rounds had to be removed from the frontline. Preliminary findings point to possible low-quality powder charges or improper storage conditions. The ministry has temporarily suspended using the affected batches and announced the deployment of imported shells as a replacement. The State Bureau of Investigation has opened a criminal case to determine the cause, while the defense ministry has pledged to improve quality control and review storage practices. Politico EU The Guardian

ANALYSIS–Biden races to boost Ukraine’s position before Trump takes office. President Joe Biden’s recent approval of long-range missiles and anti-landmines for Ukraine reflects a last-minute effort to bolster Kyiv’s position as it faces mounting pressures, including battlefield losses, Russian collaboration with North Korea, and Donald Trump’s election. Critics argue this shift, while necessary, comes too late to prevent Ukraine’s weakening stance. European officials and former diplomats have questioned why advanced weaponry wasn’t provided earlier, potentially allowing Ukraine to maintain stronger territorial control. Biden’s cautious approach, driven by fears of provoking Russia, has frustrated allies, who say delayed aid has often been less effective. As NATO and European leaders rush to “Trump-proof” support for Ukraine, concerns grow over a likely U.S. policy shift under Trump, who has vowed to end the war on terms that could favor Moscow. While defending Ukraine’s sovereignty, some view Biden's decisions as reactive, leaving Kyiv vulnerable in critical negotiations. Washington Post The Cipher Brief

South Koreans remain opposed to sending arms to Ukraine. South Koreans remain opposed to supplying arms to Ukraine, with 82% against it, polls reveal, despite Kyiv's renewed requests amid reports of North Korean troops aiding Russia. A Ukrainian delegation, including Defense Minister Rustem Umerov, is visiting Seoul to discuss potential military aid, but President Yoon Suk Yeol faces domestic backlash and low approval ratings. South Korea, a major weapons exporter, has provided non-lethal aid but has not ruled out arms supply, contingent on North Korea's and Russia's actions. A Western diplomat told Reuters that discussions behind the scenes focused on air defense systems designed to shoot down aircraft and missiles, but this month's U.S. presidential election win by Donald Trump cast uncertainty over the talks. Reuters

Ukraine’s Top Commander Wants New Counteroffensive. Ukraine's Col.-Gen. Oleksandr Syrskyi told a group of Ukrainian military bloggers that a new counteroffensive is Ukraine’s only viable strategy for victory, stating, “Victory is impossible if the Armed Forces work only in defense. We have to seize the initiative and counterattack.” Highlighting past successes in Kharkiv and Kherson, Syrskyi credited maneuvers such as flanking and logistical disruption. He acknowledged the difficult situation in eastern Donetsk, especially around Pokrovsk and Kurakhove, but noted improvements over the past week after deploying reserves to stabilize defenses. Despite being outnumbered near Pokrovsk, Russian forces suffered “huge losses,” forcing a shift in their tactics. Syrskyi also acknowledged manpower challenges, with new recruits often older and less motivated. The War Zone

Russian attacks kill two, wound 17 in the past day. Russian shelling killed two civilians in Sumy, northeastern Ukraine, on Tuesday, President Volodymyr Zelensky said. Struck around 12:10 pm, the attack damaged homes, a car service station, and an educational building. Zelensky said the strike likely involved a multiple-launch rocket system, emphasizing Ukraine’s need to target Russian launch sites. An additional 17 Ukrainians were injured in Russian strikes in the past day, including 11 in southern Kherson Oblast, Ukrainian authorities said Wednesday. Reuters Kyiv Independent

Three wounded in Russian drone attack on Ukraine's Kyiv on Wednesday. A Russian drone attack on Kyiv injured three people, including two hospitalized, early Wednesday. Falling debris hit a building in the Dniprovskyi district, according to Mayor Vitali Klitschko. Ukrainian air defenses downed 36 of 89 drones, while five returned to Russia or Belarus. Tuesday saw record drone strikes nationwide. The military said it had lost track of 48 drones. Kyiv Independent

Russia claims Ukraine's drones, missiles attacked Crimea on Wednesday. Ukrainian drones and missiles targeted Sevastopol in occupied Crimea on Wednesday, according to Russian-installed official Mikhail Razvozhayev, who claimed air defenses intercepted two missiles and five drones. The pro-Ukrainian Crimean Wind Telegram channel reported explosions near Sevastopol, Belbek airfield, and the Nakhimov Naval Academy, sharing unverified photos of smoke. Ukraine has consistently struck military and industrial targets in Crimea throughout Russia's full-scale war. Kyiv Independent

Energy ‘corruption’ leaves Ukrainians facing a deadly freeze. Ukraine faces a critical energy crisis as winter sets in, exacerbated by widespread corruption and inadequate protection for its electricity infrastructure against Russian airstrikes. Despite international recommendations to construct fortified bunkers for substations, the Ukrainian government has reportedly delayed funding the €1.4 billion project due to corruption and mismanagement. Former official Mustafa Nayyem claimed vested interests stalled progress, with contractors alleging unpaid funds and government interference. As 80% of Ukraine’s energy grid remains damaged, temporary defenses like British-supplied gabions and anti-air systems offer limited protection. Russian strikes and the potential curtailment of U.S. aid under Donald Trump could worsen the situation, leading to increased power outages and more refugees heading west. The controversy highlights systemic corruption, including allegations against high-ranking officials, undermining Ukraine’s European Union accession ambitions. Critics warn these failures threaten Ukraine’s resilience and its ability to maintain international support during the war. The Times

NATO reaffirms support for Ukraine following Russian ballistic missile launch. NATO reaffirmed support for Ukraine Tuesday during a NATO-Ukraine Council meeting following Russia’s launch of an experimental ballistic missile targeting Dnipro last Thursday. NATO condemned the strike as terrorizing civilians and vowed continued backing for Ukraine. Russian President Vladimir Putin described the launch of the Oreshnik missile as retaliation for Western-supplied weapons used by Ukraine to strike Russian territory. Reuters

