Report for Friday, December 20, 2024

THE TOP STORIES

Report for Friday, December 20, 2024

House rejects Trump-backed spending deal as government shutdown looms

Pentagon acknowledges U.S. troops doubled in Syria before regime’s ouster

US diplomats to meet Syrian rebel leader in Damascus

$2.2 billion stolen from crypto platforms in cyberattacks this year, Chainalysis reports

U.S. charges Chinese citizen with acting as Beijing’s agent in local California election

CIPHER BRIEF EXCLUSIVES

Our Best National Security Reads for 2024. Cipher Brief’s 2024 book recommendations highlight top-rated titles across national security, memoirs, warfare, and fiction. Notable picks include Midnight in Moscow, John Sullivan’s memoir on U.S.-Russia relations, and America’s Cold Warrior, a biography of Paul Nitze, praised for accessibility despite the weighty subject matter. For insights into Russia’s war on Ukraine, Illia Ponomarenko’s I Will Show You How It Was offers a gripping, personal view, while Mick Ryan’s The War for Ukraine examines strategic lessons. Other standout titles include Algorithms of Armageddon, exploring AI in warfare, and Portraits of Ukraine: A Nation at War, featuring evocative photography. Fiction highlights include Daniel Silva’s suspenseful A Death in Cornwall and Marty Petersen’s Shanghai-set mystery, City of Lost Souls, as well as Admiral James Stavridis’ The Restless Wave. Looking ahead, Cipher Brief anticipates reviews of compelling 2025 releases like The Chinese Phantom and Death is Our Business. We highlight many books that our reviewers awarded “four trench coats.” The Cipher Brief 

Opinion: Can the HTS Rebels Unify a Post-Assad Syria? Emile Nakhleh argues that Hayat Tahrir al-Sham’s (HTS) toppling of the Assad regime in Syria signals a shift toward territorial political Islam and offers cautious optimism for a pluralistic future. He highlights HTS leader Ahmad al-Shara’s explicit recognition of Syria’s diversity and focus on governance over strict Sharia enforcement, describing this as a departure from the violent global jihadist approach. Nakhleh calls for re-evaluating HTS’s terrorist designation if the group establishes a human-rights-focused government. He warns, however, that sectarianism, external interference, and governance challenges could derail progress toward stability in post-Assad Syria. The Cipher Brief

THE MIDDLE EAST AT WAR

Israel launches airstrikes on Houthi port and energy infrastructure.   Israel attacked ports and energy infrastructure in Houthi-held territory in Yemen Thursday.  Some 14 Israeli fighter jets and other aircraft struck the ports of Salif and Ras Issa and Yemen’s capital Sanaa, an Israeli military spokesman said.  “After Hamas, Hezbollah and the Assad regime in Syria, the Houthis are nearly the last remaining arm of Iran's axis of evil,” Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said. They will learn the hard way, that whoever harms Israel - pays a very heavy price for it." As Israeli jets flew the mission, the Israeli military said it intercepted a missile headed towards central Israel. Shrapnel from the projectile destroyed a school building in Ramat Efal in the western part of Tel Aviv.  The Houthis said they had attacked Tel Aviv overnight with two ballistic missiles and had targeted "precise military targets."  Reuters 

At least six Palestinians killed in confrontations with Israeli military in West Bank. At least six Palestinians were killed in separate incidents in the occupied West Bank Thursday. In Tulkarm, in the north of the West Bank, four Palestinians were killed in an Israeli airstrike on a vehicle, the ministry said. The Tulkarm Brigade, an Palestinian militant umbrella group, said the four killed were fighters.  Separately, the Palestinian health ministry said two Palestinians, including an 80 year-old woman, were killed by Israeli troops during a raid in the Balata refugee camp near the West Bank city of Nablus. Al-Quds Brigades, the armed wing of Islamic Jihad, said in a statement they were battling Israeli forces in both Balata and Tulkarm and claimed they hit an Israeli armoured bulldozer with a hidden explosive device.  Reuters 

Palentian-Americans join lawsuit alleging U.S. failed to rescue them from war-torn Gaza. Nine Palestinian Americans have sued the U.S. government, accusing it of failing to evacuate them and their families from Gaza amidst Israel's ongoing war, which has killed over 45,000 people and caused a severe humanitarian crisis. The lawsuit alleges that the State Department discriminated against Americans of Palestinian origin by not providing the same evacuation efforts afforded to other Americans in similar conflict zones, such as Afghanistan, Lebanon, and Sudan. The plaintiffs claim their constitutional rights to equal protection were violated, and have named President Joe Biden, Secretary of State Antony Blinken, and Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin as defendants. The case, filed in Illinois, follows a separate lawsuit earlier in the week targeting Washington’s unfaltering support for Israel's military, which has been accused of genocide and war crimes. The State Department stated that the safety of American citizens is a "top priority" but declined to comment on the litigation. Reuters Times of Israel 

