Report for Monday, August 19, 2024

THE TOP STORIES

Friday-Monday, August 16-19, 2024

Blinken in Israel to push for Gaza deal; Israel launches more strikes

Ukraine aims to create buffer zone in Kursk & destroy Russian military capability

Ukrainian forces strike 2 key bridges in Russia’s Kursk region.

U.S. Border arrests down by a third, to lowest level in years.

Accusations fly after Chinese, Philippine vessels collide in South China Sea

CIPHER BRIEF EXCLUSIVES

Ukraine’s Bold Invasion Raises Fears in Russia, and Questions About the War  The Cipher Brief 

Ukraine’s Next Act Could Impose Higher Costs for Putin  The Cipher Brief

ISRAEL-HAMAS WAR

Blinken in Israel to push for Gaza deal; Israel launches more strikes.  Secretary of State Antony Blinken arrived in Israel Sunday to try to bridge the gaps between Israel and Hamas on the cease-fire/hostage release proposal which CIA Director Bill Burns presented to both parties Friday. Blinken is scheduled to meet Monday with Israeli President Isaac Herzog, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Defense Minister Yoav Gallant. He plans to fly to Egypt Tuesday.  Things didn’t start well.  On Saturday, Hamas officials dismissed as an “illusion” President Joe Biden’s claim that the talks were close to concluding, and on Sunday Hamas and Netanyahu accused each other of moving the goalposts.  The deal presented by Burns and supported by mediating partners Qatar and Egypt would have a six-week cease-fire, during which Israeli hostages and Palestinian detainees would be released, and Israeli troops would pull back from Gaza’s population centers. But Hama is resisting Israel’s demand to retain its military presence along the Philadelphi Corridor between Egypt and Gaza and to man checkpoints for Palestinians returning home to northern Gaza. As well, there are disagreements on which Palestinian detainees will be released.  A senior State Department official in Blinken’s party said the Biden administration believes that differences are “bridgeable.”  Meanwhile, Israel’s air strikes killed at least 29 Gazans Sunday, Palestinian authorities said, among them a woman and her six children in a house in Deir Al-Balah. According to the Associated Press, the children’s grandfather said his daughter was a teacher, five of the children were 10-year-old quintuplets and the sixth was a toddler of 18 months.  Reuters Times of Israel    Reuters   New York Times  Washington Post  Associated Press 

How Hezbollah commander Fuad Shukr was set up to be killed by Israeli airstrike.  Fuad Shukr was one of Hezbollah’s most important and elusive figures, seldom appearing in public. He worked in an office on the second floor of a residential building in Dahiyeh in southern Beirut and lived on the seventh floor of the same building.  The evening of his death, according to a Hezbollah official, Shukr received a call in his office from someone telling him to go to his apartment five floors up. Around 7 p.m., Israeli munitions slammed into the apartment and the three floors below, killing Shukr, his wife, two other women and two children and injuring 70 people, according to the Lebanese Health Ministry.  The call to draw Shukr to the seventh floor likely came from someone who had broken into Hezbollah’s internal communications network, the official said. Hezbollah and Iran believe that Israel beat the group’s countersurveillance with better technology and hacking.   Wall Street Journal  Times of Israel

Failed suicide bombing rocks Tel Aviv.  Hamas claims credit.   Hamas claimed responsibility for Sunday’s suicide bombing in Tel Aviv.  The Times of Israel and Jerusalem Post reported early Monday Washington time that Hamas had released a statement claiming it and the allied group Palestinian Islamic Jihad were behind the attempted attack, as a response to Israeli attacks.  It caused no fatalities beyond a man carrying the bomb in his backpack.  An Israeli passerby was moderately injured by shrapnel and was treated at a hospital.   “This was a terror attack involving the explosion of a powerful explosive,” the Israel Police Spokesperson’s Unit and the Shin Bet Spokesperson’s Unit said in a joint statement Monday according to CNN.  A police official told CNN early Monday that “a major disaster was averted, and dozens could have been killed.”  The bombing occurred about 8 p.m. Israel time on Lehi Street in Tel Aviv.   "Dozens of calls were received by the emergency center, reporting a loud explosion and body parts scattered on Lehi Street," according to Central District Commander Perez Ammar at around 8 p.m.  The Jerusalem Post quoted a paramedic on the scene as saying the attacker was a man about 50 years old, found dead near a burning truck.  The attack in the city came as the Israeli Defense Forces searched the West Bank for an attacker who killed an Israeli security guard Sunday.  In that incident, according to the Jerusalem Post, guard Gideon Peri, 38, was killed at the Bar-On industrial zone in the northern West Bank when Palestinian Sultan Nadel Abd Alaziz Abd Alghani, in his 20s, hit his head with a hammer, stole his weapon, and drove off in a stolen car.    CNN  Jerusalem Post Times of Israel  Jerusalem Post

THE UKRAINE UPDATE

Kremlin response to Kursk incursion shows how Putin freezes in a crisis. Vladimir Putin's response to the Kursk incursion by Ukrainian forces highlights his tendency to freeze during crises, contrasting with his aggressive rhetoric. The slow and fumbling reaction from Moscow underscores weaknesses in Russia's top-down autocracy, where fear and secrecy dominate. Despite the blow to his authority, with Ukraine occupying parts of Kursk and Russian forces struggling to respond effectively, Putin avoided taking decisive action and instead shifted responsibility to others. Analysts suggest that while the crisis has damaged Putin's authority, it has not yet threatened his hold on power, as Russia's elite see no alternative leadership. The sluggish response is also attributed to a Russian military that lacks quick-reaction forces. Additionally, Moscow has been hesitant to use heavy artillery to repel the Ukrainians, possibly to avoid damaging its own towns or due to ammunition shortages. Washington Post  USA Today

Ukraine aims to create buffer zone in Kursk Oblast, destroy as much Russian war potential as possible, Zelensky says. In his Sunday address, President Volodymyr Zelensky outlined Ukraine's goals in its ongoing incursion into Russia's Kursk Oblast. The primary objectives are to create a buffer zone within Russian territory and to destroy as much of Russia's military potential as possible. Zelensky emphasized the importance of these operations, alongside Ukraine's defense efforts near Toretsk in Donetsk Oblast. He also highlighted upcoming crucial diplomatic efforts to strengthen Ukraine's position and secure broader international support as the war continues. Ukrainian forces have reportedly taken control of 1,000 square kilometers in Kursk Oblast. Kyiv Independent