G7 renews support for Ukraine, condemns Russian 'escalation.' G7 foreign ministers on Tuesday reaffirmed their unwavering support for Ukraine and condemned Russia’s “reckless” missile use and nuclear rhetoric. Meeting in Fiuggi, Italy, they warned of North Korea’s support for Russia and urged China to intervene. They pledged action against sanctions evasion and aimed to distribute $50 billion from frozen Russian assets by year’s end. Reuters

Norway plans to increase aid to Ukraine to $2.7 billion in 2025. Norway will likely raise its aid to Ukraine to $2.7 billion in 2025, following discussions between the government and opposition leaders. Prime Minister Jonas Gahr Støre highlighted the urgency of increased support for Ukraine. This proposal exceeds the $2.4 billion provided in 2024. Ukrainska Pravda

Gazprom 2025 plan assumes no more transit via Ukraine to Europe. Gazprom is preparing for the halt of natural gas transit through Ukraine in 2025 as the current deal expires on Dec. 31. Kyiv has signaled it will not renew the agreement, which generates $1 billion annually for Ukraine. Russian gas exports to Europe have already plummeted due to the war and the European Union's efforts to reduce reliance on Russian energy. The halt would further strain Europe’s energy supplies, especially in central European countries that are still dependent on Russian gas. Reuters Bloomberg

Turkey Seeks US Sanctions Waiver to Continue Russia Gas Flow. Turkey is seeking a U.S. sanctions waiver to continue using Gazprombank for payments on Russian natural gas, which accounts for 42% of its imports. Energy Minister Alparslan Bayraktar warned that Turkey cannot pay or receive gas without the exemption. A Russian delegation held talks in Ankara to explore alternative payment methods. Turkey, while supplying Ukraine with military aid, has avoided sanctioning Russia and maintains energy ties, including plans for a natural gas hub and nuclear projects. Bloomberg

EU to discuss adding tankers, Chinese firms to Russia sanctions list. European Union envoys will meet on Wednesday to discuss a 15th sanctions package targeting 29 entities, 54 individuals, and 48 tankers carrying Russian oil alongside Chinese firms aiding Moscow's drone production. The measures aim to curtail Russian oil revenues and bolster the G7 price cap. A stricter 16th package is planned for January under Poland’s EU presidency, focusing on liquefied natural gas restrictions and closing loopholes that enable goods re-export to Russia. Financial institutions aiding sanctions evasion are also under scrutiny. Reuters

What could happen to Ukraine if Călin Georgescu becomes Romanian president? If Călin Georgescu wins Romania's presidency on Dec. 8, significant shifts in Romania's strong pro-NATO and pro-Ukraine stance are unlikely. Despite Georgescu’s anti-NATO rhetoric, Romania's overwhelming public support for NATO and its key role on the alliance’s Eastern flank would constrain drastic policy changes. Romania's strategic position as a NATO gatekeeper at the Black Sea and a critical transit hub for Ukrainian grain would likely endure. Georgescu's rise reflects economic frustrations and anti-establishment sentiment rather than a shift in Romania's foreign policy priorities. Euronews

Ukrainian MP from Zelensky's party nominates Trump for Nobel Peace Prize. Ukrainian member of parliament Oleksandr Merezhko, chair of the parliament's foreign affairs committee and a member of President Volodymyr Zelensky's Servant of the People party, nominated U.S. President-elect Donald Trump for the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize. Merezhko cited Trump’s past mediation efforts, such as the Abraham Accords, and his decision to provide Javelin missiles to Ukraine during his first term as evidence of his contributions to peace. Despite criticism from many Ukrainian leaders regarding Trump’s praise for Putin and skepticism about U.S. aid, Merezhko hopes the nomination will engage Trump in supporting Ukraine’s sovereignty and achieving a peace deal based on international law. Kyiv Independent

Trump can’t deliver a peace deal, says ex-Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba. Former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba expressed deep skepticism about President-elect Donald Trump’s ability to broker a peace deal, arguing that Russian President Vladimir Putin remains intent on destroying Ukrainian statehood. In an interview with Politico, Kuleba warned that withholding U.S. weapons under Trump could collapse Ukraine’s front lines, allowing Russian forces to reach key cities like Dnipro and Zaporizhzhia. “Putin believes he’s one step away from exposing the West as weak,” Kuleba said, criticizing inconsistent Western support while Russia secures allies like North Korea. He emphasized Europe’s pivotal role if U.S. aid diminishes, questioning its readiness to act decisively. Kuleba lamented the West’s lack of clear strategic goals, contrasting it with Russia’s focus: “You cannot win a war where Russia knows its goals, Ukraine knows its goals, but the West doesn’t know what it is fighting for.” Despite his pessimism, Kuleba hoped that Putin’s miscalculation might disrupt Russian plans. Politico EU

Interview: Could A Demilitarized Zone End the Ukraine War? In an interview with RFE/RL, U.S. Air Force Lieutenant Colonel Jahara "Franky" Matisek, a professor in the national security affairs department of the U.S. Naval War College, suggested that a demilitarized zone (DMZ), similar to Korea's, could be a realistic outcome to end the war in Ukraine. He proposed a zone reinforced with land mines and European Union-flagged peacekeepers. Matisek highlighted Ukraine's manpower shortage as a more pressing issue than equipment, advocating for drone-based solutions to offset personnel deficits. He criticized U.S. aid as "too little, too late," particularly regarding ATACMS deployment, which allowed Russia time to adjust. Matisek dismissed Russia's nuclear threats as a bluff. He warned that achieving full territorial reclamation is increasingly unlikely. He speculated the war could persist for another three years. RFE/RL

ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment for Tuesday, Nov. 26. The Kremlin seeks to seize more Ukrainian territory and remains unwilling to compromise or negotiate in good faith. The Russian military's recent advances are faster than earlier in 2024 but remain tactical and gradual compared to the initial invasion pace. Russia launched a record number of drones against Ukraine, increasingly employing decoys to overwhelm Ukrainian air defenses. Russian command reshuffled senior military leaders, replacing Colonel General Gennady Anashkin with Lieutenant General Alexander Sanchik. Russian forces continue to execute Ukrainian POWs, reflecting escalating war crimes and systemic impunity. A Russian military blogger criticized poor coordination between artillery, armored vehicles, and infantry in Russian operations.

Battlefield update: Ukrainian forces regained positions near Kreminna, while Russian advances continue near Pokrovsk, Kurakhove, and Velyka Novosilka. Institute for the Study of War

Opinion: The Price of a Bad Peace. Anastasia Edel asserts that Russian President Vladimir Putin, emboldened by domestic unity, economic resilience, and international alliances, is unlikely to agree to peace terms that do not ensure Ukraine’s subjugation. Meanwhile, the West, fatigued by prolonged conflict and divided on its response, appears ready to concede Ukrainian territory in the name of peace. Edel criticizes this approach, highlighting that Ukraine’s NATO membership or enduring sovereignty conflicts with both Putin’s goals and Trump’s isolationist rhetoric. She warns that appeasement only fuels aggressors and insists that European security hinges on containing Russia militarily. Without a decisive battlefield defeat for Putin, she contends, lasting peace will remain elusive, and any settlement risks empowering Russian expansionism while undermining global stability. Foreign Policy

Opinion: Putin’s Ukraine obsession began 20 years ago with the Orange Revolution. Peter Dickinson argues that Vladimir Putin’s obsession with Ukraine began with the 2004 Orange Revolution, which challenged authoritarianism and signaled Ukraine’s drift from Russian influence. Putin’s direct interference, including support for Viktor Yanukovych, backfired, sparking public mobilization and straining relations. Putin's imperial vision led to escalating aggression, from Crimea’s annexation in 2014 to the 2022 invasion. Dickinson views Putin’s hostility toward Ukrainian democracy as rooted in fears of a similar uprising in Russia. He dismisses compromise, asserting that peace hinges on making Ukraine’s independence irrevocable, as Putin sees its destruction as essential to Russia’s survival. Atlantic Council

THE AMERICAS

Trump’s tariff threats evoke immediate response among U.S. trading partners. President-elect Donald Trump’s plans to impose tariffs on imports from Mexico, Canada, and China are stirring up controversy and prompting mixed reactions. His threats aim to pressure these countries into making concessions on immigration and drug trafficking. This move, described by one source as a negotiating tactic, could threaten $2.1 trillion in annual trade and risk disrupting supply chains, increasing consumer costs, and sparking retaliatory actions. Trump's proposed tariffs include a 25% levy on Mexico and Canada until cross-border drug trafficking and unauthorized migration are curtailed, and a 10% hike on Chinese imports to combat fentanyl smuggling. The announcement has drawn a variety of reactions: Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau and Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum pledged to respond strategically, while business leaders view the tariffs as a starting point for negotiations. Sheinbaum promised that she would retaliate if Trump sticks with his plans, even if it resulted in “inflation and job losses” in both nations. Meanwhile, Canadian officials lambasted the President-elect, with one Ontario figure calling Trump’s comparison of Ottawa to Mexico “the most insulting thing I’ve ever heard.” The financial markets responded with record highs for major indices but declines for companies dependent on cross-border trade. Experts and officials from the affected countries expressed concerns about economic fallout but signaled willingness to negotiate. Despite Trump’s claims of uncontrolled borders, data indicates illegal crossings are dwindling and fentanyl smuggling is beijing reduced. However, his rhetoric links trade policies directly to these issues, reflecting his campaign promises. Observers see this as part of a broader strategy to renegotiate trade relationships and influence policy changes. Washington Post  New York Times  Financial Times Associated Press  Associated Press

Do the numbers match up with Trump’s rhetoric about border crossings, drugs and crime? President-elect Donald Trump announced a plan to impose 25% tariffs on all imports from Mexico and Canada, citing concerns about illegal immigration, crime, and fentanyl trafficking. His rhetoric aligns with campaign themes painting U.S. borders as defenseless, and linking immigration to crime and the drug crisis, but data suggests a more complex reality.

• In regard to border crossings, studies show that southern border arrests have significantly declined under stricter enforcement and asylum restrictions during the Biden administration. Though northern border arrests have risen, overall numbers remain far smaller than the southern border. Trump also faced high border arrest rates during his first presidency, but numbers under Biden have been higher.
• As for drug smuggling, most fentanyl entering the U.S. comes from Mexico; however, 86% of those convicted for trafficking are American citizens. Fentanyl seizures have increased under Biden, reflecting enhanced detection efforts. Mexico's prior administration under López Obrador denied that Mexico made fentanyl and resisted aggressive anti-cartel policies, while his successor, Claudia Sheinbaum, has shown signs of renewed cooperation.
• Concerning crime and immigration, studies reveal that immigrants, including those in the U.S. illegally, have lower crime rates than native-born Americans. Despite some high-profile crimes involving immigrants, no evidence suggests a broader crime surge linked to immigration. Republicans, nonetheless, spotlight specific incidents to support stricter policies and argue that any crime by unauthorized immigrants is preventable. Associated Press 

Immigrants bracing for Trump’s erasure of humanitarian parole. The U.S. is grappling with significant immigration challenges as President-elect Donald Trump prepares to dismantle key humanitarian parole programs expanded under President Biden. Parole has allowed migrants facing urgent crises to legally enter the U.S. since 1952, and Biden broadened it for Cubans, Haitians, Nicaraguans, and Venezuelans, providing work authorization and temporary protection for two years. These programs have provided temporary legal status to over a million migrants from countries in crisis. Trump has promised to end what he calls the “abuse of parole,” targeting not only Biden’s expanded parole initiatives but also programs like DACA and Temporary Protected Status. His administration may revoke existing parole, halt new admissions, or allow protections to expire without renewal. This has sparked widespread fear among parole beneficiaries, many of whom face dire conditions if forced to return to their home countries. Some migrants are already considering leaving the U.S. voluntarily before their parole expires to avoid undocumented status. The potential rollback of parole programs would have significant consequences for migrants and sponsors alike, and critics warn that mass deportations could target parolees because their locations and sponsors are well-documented. While legal challenges to these measures are likely, the Trump administration could bypass them by stopping new admissions and waiting for current statuses to expire. Associated Press 