Ukrainian forces strike 2 key bridges in Russia’s Kursk area in a possible sign they intend to stay. Ukrainian forces have destroyed two key bridges in Russia's Kursk region, disrupting supply lines and signaling a possible intent to maintain a foothold in the area. These strikes are part of Ukraine's broader cross-border incursion that began on August 6, causing chaos and forcing tens of thousands of civilians to flee. The destruction of the bridges, particularly one over the Seim River, hampers Russia's ability to counter Ukraine's advance. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy has urged Western allies to lift restrictions on long-range strikes within Russia, aiming to weaken Moscow's military capabilities further. Associated Press Kyiv Independent Financial Times Politico

Russia says Ukraine used Western rockets to destroy bridge in Kursk region. Russia claims that Ukraine used U.S.-made HIMARS rockets to destroy a bridge over the Seym River in the Kursk region, resulting in the deaths of volunteers evacuating civilians. This attack reportedly marks the first use of Western-made rockets in the region. Ukraine reported advancing up to 3 kilometers in Kursk, claiming control over 82 settlements. Russia's defense ministry stated they repelled Ukrainian attacks but did not recapture any territory. Reuters

Germany freezes Ukraine military aid as budget crisis hits at home. Germany has frozen new military aid to Ukraine, citing a domestic budget crisis that leaves no funds for further weapon supplies. Chancellor Olaf Scholz informed Defense Minister Boris Pistorius that the government could not provide the €4 billion requested for additional military support. This decision has already impacted a critical military order, including the cancellation of an IRIS-T air defense system intended to protect Kyiv, despite backing from Pistorius. While previously pledged aid will continue, the freeze means that future support will drastically decrease, raising concerns over Ukraine's ability to maintain its defense, particularly given existing shortages of munitions and spare parts for German-supplied tanks and other equipment. The decision has sparked significant internal conflict within the German government, with both the defense and foreign ministries opposing the freeze. Critics accuse Scholz of trying to appease voters ahead of regional elections by reducing support for Ukraine, despite his previous promises of unconditional assistance. The Telegraph 

How Russia looked the wrong way as Ukraine invaded. Russia was caught off guard as Ukrainian forces launched an invasion into its Kursk region on August 6.  The Russian military and intelligence services failed to detect the imminent attack, leading to panic among local residents. The initial Russian response was disorganized, with authorities issuing false reassurances and delaying public acknowledgment of the breach. President Vladimir Putin and military chief Valery Gerasimov remained silent for hours, while Russian forces struggled to counter the Ukrainian advance. Despite efforts to fortify the border, Ukraine successfully breached defenses, capturing territory and displacing over 100,000 Russians. Reuters Associated Press

Russia’s double-punch back against Ukraine’s shock raid. Ukraine's bold raid into Russia's Kursk region, initially made significant gains but has since slowed as Russian forces mount a stronger response. The operation, kept secret from even Western allies, aimed to boost Ukrainian morale and disrupt Russian positions, but now faces increased resistance as Russia redeploys better-trained units. Meanwhile, Russia is advancing in Pokrovsk, Donbas, trying to exploit Ukraine's focus on Kursk. The outcome of this raid remains uncertain, with Ukraine seeking to change the war's narrative and Russia aiming to quash the incursion while pressuring Donbas. Economist

10 days of Ukraine's Kursk incursion – from first shot to dozens of settlements captured. Here is a Kyiv Independent summary of the key developments on each of the first 10 days of Ukraine’s incursion inside Russia: Day 1: Ukrainian troops crossed into Russia's Kursk Oblast, marking the largest attack on Russian territory since World War II. Day 2: Ukraine's advance accelerated, with reports of control over 11 settlements and Russian officials raising alarms. Day 3: The combat zone expanded, with Ukrainian forces reportedly nearing the town of Lgov and Russia showing signs of disarray. Day 4: Russia declared a federal emergency as Ukrainian forces reached the outskirts of Sudzha. Day 5: The incursion spread into Russia's Belgorod Oblast, prompting evacuations and further Russian defensive measures. Day 6: Ukrainian forces reached areas near the Kursk Nuclear Power Plant. Day 7: Ukraine officially acknowledged its presence in Kursk, controlling 28 settlements and 1,000 square kilometers. Day 8: Ukraine reported control over 74 settlements and hundreds of Russian soldiers surrendering. Day 9: Ukraine's presence in Sudzha was confirmed, and discussions began about establishing civil administration in the captured areas. Day 10: Ukraine fully captured Sudzha and announced the creation of a military administration in Kursk Oblast. Kyiv Independent

‘People are horrified’: Moscow turns to reluctant conscripts to defend Kursk. Facing a sustained incursion by Ukrainian forces into Russia’s Kursk region, Moscow has struggled to assemble a sufficient defense, relying heavily on reluctant conscripts and piecemeal reinforcements from across the country. Despite the urgency, Russia has been slow to redeploy troops from other fronts, and its response has been criticized as disorganized. Ukrainian forces have continued to advance, destroying key bridges and complicating Russian logistics. Conscripts, often forced to serve and lacking combat experience, form a large part of the defense, raising concerns and resistance among their families. Vladimir Putin's reluctance to divert more resources from the eastern front underscores the challenge of defending Kursk with limited forces. Financial Times CNN  

In a Ukrainian prison, cells are full of young Russian conscripts. In a Ukrainian prison, dozens of young Russian conscripts, many barely adults and unprepared for combat, are being held after their capture during Ukraine's surprise incursion into Russia's Kursk region. The conscripts, who were fulfilling their mandatory military service and were not expected to see combat, now find themselves as prisoners of war. Their capture presents a challenge for the Kremlin and raises questions about how Ukraine will handle these young soldiers, who could be valuable in future negotiations or prisoner exchanges. The prisoners report being treated well and allowed to communicate with their families. Washington Post New York Times 

A City of Blaring Sirens Fills with Russians Who Fled Ukraine’s Advance. In Kursk, Russia, thousands of evacuees have fled border areas following Ukraine's unexpected advance into Russian territory. Over 130,000 people have arrived in the city, seeking basic necessities like shelter, food, and safety. Amid the chaos, residents struggle with uncertainty and loss, many having lost contact with loved ones in towns now under Ukrainian control. There is widespread frustration directed at both the Russian authorities and media for their perceived failures in addressing the crisis. New York Times