Canada suggests expediting refugee refusals amid domestic discontent over immigration. Canadian Immigration Minister Marc Miller on Monday announced plans to reform the country's refugee system, aiming to address inefficiencies and reduce the backlog of claims. This includes potentially fast-tracking rejections of asylum cases deemed unlikely to succeed. While Miller criticized what he views as misuse of the asylum process—particularly by international students—advocates and legal experts warn that such measures could violate due process and face legal challenges. Ottawa is experiencing record-high refugee claims, with more than 260,000 pending as of October. Although monthly claims have decreased slightly, the system remains overwhelmed. Miller's proposed reforms aim to streamline the process and address the rising number of asylum claims filed by international students who have lost other pathways to permanent residency due to recent rule changes. These reforms coincide with Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's recent shift toward reducing immigration levels amid declining public support and political pressure. Reuters CBC 

After months of sparring, Blinken is finally set to testify in Congress on U.S. exit from Afghanistan. U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken has consented to testify publicly on December 11 before the House Foreign Affairs Committee regarding the controversial and chaotic 2021 withdrawal from Afghanistan. This decision follows months of squabbles between the GOP-led committee and the State Department, which argued that it had already provided extensive information on the evacuation, including 20,000 pages of records and multiple testimonies. The committee has criticized the Biden administration for what it described as failures in the tumultuous exit. A September report by committee Republicans blamed the administration for mishandling the withdrawal, a politically charged issue that gained prominence long before the 2024 presidential election. Republicans have focused blame on President Biden and Vice President Kamala Harris, while Democrats argue that former President Donald Trump bears responsibility for initiating the withdrawal by signing a deal with the Taliban in 2020. Trump has pledged to hold those responsible for the pullout accountable. Reuters The Hill Fox News New York Post 

U.S. unravels the mystery of illegal fishing in the Gulf of Mexico, places blame on a Mexican drug cartel. A Mexican drug cartel has been revealed as the culprit behind illegal red snapper fishing in the Gulf of Mexico, using fishing boats to smuggle drugs, migrants, and fish into the U.S. The Gulf Cartel operates out of Playa Bagdad, Mexico, and sells the illegally caught fish in Mexico and the U.S., violating strict fishing regulations designed to protect marine life. The U.S. Treasury Department has sanctioned cartel members, and restrictions on Mexican fishing vessels entering U.S. ports remain in place due to ongoing violations. Associated Press 

Blinken and U.S. Allies Struggle with Wars as Biden’s Presidency Wanes. At the final 2024 Group of 7 meeting, diplomats in Italy, led by U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken, addressed global conflicts this week, including Ukraine’s war with Russia, and discussed future challenges under President-elect Donald Trump. The communiqué reaffirmed unwavering support for Ukraine’s sovereignty and condemned China and North Korea’s military aid to Russia. Blinken emphasized ensuring Ukraine's ability to "fight through 2025 if necessary" or negotiate from a position of strength. Amid broader discussions, Blinken highlighted global food insecurity exacerbated by conflicts like Russia's invasion of Ukraine. He praised the World Food Program's efforts to address these challenges. However, uncertainty looms as Trump’s stance on reducing military aid to Ukraine could pressure Kyiv into unfavorable negotiations with Moscow. European unity remains crucial, but divisions on issues such as the Middle East and International Criminal Court actions against Israeli leaders illustrate the complexities of international diplomacy as Biden’s presidency wanes. New York Times

Trump Returns to ‘Maximum Pressure’ as Era of Biden Alliances Ends. Donald Trump's "maximum pressure" approach to national security relies on economic and diplomatic coercion to compel adversaries and allies to align with U.S. interests. Central to this strategy are high tariffs, sanctions, and threats of trade penalties to gain leverage in negotiations. During his first term, Trump employed these tactics against Iran and North Korea, achieving financial strain on Iran but limited changes in their behavior. For his second term, Trump has already announced tariffs targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, aimed at curbing illegal migration and fentanyl trafficking, as well as addressing trade imbalances. While his allies argue this approach strengthens U.S. negotiating positions, critics warn of rising consumer costs, trade wars, and strained global alliances. Trump's strategy bypasses traditional consensus-building, focusing instead on projecting strength and unpredictability, which he believes will force compliance but risks deepening global economic and geopolitical tensions. Wall Street Journal

U.N. removes staff from Haiti as gangs expand control over Port-au-Prince. The U.N. is evacuating staff from Haiti as armed gangs intensify their attacks on Port-au-Prince, which is now 80-90% dominated by gangs. Two U.N. evacuation flights are set to land in Panama City this week, carrying international police advisers and U.N. officials, while remaining personnel in Haiti will be partially relocated to safer regions to continue operations. Despite the relocation, the U.N. has stressed that it is not abandoning the country. Other organizations, including Mercy Corps and Doctors Without Borders, are also scaling back activities in Port-au-Prince due to escalating violence and security threats. Over 40,000 residents have been displaced in just 10 days. Reuters Al Jazeera 

Brazil police confirm Bolsonaro was directly linked to 2022 coup plot.  After a nearly two-year investigation, Brazil's federal police have presented evidence to the Supreme Court implicating former President Jair Bolsonaro in a plot to overturn the 2022 election, which he lost to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. According to an 884-page report, Bolsonaro allegedly orchestrated a conspiracy to abolish democratic rule and remain in power, with evidence including plea bargain testimonies, wiretaps, search warrants, and financial records. The report also reveals that Bolsonaro was aware of a plan to assassinate Lula and his running mate, Geraldo Alckmin, a plot that was discussed in meetings involving Bolsonaro’s Defense Minister, retired General Walter Braga Netto, and other officials. Bolsonaro and 37 others, including military officers, now face formal accusations of planning the coup. The investigation is a significant setback for the former leader, who denies any wrongdoing. Brazil’s top prosecutor is expected to merge these cases into a single indictment, likely to be issued next year. Reuters The Guardian LA Times 

Colombia to impose visa requirements on British citizens in response to U.K. visa restrictions. Colombian President Gustavo Petro on Tuesday announced that the country will impose visa requirements on British nationals in response to the U.K.’s decision to reinstate visa requirements for Colombian travelers. The U.K. cited a significant increase in unjustified asylum claims by Colombians as the reason for the policy change. Economic stagnation and escalating violence in Colombia have driven many citizens to migrate to Europe and the U.S. In 2022, U.S. border agents arrested over 165,000 Colombians at the Mexican border, a figure that slightly declined in 2023. Associated Press The Independent The Bogotá Post 

EUROPE

British military bolster US airbases as unidentified drones are detected poking around. Unidentified drone activity near three UK airbases hosting U.S. forces, including RAF Lakenheath, RAF Mildenhall, and RAF Feltwell, has prompted a reinforced response from British armed forces. Since Nov. 20, drones of varying sizes and configurations have been spotted, though no harm to residents or assets has been reported. U.S. and UK authorities are investigating the incursions, possibly linked to broader threats in Europe, including Russian sabotage plots. Advanced counter-drone systems may be deployed. Pentagon officials stress ongoing vigilance and collaboration with UK authorities. The War Zone

Russia Expels UK Diplomat Amid Tensions Over Ukraine Strikes. Russia expelled a British diplomat on allegations of espionage, escalating tensions with the UK amid the war in Ukraine. Moscow’s Federal Security Service (FSB) accused the diplomat of falsifying information for entry and conducting intelligence work under diplomatic cover. The diplomat, replacing one of six British officials expelled in September for alleged spying, was given two weeks to leave. The UK Foreign Office dismissed the claims as “malicious and baseless.” This action follows Ukraine’s use of British-supplied Storm Shadow missiles in strikes inside Russia, prompting President Vladimir Putin’s condemnation and claims of UK involvement in the war. Additionally, Russia banned 30 UK officials, including prominent ministers, in retaliation for perceived anti-Russian rhetoric. Bloomberg CNN Associated Press The Guardian Al Jazeera Politico EU

Russian court hands down 4-year sentence to young journalist convicted of cooperating with a foreign organization. Russian journalist Nika Novak has been sentenced to four years in prison in a closed trial in Chita, accused of “confidential collaboration” with a foreign organization. The charges stem from her work for U.S.-funded Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty (RFE/RL) and claims that she produced materials discrediting the Russian military. Novak’s case is part of a broader crackdown under Russia’s 2022 foreign agent law, which targets media and dissent. Human rights group Memorial considers her a political prisoner, noting her conflicting views on Russia’s war in Ukraine. RFE/RL condemned the sentence as politically motivated and called for her release. Associated Press VOA Committee to Protect Journalists  The Moscow Times

Georgian lawmakers to select a new president in mid-December. Georgia’s parliament scheduled a Dec. 14 election for a new president, the first under a 2017 constitutional reform eliminating direct voting. The ruling Georgian Dream party, with a majority in the 300-seat electoral college, is expected to pick an ally after its contentious Oct. 26 election win. Opponents claim the election was rigged, with reports of bribery, violence, and irregularities. Outgoing President Salome Zourabichvili rejected the results, while the European Union criticized Georgia’s democratic backsliding. Georgian Dream, founded by pro-Russian billionaire Bidzina Ivanishvili, faces accusations of authoritarianism and passing Kremlin-style laws curbing free speech and LGBTQ+ rights. Associated Press  

Albanian opposition supporters block the capital’s streets in an anti-government rally. Albania’s opposition staged a large anti-government protest in Tirana on Tuesday, blocking roads and clashing with riot police. Protesters accused Prime Minister Edi Rama’s Socialist government of corruption and election manipulation, demanding a technocratic caretaker government until the 2025 parliamentary elections. Riot police used tear gas and water cannons to disperse crowds, while opposition leaders pledged to continue nationwide rallies. The opposition claims corruption charges against them are politically motivated. Rama denies these allegations and accuses the opposition of inciting violence to gain power. Despite weekly protests, Rama’s Socialists are favored to win next year’s election due to a divided opposition. The U.S. and European Union have urged dialogue, warning that unrest could hinder Albania’s EU integration goals. Tirana recently began aligning with EU standards, aiming for membership by 2030. Associated Press Reuters 

THE MIDDLE EAST

Turkey scales back $23 billion F-16 jet deal with US.  Turkey has cut its planned $23 billion purchase from the U.S. of an F-16 fighter jet package, by dropping its plan to buy 79 modernization kits for its existing fleet, Defense Minister Yasar Guler said Tuesday.  Turkey will still buy 40 new Lockheed Martin F-16 fighter jets. Guler said Turkey’s own Turkish Aerospace Industries facilities could execute modernization, so the government decided to buy Turkish.  The 40 new F-16 jets and ammunition for them will cost Turkey some $7 billion, Guler said.  In 2019, the U.S. kicked Turkey out of the fifth-generation F-35 fighter jet program because it bought a Russian missile defense system. Turkey wants to re-join the F-35 program and buy 40 new F-35 jets, Guler said. Reuters    

ASIA & OCEANIA

Sources predict China will conduct military drills around Taiwan due to president's Pacific visit. China is expected to conduct military drills near Taiwan in response to Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te’s upcoming trip to Pacific ally nations. The trip, which will begin on Saturday, could include U.S. stopovers in Hawaii and Guam. Beijing views Lai as a separatist and opposes his transit through the U.S., considering it a violation of the one-China principle. Sources suggest Beijing may stage military maneuvers during or shortly after Lai's trip, repurposing ongoing activities in the South and East China Seas as part of its "Joint Sword" exercises. These drills, which often involve naval and air force operations near the self-governing island, aim to assert China's influence over the region, particularly during Washington’s presidential transition. Beijing has conducted similar military responses to past Taiwan-U.S. engagements. Reuters 