Russia denies report about indirect talks with Ukraine. Russia has denied a report in the Washington Post that indirect talks with Ukraine regarding halting strikes on energy infrastructure were derailed by Ukraine's attack on the Kursk region. The newspaper on Saturday suggested that the talks, which were set to take place in Qatar, could have led to a partial ceasefire but were disrupted by the Ukrainian attack. Russia's Foreign Ministry spokeswoman, Maria Zakharova, dismissed the report, stating that no such negotiations had taken place. Ukraine did not immediately comment. Reuters Washington Post

Belarus moved third of its army to Ukraine border due to what Lukashenko claims was misunderstanding. Belarus moved a third of its army to the Ukraine border in response to what President Alexander Lukashenko claims was a misunderstanding. Lukashenko said Ukraine misinterpreted troop movements for Belarus's Independence Day celebrations as preparation for another invasion. He later communicated with Ukrainian officials, leading to a mutual withdrawal of additional forces. Despite this brief cooperation, Lukashenko reaffirmed his support for Russia. Kyiv Independent Reuters  

Russia used over 40 missiles, 750 guided bombs against Ukraine this week, Zelensky says. Over the past week, Russia has launched over 40 missiles, 750 guided bombs, and 200 combat drones against Ukrainian cities and villages, President Volodymyr Zelensky said Sunday. These attacks included a missile and drone strike on Kyiv on August 18, which was repelled without casualties. Zelensky described these strikes as "deliberate, targeted terror." The guided bombs, launched from Russian territory, have caused damage, particularly in regions near the Russian border like Kharkiv, Donetsk, and Sumy. The attacks have resulted in civilian casualties, including a fatal strike in Bilopillia, Sumy Oblast. Kyiv Independent Reuters

Russia launches third ballistic missile attack on Kyiv this month, Ukraine says. Russia on Sunday launched its third ballistic missile attack on Kyiv in August, with most projectiles reportedly intercepted by Ukrainian air defenses. The attack, likely involving North Korean-made missiles, caused no immediate casualties in the capital, although debris damaged several houses in the surrounding region. Ukraine's air force also intercepted multiple drones and missiles across the country. Reuters Kyiv Independent 

Russian attacks on Donetsk Oblast kill 4, injure 4 more. Russian attacks on Donetsk Oblast on Sunday killed four people and injured four others, according to the Donetsk Oblast Prosecutor's Office. The attacks targeted multiple settlements, including Myrnohrad, where artillery and drone strikes killed an 83-year-old woman, a 44-year-old man, and injured others. In Toretsk, a 67-year-old woman was killed, and her husband injured. A 25-year-old man was also killed in Rozlyv. The region continues to suffer from daily Russian strikes due to its proximity to the front line. Kyiv Independent

Ukraine to resume scheduled blackouts after 3-week break, says state grid operator. Ukraine will resume scheduled blackouts on Monday after a three-week break, according to state grid operator Ukrenergo. The blackouts are needed due to increased electricity consumption amid hot weather, which is straining the already weakened energy grid. In July, similar power cuts occurred during a heatwave, extending beyond planned durations and disrupting daily life. Ukrenergo warns that energy deficits are expected to persist, making energy conservation crucial to minimize disruptions. Kyiv Independent

IAEA says safety deteriorating at Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant. Safety at Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant is worsening after a Ukrainian drone strike hit a road near the plant's perimeter, according to IAEA director Rafael Grossi. The Russian management reported that the drone dropped an explosive charge, endangering staff using the highway. Reuters  Reuters 

Russia readies for ‘decades’ under Western sanctions.  A senior Russian foreign ministry official stated that Western sanctions on Russia, imposed after its 2022 invasion of Ukraine, will likely persist for decades, regardless of any peace settlement. Despite the sanctions, Russia's economy grew by 4.7% in early 2024. The official, Dmitry Birichevsky, noted that sanctions have forced Russia to restructure its economy and warned that the "sanctions spiral" would continue. Russia is also collaborating with other sanctioned countries, like Iran and North Korea, to resist Western pressure. Reuters 

War-hit Kyiv hospital is scrutinized over reconstruction effort. Following a Russian missile strike on Kyiv's Okhmatdyt Children's Hospital in July 2024, a $9 million reconstruction effort was marred by controversy when a tender for repairs was canceled after allegations of rigging. The Health Ministry, responding to public outcry and investigative reports, has promised a new, more transparent tender process. The incident underscores growing public scrutiny over corruption in Ukraine, especially in donor-funded projects, as the country rebuilds amid the ongoing war. Despite the delays, the hospital continues to operate, performing over 400 surgeries in the past month. Reuters 

Even the Kremlin’s Paid Liars Are Begging Putin to End the Lies. Amid Ukraine's surprising counter-invasion of Russia, even some of the Kremlin's top propagandists are urging more honesty in Russian media. Former Russian deputy foreign minister Andrey Fedorov criticized the ongoing deception, warning that underestimating Ukraine and overestimating Russia's strength is leading to repeated failures. Other commentators echoed the call for truth, acknowledging Ukraine's significant military advancements. Despite these pleas, some officials continue to push false narratives, reflecting the deepening crisis within Russia as the war progresses. The situation underscores the growing disconnect between the Kremlin's propaganda and the stark realities on the ground. Daily Beast

‘We don’t know what’s happening’: Fear and confusion in Kursk as Russian residents take shelter and Ukraine advances. Amid Ukraine's unexpected incursion into Russia's Sudzha, the town is now marked by destruction, fear, and confusion. Residents are sheltering in basements as Ukrainian forces advance, leaving streets littered with debris and signs of battle. Civilians express uncertainty and desperation, with some seeking to flee while others, bound by ties to their land, choose to stay despite the chaos. The sudden occupation has shocked locals and highlighted the vulnerability and shifting dynamics in the war.. CNN

Ukraine sends humanitarian aid to the occupied part of Russia's Kursk region. Ukraine has established storage facilities in Sumy to send humanitarian aid to civilians in the Russian-controlled Kursk region. The aid targets vulnerable groups like the elderly and families. Kyiv plans to create evacuation corridors and involve international missions. Reuters

Ukrainian officials urge civilians to evacuate the eastern city of Pokrovsk as Russian troops close in. Ukrainian authorities have urged residents near the eastern front, particularly in Pokrovsk, to evacuate as Russian forces advance within 10 kilometers of the city. Despite Ukraine's cross-border incursion into Russia's Kursk region, Russia is making steady gains in Donetsk Oblast, including areas near Pokrovsk and Toretsk. Local officials are struggling to convince residents to leave as the threat of Russian attacks on critical infrastructure increases. President Volodymyr Zelensky has vowed to maintain focus on both the eastern front and the Kursk operation. Financial Times  Associated Press 