China places defense minister Dong Jun under investigation for corruption. Chinese Defense Minister Dong Jun is reportedly under investigation amid a sweeping anti-corruption probe targeting the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). Dong, who was appointed in December 2023, is the third consecutive Chinese defense minister to face corruption allegations. He follows his predecessors Li Shangfu and Wei Fenghe, who were expelled from the Communist Party in June for taking bribes and abusing their positions. The investigation is part of a broader anti-corruption purge that has seen the removal of at least nine PLA generals and several defense industry executives. Dong, a former PLA Navy chief, was not promoted to China's top military body, the Central Military Commission (CMC), or the State Council, raising questions about his standing within Beijing’s military hierarchy. Dong's probe comes in the aftermath of similar allegations against his predecessors, with Li accused of corruption in military procurement and Wei implicated in bribery during his tenure leading the PLA Rocket Force. The anti-corruption campaign highlights internal challenges within China's military leadership and the broader Communist Party. Financial Times Reuters Bloomberg Deutsche Welle  

Taiwanese military triggers public indignation by using Taipei university for urban warfare training. Taiwan's military is conducting urban warfare training for reservists on the campus of National Chengchi University (NCCU) in Taipei, marking the first such use of a university in the capital for military exercises. This decision has sparked public concerns and political criticism, with opposition lawmakers accusing the government of jeopardizing campus safety and normalizing the presence of military activities in educational institutions. The training, which includes the use of firearms and ammunition, aims to prepare for potential conflicts with the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). Critics argue that hosting training on a university campus could make it a target during conflict and disrupt academic life. Defense officials defended the move, citing strategic considerations and the need for readiness in urban defense scenarios. South China Morning Post 

Sources say Trump camp considering direct discussions with North Korean leader Kim.  Sources say that President-elect Donald Trump’s team is considering pursuing direct talks with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un. This suggests a revival of the unprecedented diplomatic outreach to Pyongyang during Trump’s first term, when he held three direct meetings with Kim in Singapore, Hanoi and at the Korean border. That diplomacy yielded no concrete results; Kim called for sanctions relief but refused Trump’s request for an end to all nuclear activities, including at undeclared facilities. Since then, North Korea has not responded to outreach from the Biden administration, during which time it has grown closer with Russia. The sources said no final decisions on policy have been made, and Trump’s transition team did not comment on the matter.  Reuters RBC-Ukraine  

U.S. deploys nuclear-powered submarine to Guam outpost as competition with China deepens.  Washington has deployed the USS Minnesota, a Virginia-class nuclear-powered fast-attack submarine, to Guam, marking the first time a vessel of its class has been stationed at this strategic Indo-Pacific outpost. The move greatly enhances the U.S. Navy's capabilities in the region amid surging tensions with China. The USS Minnesota, commissioned in 2013, was designed to replace older Los Angeles-class submarines and is equipped for missions such as anti-submarine warfare, strike operations, and intelligence gathering. The deployment is part of a broader U.S. strategy to counter Beijing’s expanding influence in the Indo-Pacific, particularly around Taiwan and the South China Sea. Guam is located within striking distance of key Chinese military assets and plays a critical role in U.S. power projection and deterrence efforts. Washington has committed significant resources, including $11 billion, to strengthen the island territory’s military infrastructure, with the construction of a Marine base to house 5,000 troops and upgrades to airbases. The Pentagon views Guam as essential for responding to regional aggression and maintaining security for the U.S. and its allies. South China Morning Post Stars and Stripes The War Zone United States Navy   

China reportedly cautions New Zealand against joining AUKUS. China's ambassador to New Zealand, Wang Xiaolong, warned that if Wellington were to join the AUKUS security pact, it would "inevitably" harm its relationship with China. In an interview with Radio New Zealand published Wednesday, Wang urged the nation to consider its long-term interests, regional security implications, and bilateral ties with Beijing before making any decisions. New Zealand is currently gathering information about potential cooperation with AUKUS but has not committed to the pact. The trilateral security partnership, formed in 2021 by the U.S., Britain, and Australia, aims to counter China’s influence in the Asia-Pacific. It includes two pillars: delivering nuclear-powered submarines to Australia and advancing technologies across various defense areas. Wang criticized AUKUS as embodying a "zero-sum Cold War mentality," warning that it could augment divisiveness as well as the risk of conflict in the region. Meanwhile, consultations with countries like New Zealand, Canada, and South Korea continue under AUKUS's second pillar to explore collaboration opportunities. Reuters Australian Broadcasting Corporation 

Pakistani police clear Imran Khan supporters from Islamabad after protests called off.  Pakistan Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI), Pakistan’s opposition party led by jailed former Prime Minister Imran Khan, has suspended its street protests following a deadly raid in Islamabad. Security forces dispersed thousands of protesters in a midnight operation after the demonstrations resulted in six deaths, including four paramilitary soldiers and two protesters. The protests aimed to demand Khan's release, as he has been imprisoned since August 2023. PTI had planned a sit-in at Islamabad’s red zone, which houses key government and diplomatic buildings, but called it off after the raid. The convoy, led by Khan’s wife, Bushra Bibi, and a key ally, had breached security lines before being dispersed. Interior Minister Mohsin Naqvi commended law enforcement on Wednesday for clearing the area. The raid caused significant political and economic disruption, but the nation’s stock market rebounded sharply after the suspension of protests, signaling improved investor confidence amid hopes for restored political stability. PTI plans to devise a new strategy after consultations. Associated Press CNN Bangkok Post Reuters France 24 

AFRICA

UN launches probe into sexual exploitation accusations against aid workers in Chad, after AP report. A report by the Associated Press alleging sexual exploitation of Sudanese refugees by humanitarian workers and local security forces in displacement camps has prompted the United Nations in Chad to launch an internal investigation. The report detailed accusations of men offering money, assistance, or jobs in exchange for sexual favors, targeting vulnerable women and girls fleeing Sudan's devastating civil war. U.N. officials condemned the abuses and pledged to hold those responsible accountable. The organization raised its risk alert level for sexual exploitation and abuse to "very high" and is working with local authorities and human rights groups to address the issue. Despite longstanding efforts, aid groups face challenges in preventing such exploitation, including underreporting, limited resources, and a focus on basic necessities. The U.N. stressed that those fleeing conflict should never face further harm from those tasked with aiding them. Associated Press 

Armed men kill 10 near Central African Republic diamond mining town. Gunmen ambushed and killed six motorcycle taxi drivers and four of their clients near the diamond mining town of Bria in the Central African Republic, according to authorities on Tuesday. The victims were returning from a religious ceremony in Ippy when they were tied up, killed, and their motorcycles set on fire. Authorities suspect the attack is linked to ongoing conflicts in the region, but no group has claimed responsibility. Bria has long been a hotspot for clashes between government forces and the Coalition of Patriots for Change (CPC), an anti-government militant group. The region is further destabilized by the trade of conflict diamonds, which are banned under the 2003 Kimberley Process. Russian Wagner mercenaries, brought in to combat rebels, are supporting military operations in the area but have faced allegations of committing human rights abuses, as well as backing the authoritarian regime of President Faustin-Archange Touadéra. A military police commander said that the army and Wagner forces are conducting operations in response to the attack. Associated Press

Mali severs TV news station’s signal due to broadcast upbraiding Burkina Faso’s junta. Mali's military junta cut the signal of popular news broadcaster Joliba TV News on Tuesday after a televised debate featured criticism of Burkina Faso's military rulers by politician Issa Kaou N’Djim. This act is part of a broader crackdown on press freedom and political dissent under Mali’s military regime, which has ruled since staging a coup in 2020. N’Djim, a former vice president of Mali’s National Transitional Council, was recently arrested after claiming Burkina Faso’s junta fabricated evidence of a coup plot. Joliba TV's director was also questioned, and the channel now faces the potential revocation of its license. The Press House of Mali is advocating for the restoration of the channel's signal and greater press freedom. This incident comes in the wake of restrictive measures, including arrests of opposition politicians and activists, and a ban on media coverage of political parties. Mali, along with Niger and Burkina Faso, is part of the Alliance of Sahel States, which has faced escalating security challenges, including extremist attacks and allegations of civilian killings by government forces. Associated Press  

Mali town of Tinzaouaten, the site of intense July battle, is reeling under disease outbreaks and drone attacks.  The residents of Tinzaouaten, a northern Mali desert town at the heart of a devastating July fight between Tuareg rebels and the Malian army supported by Russian Wagner mercenaries, are facing dire conditions marked by disease outbreaks, drone strikes, and flooding. Tuareg rebels control the town, and roadblocks and security issues have prevented the delivery of essential supplies like medicine and bed nets, exacerbating outbreaks of diphtheria and malaria. Repeated drone attacks since the summer have killed dozens of civilians, including children and doctors. Severe flooding in the Sahel region has compounded the crisis, prompting Mali to declare a national disaster in August. Many Tinzaouaten residents and others from regions like Menaka, Kidal, and Gao have fled to Algeria, seeking safety from the fighting and harsh conditions. Tens of thousands of displaced people have passed through the area. One man, a herder staying in a displacement camp on the periphery of Tinzaouaten, said he had traveled hundreds of kilometers “looking for peace” and “fleeing Wagner and the Malian army.” Reuters 

CYBER, TECH & MARKETS

Axios cites transition sources on possible Trump administration ‘AI Czar’.   Sources with the Trump transition team have told Axios that the president-elect is considering the appointment of an “AI czar” to oversee Federal government policy and use of the technology.  According to Axios, the czar will not be Elon Musk or Vivek Ramaswamy, co-chairs of the Department of Government Efficiency, but they will have influence over whoever is named.  Trump reportedly will be very engaged in policies concerning emerging technologies.  Bloomberg reported recently that the transition team has vetted cryptocurrency executives for the role of “crypto czar” and there is a possibility the AI and crypto roles could be combined.  Given the Federal government’s broad potential use of AI, it is speculated that an AI czar would work closely with departmental AI chiefs already established by President Joe Biden’s AI executive order.  The AI czar would promote massive private sector investments in the energy infrastructure needed to maintain U.S. leadership in AI development.  Axios technology policy reporter Maria Curia notes that an AI czar would not require Senate confirmation and could begin work quickly on the administration’s priorities.  Axios

Salt Typhoon actors use new malware in Southeast Asian telecommunications sector.  The Trend Micro cybersecurity firm is out with a report detailing attacks by China’s Salt Typhoon hacking campaign on telecommunications firms in Southeast Asia employing a new malware backdoor.  Trend Micro researchers say the Salt Typhoon operation they track as Earth Estrie has deployed the GhostSpider backdoor against the telecommunications sector in Southeast Asia.  The malware is described as “a sophisticated, flexible, and adaptable multi-modular backdoor.”  Researchers assess Earth Estrie is a “well organized group” with attacks carried out by “distinct actors” targeting different regions and industries.  The infrastructure used by the campaign indicates the group is made up of a number of teams.  According to Trend Micro, the GhostSpider tool, which features a modular design, can deploy or update different modules independently based on need.  This variability complicates detection and analysis and hampers efforts to understand the malware’s functionality.  In addition to attacks on the telecommunications sector, Salt Typhoon has targeted government entities in Southeast Asia since August.  Most of the targets of the Earth Estrie campaign, Trend Micro said, have been under attack for several years.  “In the early stages,” researchers say, “the attackers successfully obtained credentials and controlled target machines through web vulnerabilities.”   The Record   CyberScoop   BleepingComputer   Trend Micro

U.S. finalizes $7.8 billion grant to Intel alongside prior $3 billion Pentagon contract.  The Commerce Department has finalized a $7.8 billion grant to Intel, a leading U.S. chipmaker, to complement a $3 billion contract the company concluded in September with the Pentagon.  Both awards are from the Chips and Science Act, which was passed to increase high-end semiconductor production at U.S. facilities.  The $7.6 billion allocation was below the $8.5 billion grant originally announced in March.  The lower amount stems from the layoffs of 15,000 workers Intel has announced.  However, an Intel spokesperson said the reduction stemmed from the $3 billion allocation from the Defense Department.  Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo commented that “Intel is expected to play an important role in the revitalization of the U.S. semiconductor industry.”   Intel is constructing and expanding facilities in Arizona, Oregon, Ohio, and New Mexico.  The initial proposed award for Intel was intended to support all of its U.S. projects, but the company has since delayed construction at key sites.  Around 10 percent of Intel’s planned capital expenditure falls after the 2030 deadline to receive government support.  One of two plants Intel is constructing in Ohio will be completed by 20230, but the second will be delayed until after the deadline meaning it will not qualify for Chips program funding.  Washington Post Wall Street Journal Bloomberg Reuters