Russia's Kadyrov equips Tesla truck with machine gun for war. Chechen leader Ramzan Kadyrov shared a video of himself driving a Tesla Cybertruck equipped with a machine gun, stating he would send it to Ukraine's war zone. He praised Elon Musk as a "genius" and invited him to Chechnya, while also expressing support for Russia's military operations. Reuters 

North Korea condemns Ukraine's incursion into Russia as act of terror. North Korea condemned Ukraine's incursion into Russia as an "unforgivable act of terror" backed by the U.S. and the West, blaming Washington for pushing the situation toward World War Three. North Korea pledged to stand with Russia. Reuters 

ISW Russian Campaign Offensive Assessment for Sunday, August 18 2024. Ukrainian forces continued their assaults in Kursk Oblast on August 18, making slight advances southeast of Sudzha. Russia is being forced to redeploy troops from other areas to Kursk Oblast due to the Ukrainian incursion, potentially requiring further Russian manpower and resources. Ukrainian forces targeted and struck a Russian oil depot in Rostov Oblast on the night of Saturday-Sunday. Russian Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Maria Zakharova denied reports of planned negotiations with Ukraine and Qatar regarding a moratorium on strikes against energy infrastructure.

Battlefield updates: Russian forces made advances near Kreminna and Donetsk City, while Ukrainian forces recaptured previously lost positions near Siversk.

ISW Russian Campaign Offensive Assessment for Saturday, August 17, 2024. The Ukrainian incursion into Kursk and Russian offensives in eastern Ukraine are not decisive on their own but contribute to broader strategic objectives through successive operations. The outcomes and significance of these operations depend on their relationship to future campaigns by both sides. Ukraine’s Kursk operation aims to create strategic pressures, not territorial gains. Russia’s sustained offensive tempo may be challenged by Ukraine’s maneuvers. Russia's gradual advances in eastern Ukraine reflect a strategy of attritional warfare while Ukraine's Kursk incursion demonstrates how maneuver warfare can offset Russian material advantages. A potential Qatar summit on energy strike moratoriums was postponed due to Ukraine’s Kursk operation. Russia shows little interest in meaningful negotiations, partly driven by Ukraine’s successful strikes on Russian oil refineries.

Battlefield updates: Ukrainian forces advanced within Chasiv Yar, and Russian forces marginally advanced near Kreminna, Pokrovsk, and Donetsk City. Institute for the Study of War

Opinion: How Biden can support Ukraine’s offensive. Jake Auchincloss, a Democratic Congressman from Massachusetts, argues that President Biden can help Ukraine's offensive against Russia by taking three key actions: clearly defining victory with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, authorizing strikes and sanctions to weaken Russia's oil revenue, and securing long-term funding for Ukraine's war economy. Auchincloss suggests using frozen Russian assets to finance Ukraine's defense and advocates for U.S.-made fighter jets and missiles to target Russian oil-refining sites. He believes these measures would strengthen Ukraine, weaken Russia, and achieve a strategic victory before Biden leaves office. Wall Street Journal  

Opinion: Ukraine Has a Strategy, the U.S. Doesn’t. Holman W. Jenkins, Jr. argues that Ukraine has a more coherent strategy in its war with Russia than the U.S. Ukraine's incursion into Russian territory demonstrates a clear objective: to pressure Russia by bringing the war to its own soil, thereby forcing Moscow to reconsider its position. In contrast, Jenkins criticizes the U.S. for lacking a defined strategy, as the Biden administration has not clearly articulated its goals or the extent of support it is willing to provide to Ukraine, leaving its approach uncertain and reactive. Wall Street Journal 

AMERICAS

Keep our enemies guessing; why the U.S. needs more pop-up air bases around the world.  This month, the U.S. Air Force (USAF) concluded its Bamboo Eagle 24-3 exercise, which involved over 3,000 service members and 150 aircraft. The drills integrated Agile Combat Employment (ACE) training with Red Flag, a large-scale air warfare exercise, with the goal of enhancing the USAF's ability to operate in disputed environments, critical for deterring aggression in global arenas like the Pacific, Europe, and the Middle East. According to defense experts, ACE operations and similar drills plant doubts within enemy military planners whether they can successfully attack U.S. combat forces, and whether the aggression is worth the costs of incurring an American response. ACE is a strategy that enables air forces to operate from smaller or non-traditional bases to maintain operations even under threat, and this approach requires a rethinking of command and control, logistics, and other aspects of airpower generation. This recent exercise underscores growing threats, particularly from China's missile capabilities in the Pacific and Russia's use of advanced weaponry in Europe. Experts suggest that Congress and the U.S. State Department should support the USAF by funding more extensive exercises, securing access to additional airfields, and enhancing infrastructure in allied nations. Additionally, there’s a call for investment in portable air defense systems, given the increasing threat of conflict. Defense News

Border arrests down by a third, to lowest level in years.  Arrests of people illegally crossing the border from Mexico dropped 33% in July to the lowest level since September 2020, a result of asylum being temporarily suspended, the U.S. said Friday.  The Border Patrol made 56,408 arrests last month, down from 83,536 arrests in June. Asylum was halted at the border June 5 because arrests for illegal crossings exceeded 2,500 a day.  “In July, our border security measures enhanced our ability to deliver consequences for illegal entry,” Troy Miller, acting CBP commissioner, said.  Associated Press 

US envoy defends anti-drug cooperation with Mexico.  U.S. Ambassador to Mexico Ken Salazar said Friday that cooperation in the fight against drug crime remains good.  Mexico’s government was stunned and embarrassed when drug lord Ismael “El Mayo” Zambada and Joaquín Guzmán López, one of the sons of imprisoned drug lord Joaquín “El Chapo” Guzman, arrived at an airport near El Paso, Texas.  Guzman, who surrendered, and Zambada were both arrested.  Salazar said that even U.S. officials were surprised by their arrival.  Associated Press 

Pentagon leaker Teixeira arraigned on military charges.  Jack Teixeira, a member of the Massachusetts Air National Guard accused of leaking classified U.S. national security documents, was arraigned Friday on charges brought by the U.S. Air Force that he violated military laws. During his appearance before a military judge at Hanscom Air Force Base in Massachusetts, 22-year-old Teixeira deferred entering a plea to charges that he obstructed justice and failed to obey a lawful order.  His court-martial trial is scheduled to begin March 10.  Reuters 