‘Major’ cyber incident disrupts hospital operations in northwest England, Wales.  Britain’s National Health System (NHS) Trust has reported a “major incident’ stemming from a cyberattack on a group of five hospitals and numerous clinics that serve patients in the Wirral Peninsula, Northwest England, and North Wales.  The NHS designation of the attack signals an event that poses “a serious risk to public health.”  The exact nature of the incident was not described, but it has triggered cancellations of outpatient appointments, and the public has been asked to limit hospital visits to “genuine” emergencies.   An NHS Trust spokesperson reported widespread system outages leading to situations where “there’s no access to records, results or anything so we are having to do everything manually, which is really difficult. The damage is huge.”  These disruptions follow a series of cyberattacks on the NHS in 2024, including ransomware breaches that resulted in a “critical incident” for several of London’s largest hospitals.  The Record Cybernews

Ransomware attack disrupts supply chain software services toU.S., U.K. stores.  Operations at Blue Yonder, one of the world’s largest supply chain software vendors, have been disrupted by a ransomware attack that is impacting major U.S. and British stores.  The company has announced that the disruptions affecting its managed services environment stemmed from “a ransomware incident.”  The number of corporate customers that have experienced supply chain issues has not been disclosed although two of the largest British supermarkets have confirmed disruptions resulting from the attack on Blue Yonder.  A spokesperson for Morrisons, which operates about 500 grocery stores across the U.K., reported problems in its warehouse management systems.  The spokesperson said, “we are currently operating on our backup systems and we’re working very hard to deliver for our customers across the country.”  Sainsbury, the operator of over 2,000 supermarkets in Britain, also confirmed system disruptions over the weekend.  In the U.S., Starbucks confirmed the ransomware attack disrupted payroll and scheduling systems.   Responsibility for the ransomware attack has not yet been claimed by any major ransomware group.  TechCrunch The Record BleepingComputer

Interpol, African partners hit dozens of cybercrime operations in multiple countries.  A joint operation conducted by Interpol and Afripol along with police from 19 African countries swept up more that 1,000 people suspected of cybercrimes and other financial fraud schemes.  In addition, the operation resulted in the takedown of 134,000 cybercrime infrastructures and networks.  The largest number of arrests were made in Angola focusing on a global crime group that operated a virtual casino, which it used to defraud hundreds of victims through an online platform.  In Kenya, two dozen arrests resulted from the dismantling of an online credit card fraud operation that had racked up $8.6 million in thefts.  Proceeds from the operation were laundered through companies in the United Arab Emirates, Nigeria, and China using the SWIFT financial messaging service.  Valdecy Urquiz, Interpol’s secretary general, described the impact of the continent-wide cyber operations, noting that “from multi-level marketing scams to credit card fraud on an industrial scale, the increasing volume and sophistication of cybercrime attacks is of serious concern.”  The law enforcement action targeted leading threat actors identified in the 2024 Africa Cyber Threat Assessment Report covering ransomware, business email compromise (BEC), digital extortion, and online scams.  Cybernews The Record CyberScoop Associated Press 

Russia-linked ‘RomCom’ hackers target Firefox, Windows flaws in Europe, North America.  RomCom, a Russia-linked hacking group, has exploited zero-day vulnerabilities in Mozilla’s Firefox browser and in Microsoft Windows products found in Europe and North America.  Researchers with the Slovak-based ESET firm report that successful breaches of the Firefox flaw could expose the browser’s content process to malicious code executions.  Another vulnerability uncovered in a Windows tool that automates script running could open the door for hackers to infect victims with the RomCom backdoor.  Hackers deliver the backdoor through a fake website that redirects potential victims to a server hosting the exploit.  Mozilla and Microsoft have patched the vulnerabilities.  ESET reports that between October and November the potential victims who accessed exploit-hosting websites were located primarily in Europe and North America.  ESET concludes that the number of successful RomCom backdoor deployments on targeted devices represents a widespread campaign.  ESET described the latest RomCom operation as sophisticated and stealthy, noting that “chaining together two zero-day vulnerabilities armed RomCom with an exploit that requires no user interaction.”  The Record   BleepingComputer

Huawei offers no details on processor advances in unveiling new Mate 70 smartphone.  In its launch Tuesday of the Mate 70 smartphones, Huawei has kept secret if any chip advancements have been integrated into its latest product.  At an unveiling in Shenzhen, Huawei executive Richard Yu Chengdong described the new series as “the most powerful Mate phones in history” but did not offer details on the smartphone processor.  Yu did draw attention to the HarmonyOS Next operating system, which Huawei says has a 40 percent performance boost over the Mate 60 smartphones.  HarmonyOS Next, a home-grown system, no longer is compatible with Android apps.  Huawei said the Mate 70 also features AI enhancements such as the ability to capture and release images for sharing with other devices.  The smartphone sector has been monitoring the Mate 70 release to see if any advances have been achieved with the China-made processors used in the Mate 60.  According to Counterpoint Research, Mate 70 series smartphone sales are expected to exceed 10 million units throughout its life cycle.  Counterpoint analysts noted that since the HarmonyOS system does not offer support for Android apps, Huawei is free to focus all of its efforts into “maximizing the performance of its self-developed Kirin chips, providing a consistent user experience, and accelerating the integration of on-device and cloud AI systems, similar to what Apple has done with iOS.”  South China Morning Post Nikkei Reuters

REPORT INFO

Brad Christian, Ethan Masucol, Elaine Shannon, Brian Bonner, Ken Hughes & Katharine Campbell contributed to this report.

Read deeply experienced, expert-driven national security news, analysis, and opinion in The Cipher Brief