Venezuela’s opposition continues protests after election dispute.  Venezuelans across the world spilled into the streets of Tokyo, Sydney, Mexico City and several other cities to proclaim victory over President Nicolás Maduro in last month’s disputed presidential election.  As thousands of Venezuelans waved the national flag, opposition leader María Corina Machado made her way through the streets of Caracas on a truck while shouting “brave” and “freedom.”  Associated Press Reuters 

Argentine police foil suspected terror attacks on Jewish community in Mendoza.  Argentina's Federal Police rolled up a terrorist cell planning attacks on the Jewish community in Mendoza, the National Security Ministry said Friday. Seven members of the alleged group were arrested, the security ministry said, and firearms, knives and electronic devices were seized. Reuters 

EUROPE

Poland denies helping Nord Stream sabotage.  Suggestions that Poland aided Ukrainians who sabotaged Nord Stream gas pipelines in 2022 are groundless, the Polish president's aide said Sunday.  Germany's former intelligence chief August Hanning told Die Welt this week he believed there were agreements between presidents of Poland and Ukraine to carry out the attack.  "These are completely groundless insinuations," Mieszko Pawlak, head of the international policy bureau at the office of President Andrzej Duda said. Reuters

With Nord Stream making headlines again, Donald Tusk tells its patrons to 'apologize and keep quiet'. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk has called on the supporters of the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, which benefited Russia, to "apologize and keep quiet" amid ongoing controversies over the 2022 explosions that damaged the pipelines. This statement follows claims that Poland may have been involved in the sabotage, which German authorities are investigating. An arrest warrant has been issued for a Ukrainian suspect, Volodymyr Zhuravlov, linked to the incident. The Wall Street Journal reported Thursday that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had initially approved the operation before ordering a stop upon the Central Intelligence Agency’s request. The newspaper wrote that private businessmen reportedly funded the sabotage, overseen by a top general in Ukraine. Ukraine has denied involvement. The investigation remains sensitive, with Poland accused of not fully cooperating with German investigators The undersea link to Germany via the Baltic Sea was the main route for Russian gas flows before the Kremlin’s invasion of Ukraine. Kyiv Independent Reuters Bloomberg

Russian diplomat says Ukraine wouldn't have attacked Nord Stream without US approval. Russia's ambassador to Washington claimed that Ukraine would not have attacked the Nord Stream pipelines without U.S. approval, following reports that Ukraine's military commander approved the 2022 sabotage despite a CIA warning. Russia continues to blame the U.S. and Britain, while both countries deny involvement. Ukraine has also denied the accusations, with its officials pointing fingers back at Russia. The incident remains under investigation by Sweden, Denmark, and Germany. Reuters 

Putin arrives in Azerbaijan to bolster ties amid rising tensions with Armenia. Russian President Vladimir Putin on Sunday arrived in Azerbaijan for a two-day state visit, where he will meet with his counterpart, Azerbaijani President Ilham Aliyev, to discuss the "Russia-Azerbaijan strategic partnership and alliance," along with other international and regional issues. The visit will include the signing of a joint statement and several documents, with both leaders expected to make public statements. Putin is also anticipated to address the ongoing peace negotiations between Armenia and Azerbaijan over the Nagorno-Karabakh region. The visit highlights exacerbating geopolitical tensions as Armenia, a traditional friend to Moscow, has been shifting towards closer ties with Western countries, particularly the U.S. Azerbaijan remains a close partner of Russia and a key energy supplier to the West, and it is not a signatory to the International Criminal Court, allowing Putin to visit without the risk of arrest. RFE/RL

Man connected to June crossbow attack on Israeli embassy in Belgrade killed by police.  Serbian police on Saturday shot and killed a man who was connected to the attacker behind a crossbow shooting at the Israeli embassy in Belgrade in June. The man, named as Senad Ramovic, had a history of terrorist offenses, and resisted arrest and fired at police officers. This prompted members of the Special Anti-Terrorist Unit to "neutralize" him. The incident occurred near the city of Novi Pazar. Ramovic had been on the run since June, when his tenant, Salahudin Zujovichad, carried out the crossbow attack, which has been characterized as a terrorist act. Ramovic was a known follower of the Wahhabi movement, a purest form of Islam, and had previously been convicted and jailed for planning terrorist attacks in Serbia. The police operation took place in the village of Hotkovo, a center for Serbia’s Bosniak Muslim minority. Times of Israel Jerusalem Post 

THE MIDDLE EAST

UNIFIL reports blast in southern Lebanon, three peacekeepers wounded. An explosion "lightly injured" three peacekeepers on patrol in the southern Lebanese village of Yarine, the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL) reported on Sunday. The blast went off close to the peacekeepers' clearly marked U.N. vehicle. A UNIFIL spokesperson said that all the peacekeepers safely returned to their base, and that an investigation has been launched. No other details concerning the nature of the explosion, or the suspected party responsible, were divulged. The Israel Defense Forces also said it was looking into the incident. Reuters Times of Israel South China Morning Post 

Lebanon to receive fuel for power stations from Algeria. Algeria has announced that it will immediately begin supplying Lebanon with fuel for its power plants, following a nationwide power outage in Lebanon due to exhausted fuel supplies. Lebanon has struggled with electricity shortages since the 1990s, and the state electricity company, Electricité du Liban (EDL), has been a significant contributor to the country's massive public debt. The power outage affected critical facilities, including the airport. EDL had stated that power would gradually resume once new fuel supplies were secured, either from Iraq or other sources. The Algerian statement did not provide further details. Reuters 

Famine descending, malnutrition exacerbating in Yemeni districts under government-control, UN reports. A report by international experts warns that four Yemeni districts are at high risk of famine as hunger among children rises and food insecurity intensifies in regions controlled by the nation's internationally recognized government. All 117 government-controlled districts are expected to face "serious" acute malnutrition, with some projected to fall into famine between July and October. Yemen, the Arab world’s poorest nation, has suffered due to an ongoing civil war, which began in 2014 when Houthi rebels took control of much of the country. The conflict has created one of the world's most severe humanitarian crises, with about 18.2 million Yemenis needing aid this year. The report links the rise in malnutrition to factors like cholera and measles outbreaks, food insecurity, lack of safe water, economic decline, and insufficient humanitarian aid. The findings focus on government-controlled areas, as access to Houthi-controlled regions has been restricted due to the rebels' recent crackdown on U.N. agencies and aid groups. Reuters Associated Press Al Jazeera 

ASIA & OCEANIA

South China Sea expert discusses potential for war, and why there’s no quick fix in the region’s disputes. Wu Shicun, the founder of the National Institute for South China Sea Studies, discussed the complex situation in the hotly contested waters, highlighting increased U.S.-led militarization and escalating actions by rival claimants like the Philippines, Vietnam, and Malaysia. He noted that negotiations on a code of conduct have stalled, partly because China has completed its island-building, while other countries are now attempting to solidify their control over disputed areas. Wu reflected on the historical context of the arguments, particularly with the Philippines, and argued that China's "four noes" policy in response to the 2016 arbitration ruling was appropriate, though stronger countermeasures might have been more effective. Wu touched on the impact of U.S.-China rivalry in the region, suggesting that Washington aims to maintain its hegemony and challenge China's maritime power. He noted a lack of standards for right and wrong in the disputed waters, describing Beijing the victim rather than aggressor and saying that “whatever China does” in the region is considered “wrong,” and “whatever violates China’s rights and interests is right.” Regarding the possibility of resolving the territorial disputes, Wu said he believes a new consensus focused on demilitarization and cooperation on civilian projects could be a starting point. However, he acknowledged that the disputes are unlikely to be resolved quickly and warned against external interference, suggesting that Beijing will continue to take countermeasures if provoked. South China Morning Post 

Accusations fly after Chinese, Philippine vessels collide in South China Sea. Chinese and Philippine coast guard vessels have once again collided in the hotly contested South China Sea, this time close to the Sabina Shoal, an atoll in the Spratly Islands. This incident, which occurred early on Monday while Philippine ships were on a resupply mission to personnel stationed on two islands, marks the first direct clash over this location in the ongoing territorial dispute between the two countries. The Philippines reported significant damage to two of its vessels from aggressive actions by the Chinese coast guard, with a spokesperson stating that the incident produced “the biggest structural damage that we have incurred” as a consequence of China’s actions. Beijing, meanwhile, blamed Manila for the “deliberate” ramming and "unprofessional and dangerous" behavior, accusing the Philippines of "illegally intruding” into waters without permission. The U.S. denounced China’s actions, expressing support for the Philippines. China's Coast Guard released a brief video allegedly showing that the Philippine vessel had intentionally rammed their ship, but Philippine officials called the footage misleading, accusing China of "imposing its version of facts.” The clash further heightens concerns about the potential for more frequent and severe confrontations, as the Asian giant continues its broader efforts to assert dominance in South China Sea waters. The Washington Post Reuters Associated Press The Guardian 

American missile system doesn’t pose threat to China, says Philippines. The Philippines on Friday attempted to mitigate Chinese concerns that the temporary deployment of a U.S. intermediate-range missile system on its territory, as part of joint military drills, poses a threat to China or regional stability. This assurance came after Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi expressed worries during ASEAN meetings that the missile system could destabilize the region and fuel an arms race. The Philippines stressed that the Typhon missile system, which has the capability to launch Tomahawk land attack and SM-6 missiles, is not intended to be permanent and was brought in mainly to test its transport feasibility. Reuters

Pair of German warships awaiting orders on crossing Taiwan Strait for first time since 2002.  Two German warships, the frigate Baden-Wuerttemberg and the replenishment ship Frankfurt am Main, are awaiting orders from Berlin on starting passage through the Taiwan Strait, and to possibly become the first German naval vessels to do so since 2002. This potential transit, planned for next month, has drawn a rebuke from Beijing. The passage of these ships would be a significant demonstration of support for international maritime law and free navigation, reflecting Germany's expanding military presence in the region amid growing concerns over Beijing's territorial ambitions. China's foreign ministry reiterated its opposition to actions that it views as undermining its territorial sovereignty. Meanwhile, the German naval task group's commander, Rear Admiral Axel Schulz, emphasized that the mission would support a rules-based order and “peaceful resolution of territorial disputes.” The German ships will soon visit Tokyo, South Korea, and the Philippines, and will participate in regional exercises with several countries, including the U.S. and Japan. Schulz expects any passage through the strait to be closely monitored by the Chinese navy and maritime forces. Reuters 

Leaders of South Korea, Japan, U.S. renew vow to maintain collaboration on regional issues.  South Korean, Japanese, and U.S. leaders on Sunday released a joint statement marking the one-year anniversary of their summit at Camp David and reasserting a promise to handle regional issues together. The statement, issued by South Korea's presidential office, emphasized that the principles established at last year's August summit continue to guide their trilateral cooperation, particularly in response to threats from North Korea and China's growing influence. The leaders—South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol, U.S. President Joe Biden, and Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida—had initially agreed to deepen military and economic ties during their meeting. Although there are plans for the leaders to meet again this year, the timing is uncertain, especially with Kishida's impending resignation. A senior South Korean official affirmed that the spirit of cooperation will persist beyond the current leaders' tenures.

Reuters

Vietnamese leader To Lam meets with Xi Jinping in China. Vietnamese President To Lam arrived in China on Sunday, and met with his counterpart, Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing on Monday. The three-day trip underscores the importance of the strategic relationship between China and Vietnam, which established diplomatic ties in 1950. Lam, who recently became Vietnam's president and Communist Party chief following the death of his predecessor, chose China as his first foreign destination. Xi expressed a desire to continue the strong bilateral ties built over the past decade and to create a "China-Vietnam community of a shared future." Despite ongoing maritime disputes in the South China Sea, Lam's visit was seen as a positive step toward improving relations. The visit also marked 100 years since Vietnamese founding father Ho Chi Minh lived in China's Guangdong province, highlighting the historical ties between the two countries. Nikkei Asia Reuters Associated Press

Ethnic minority Rohingya flee attacks in Myanmar, Bangladesh promises support. The Rohingya people, an ethnic Muslim minority, have been fleeing Myanmar’s Rakhine state en masse, as fighting intensifies between the ruling junta's soldiers and the Arakan Army, an ethnic militia. Many refugee families narrowly escaped a deadly mortar attack in the town of Maungdaw, which killed dozens and wounded many more. The refugees have been crossing into Bangladesh, adding to the nearly one million Rohingya already in camps there, despite Dhaka's limited capacity to accept more displaced people. Medical charity Medicines Sans Frontières reported treating dozens, including women and children, for serious injuries from gunshots, shrapnel, and mortar shells. The situation has caused severe food shortages and a humanitarian crisis, with Bangladesh’s new interim prime minister Muhammad Yunus urging international assistance and vowing to maintain support for the refugees. Bangladesh's de-facto foreign minister called for increased pressure on the Arakan Army to halt attacks, stating that the nation did not have the capability to accept more Rohingya but would not turn them away. Reuters Al Jazeera 

Paetongtarn Shinawatra endorsed as prime minister by Thai king. Paetongtarn Shinawatra was formally endorsed as the prime minister of Thailand by King Maha Vajiralongkorn, just days after being elected by parliament. At 37, she became Thailand's youngest and second female prime minister, following in the footsteps of her father, Thaksin Shinawatra, and her aunt, Yingluck Shinawatra. Reuters Associated Press

Tensions with China, Donald Trump could challenge next Japanese leader’s foreign policy aptitude. The unexpected decision of Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida to resign is likely to exacerbate uncertainty in Sino-Japanese relations, and experts project that Tokyo will maintain its strategic collaboration with the U.S. to counter China, regardless of who succeeds Kishida. The next Japanese leader will be tested by rising tensions with China and the potential return of Donald Trump as U.S. president. Japan has been strengthening its security ties with Washington and other allies, adopting policies to reduce economic vulnerabilities and control sensitive technologies, particularly with China in mind. Experts suggest that Japan's stance towards Beijing is unlikely to change significantly under a new leader, with skepticism about the Asian power's regional ambitions being widespread across Japanese political parties. While economic engagement between China and Japan is expected to continue, Tokyo will likely focus on building resilience against economic coercion and the risks of regional conflicts. Despite these challenges, there may be areas of cooperation between the two nations, such as academic exchanges and environmental issues. The choice of Japan's next leader will influence how the country navigates these uncertainties, particularly in dealing with the potential challenges of another Trump administration. South China Morning Post 

Uzbek prime minister meets with Taliban in Afghanistan, in highest-level visit since 2021 takeover. Uzbek Prime Minister Abdulla Aripov landed in Afghanistan on Saturday, marking the highest-level visit by a foreign official since the Taliban regained power three years ago. Aripov, who was leading a delegation, was met by Taliban officials, including Deputy Prime Minister Abdul Salam Hanafi. The visit focused on strengthening bilateral relations, trade, and business between Uzbekistan and Afghanistan. Five trade and investment agreements were signed, and an exhibition of Uzbek products was inaugurated. The visit follows a recent trilateral meeting in Kabul involving the economy ministers of Afghanistan, Uzbekistan, and Azerbaijan to discuss enhancing trade ties. Despite improved relations, the Taliban government remains unrecognized internationally due to concerns over their restrictive measures, particularly regarding women's and minorities' rights. Associated Press 

AFRICA

Sudan government to send delegation to Cairo for talks with U.S., Egyptian mediators.  The army-controlled Sudanese government has agreed to send a delegation to Cairo for discussions with U.S. and Egyptian officials, keeping the possibility of participating in peace talks open. The peace talks, led by the U.S. and attended by the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF), aim to end the nation’s devastating civil war and address the severe humanitarian crisis affecting half of Sudan's population. Sudan’s government has asserted that it will not attend the peace talks in Switzerland unless a prior agreement made in Jeddah is implemented, particularly concerning the RSF's withdrawal from civilian areas. The decision to attend the Cairo discussions followed contacts with the U.S. special envoy and the Egyptian government, which is observing the talks. The government's approach to further negotiations will depend on the responses from U.S. and Saudi mediators. A contentious issue for the army is the involvement of the United Arab Emirates, which it accuses of supporting the RSF—a claim denied by the UAE but found credible by U.N. experts Reuters 

85 people killed in attack by Sudan’s paramilitary fighters. At least 85 people, including women and children, were reportedly killed by Sudan’s paramilitary group, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), after they attacked the village of Galgani in the province of Sennar last week. Both authorities and residents reported the hours-long assault, during which RSF fighters, who have been repeatedly accused of atrocities and human rights abuses, stormed the village, looting and burning properties, and “indiscriminately” shooting unarmed civilians. According to the Sudanese foreign ministry, more than 150 villagers were wounded in the attack, which occurred after villagers resisted attempts by RSF fighters to abduct and sexually assault women and girls. After an initial, smaller group was repelled by residents, hundreds of fighters returned with pickup trucks, heavy weapons, and automatic rifles. This latest attack coincides with ongoing, yet stalled, international peace efforts to resolve the conflict that has displaced over 10.7 million people and pushed the country toward famine. Associated Press The Jerusalem Post 

Humanitarian crisis in the Congo aided MPOX spread. The Democratic Republic of the Congo has become the epicenter of a serious MPOX outbreak, with over 96% of the world's cases this year and around 500 deaths taking place in the Central African nation, which is experiencing a devastating humanitarian crisis. Last week, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared MPOX a global health emergency due to a new, more infectious variant, which could spread beyond Africa. In Congo, many are unaware of the disease or lack access to medical care, especially in conflict-torn regions. Overcrowded refugee camps, poor healthcare, and ongoing violence exacerbate the crisis. Despite the availability of vaccines and treatments elsewhere, Congo and other African nations lack access, leading to rising cases and deaths, particularly among children. The situation is dire, with experts warning of a potential spread to neighbor countries and urging global attention to the crisis. Associated Press 

Four years of military regime: Malians suffering economic devastation. Many Malians are still facing severe economic challenges, four years after the nation's 2020 military coup, which was driven by public frustration with corrupt leaders and a worsening jihadist insurgency. Constant power cuts are impacting businesses and daily life, with many citizens expressing deep dissatisfaction with the government's handling of the electricity situation. The current military rulers, who seized power in a different 2021 coup, have postponed promised elections indefinitely, further complicating the country's stability, and the economic outlook is bleak. The World Bank predicted a slowdown in growth and a rise in extreme poverty, affecting about 90% of the population. Despite these hardships, some Malians view the current struggles as necessary for achieving greater independence from former colonial power France. The military leaders have expelled French and U.N. troops, seeking assistance from Russia instead. The country continues to grapple with the consequences of these decisions, including ongoing jihadist violence and economic decline. Reuters 

Gunmen ambush, kidnap 20 Nigerian students. At least 20 Nigerian university students were abducted by gunmen in an ambush in Benue state, a region in Nigeria known for frequent kidnappings. The students were traveling to a medical conference when their vehicles were attacked on Thursday evening, according to police. Kidnappings in northern Nigeria are common, with armed groups exploiting the area's limited security forces to carry out such attacks, often demanding large ransoms for the victims' release. The abducted students are from the University of Maiduguri and the University of Jos. Officials say police and security agencies are working to secure their release. Associated Press Al Jazeera 

CYBER & TECH

OpenAI bans ChatGPT accounts used in ‘covert Iranian influence operation’.  ChatGPT accounts identified by OpenAI as part of a “covert Iranian influence operation” were banned by the company from using its services.  The banned accounts were linked to an Iranian misinformation influence operation dubbed Storm-2035.  According to OpenAI, this was the first deception operation it has spotted that focuses on the U.S. elections.  The Iranian operators used the chatbot to create fake news stories and write comments for social media posts.  OpenAI will continue to monitor user activity to prevent similar efforts to use the generative AI app to produce deceptive content.  The generated posts to a variety of social media platforms addressed multiple sensitive issues, including the Gaza conflict, the U.S. presidential election, and Venezuela’s political crisis.  According to OpenAI, the bogus posts did “not appear to have achieved meaningful audience engagement,” with minimal likes, shares, or comments.  OpenAI’s investigation revealed the bogus material appeared on a dozen accounts on X and one Instagram account.  CyberScoop   Cybernews   Reuters   Bloomberg   Axios

Iran seeking high-resolution satellite technology in contacts with Chinese firms.  Western intelligence sources report that Iran is seeking partnerships with two Chinese satellite firms in a bid to enhance its remote surveillance capabilities, possibly including high-resolution imagery of targets in the Middle East.   Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has exchanged visits in recent months with representatives of Chinese manufacturers and operators of remote-sensing satellites.  The Washington Post has examined a confidential document warning that Iran could obtain enhanced targeting capability for its ballistic missiles as well as early warning systems if a deal with Chinese vendors was finalized.  In addition, with the enhanced platforms, Iran could share intelligence with Houthi rebels currently targeting shipping in the Red Sea.  The two Chinese companies in question see optically equipped satellites that reportedly are twice as sensitive as any remote-sensing capabilities Iran currently possesses.  The assessment reviewed by the Post says that a relationship is growing between Tehran and Chan Guan Satellite Technology company, including extended stays in China by IRGC delegations.  Chang Guang produces small, low-cost “cubesat” optical satellites that generate images with resolution to 30 centimeters.  By comparison, the Iranian Khayyam satellite produces images with 1-meter resolution.  According to sources, Iranian officials also have sought business arrangements with MinoSpace Technology Co., which makes the Taijing-series remote sensing satellites.  Washington Post

X ceases social media operations in Brazil in dispute with country’s supreme court justice.  The X social media platform has announced the cessation of operations in Brazil in the wake of a reported threat by the country’s top judge to arrest the company’s lawyer for refusing to shut down certain accounts as ordered by the court.  X accused the judge of “censorship” and said the Supreme Court’s leading jurist “has chosen to threaten our staff in Brazil rather than respect the law or due process.”  Brazil is X’s fourth-largest market in the world, with 20 million users.  Several months ago, X owner Elon Musk said the platform would not comply with Brazilian Supreme Court orders to block accounts that allegedly spread disinformation.  Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes is described as one of the most powerful people in the country.  In the past, he has ordered social media companies to shut down dozens of accounts.  In orders to X earlier this year, Moraes commented that “social media networks are not a lawless land” while also accusing Musk of conducting a “disinformation campaign” against the court.  Washington Post   Reuters   TechCrunch

Chinese security authorities say weather towers could transmit sensitive data abroa.  According to Chinese state television, CCTV, the country’s security ministry is warning that data leaks could result from projects that purport to build wind measurement towers but are in fact collection and transmission structures for “illegally collected sensitive data” that are sent abroad.  The TV report cited a resident of a coastal city who reported the illegal construction by a company near a sensitive location to security authorities.  On investigation by the Ministry of State Security, it was discovered that the tower could analyze and transmit data, which CCTV said, “if this data was leaked abroad, it could pose a risk to national security.”  Authorities reportedly have blocked the data from being transmitted abroad.  Another vaguely described case is said to have involved a wind measurement tower near a scientific research base, which was suspected of illegal data collection and transmission.  CCTV described the tower’s data transmission operations as “complex, posing significant security risks.”  China’s security ministry in 2022 revised a regulation concerning “foreign-related” meteorological data that prohibits construction of meteorological stations near sensitive sites and bans weather data from being shared with foreign parties without approval.  SCMP

Experts estimate 900 million U.S. Social Security numbers exposed in data firm breach – Millions of Social Security Numbers (SSN’s) have been exposed as the result of a data breach at National Public Data (NPD), one of the largest U.S. companies specializing in background checks. According to NPD, an unidentified hacker leaked data tranches beginning in April and continuing throughout the summer.  A statement from NPD said, “the information that was suspected of being breached contained name, email address, phone number, social security number, and mailing address(es).”  NPD did not publicly comment on the leak until last week when social media postings expressed concerns about large numbers of SSN’s having been exposed.  A hacker known as USDoD revealed a database leak in April on the criminal marketplace Breached, claiming it contained 2.9 billion records on U.S. citizens.  USDoD claimed the data originated with a hacker known as SXUL, who offered the information for $3.5 million.  It is unknown if any ransom was paid, but parts of the database began to be leaked in June and later in the summer.  A cybersecurity analyst estimates that the database contains almost 900 million unique SSN’s.  Akhil Mittal of Synopsys Software Integrity Group projected that the effects on individuals could last years with incidents of identity theft and fraud among other impacts.  The Record   Washington Post

Data of half of Chile’s population at risk in pension fund database breach.  Chile’s largest pension and social security fund, Caja Los Andes, suffered a data breach that exposed sensitive information of half of the country’s population.  The company provides Chileans with health insurance, pensions, loans, and mortgages through its Family Allowance Compensation Fund (CCAF), which is part of the country’s social security system.  The lack of authentication protections on the company’s Apache Cassandra database has been identified as the cause of the leak.  Among other information, the data exposed include names, credit amounts, and credit usage details.  According to analysts, millions of the fund clients are at risk of identity theft leading to fraud, targeted scams, and phishing attacks.  In addition, researchers said “leaked home addresses and financial details …make these people vulnerable to targeted robberies or physical threats.”  Chilean data protection laws could subject Caja Los Andes to penalties up to 4 percent of its annual income as well as individual lawsuits.  Cybernews

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Brad Christian, Elaine Shannon, Brian Bonner, Ken Hughes & Katharine Campbell contributed to this report.

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