Sweden says it can no longer fund UNRWA aid agency due to Israeli ban. Sweden announced on Friday that it will stop funding the U.N. Palestinian refugee agency (UNRWA), and instead provide humanitarian aid to Gaza through other means. The decision follows Israel's controversial ban on UNRWA operations starting in late January, based on allegations of involvement in the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks. Swedish aid minister Benjamin Dousa stated that the Israeli ban makes funding UNRWA impractical, but stressed that Stockholm will increase its humanitarian aid to Gaza, potentially working with organizations like the U.N. World Food Programme. Meanwhile, the U.N. General Assembly recently supported UNRWA, and urged Israel to respect its mandate by allowing its operations to continue. Reuters

THE UKRAINE UPDATE

Russian missile attack on Kyiv kills one, injures 11, sparks fires. Russia launched a missile attack on Kyiv on Friday morning, killing one person, injuring 11, and causing widespread damage. Russian forces used five missiles, including hypersonic Kinzhal missiles and Iskander/KN-23 ballistic missiles. The strikes damaged office buildings, vehicles, and gas pipes in the Holosiivskyi district, where fires erupted, trapping some residents. Other fires were reported in Solomianskyi and Shevchenkivskyi districts, while a warehouse in Boryspil caught fire, covering 15,000 square meters. The attack knocked out heating to 630 residential buildings, 16 medical centers, and 30 schools and kindergartens, the city administration said. Kyiv’s air defenses responded, but debris fell across multiple districts. The assault followed a warning of MiG-31 fighter activity. President Volodymyr Zelensky has urged Western allies to provide 19 additional air defense systems to counter Russian attacks. Reuters Kyiv Independent Associated Press

Putin says Russia is ready to compromise with Trump on Ukraine war. At his annual marathon news conference in Moscow on Thursday, Russian President Vladimir Putin expressed openness to talks with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump to negotiate an end to Russia’s war on Ukraine but struck a defiant tone. Putin insisted any talks must reflect territorial realities, Ukraine’s abandonment of NATO ambitions, and a legitimate Ukrainian government for agreements – which he considers to be parliament and not President Volodymyr Zelensky. He dismissed ceasefires, emphasizing a durable peace agreement. He criticized Ukraine’s refusal to extend a gas transit deal and touted Russia’s battlefield advances and hypersonic missiles. He highlighted Ukraine’s manpower shortage. "Soon, those Ukrainians who want to fight will run out. In my opinion, soon there will be no one left who wants to fight. We are ready, but the other side needs to be ready for both negotiations and compromises,” the Kremlin leader said. Trump has pledged to resolve the war quickly. The president-elect has suggested that Ukraine and Russia should compromise. Putin says he welcomes a meeting with Trump. “I haven’t spoken to him at all for more than four years. I’m ready for it, of course, at any time. And I’ll be ready to meet if he wants,” Putin said of Trump. Reuters Bloomberg

Putin: I should have invaded Ukraine earlier. During his annual end-of-year press conference on Thursday, Russian President Vladimir Putin said he should have launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine earlier, admitting that "systemic preparation" for the 2022 war was lacking. Reflecting on the decision, he stated, "The order should have been made earlier” and with better preparation for what he still calls "a special military operation." The comments mark a rare admission of miscalculation in a war that has reshaped geopolitics and Russia’s standing. BBC

Putin: We are ready for talks with Zelensky if he wins an election. During his four-hour press conference on Thursday, Vladimir Putin claimed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky lacks legitimacy because his presidential term, which expired in May, was extended under martial law, allegedly violating Ukraine's constitution. Putin suggested peace talks would require Zelensky to win a new election. Ukraine has countered this allegation by noting that its constitution allows election delays during martial law. The nation plans to hold elections after the war. Putin seeks to undermine Zelensky’s authority while ignoring the context of Russia’s invasion, which has made normal democratic processes impossible. The Telegraph

Zelensky calls Putin a ‘dumbass’ for challenging a missile ‘duel.’ During Thursday's annual year-end news conference, Russian President Vladimir Putin suggested a “high-tech duel” to test Russia’s new Oreshnik missile by targeting Kyiv, calling it “interesting.” He remarked, “You know, when everything is calm, measured, stable, you get bored. Stagnation. You need some action. As soon as the action starts, everything whizzes past your head: seconds, bullets. Unfortunately, bullets are whistling now.” Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky responded online, calling Putin a “dumbass,” adding, “People are dying, and he thinks it’s ‘interesting.’ CNN

Too Little Too Late: US Allies Say Biden Strategy Cost Ukraine Chance of Victory. President Joe Biden’s approach to arming Ukraine has drawn criticism from Ukraine and allies who argue it left Kyiv unable to achieve victory. Regardless of what Biden does in his final weeks, they said, Ukraine is heading toward a bitter settlement in which President Volodymyr Zelensky may have to leave swathes of territory in limbo for security guarantees that fall short of NATO membership. Former UK Defense Secretary Grant Shapps said Biden, shaped by fears of Russian nuclear escalation, withheld crucial support. “His heart was undoubtedly in the right place,” Shapps said, but the strategy fell short during critical moments. While the U.S. sent over $90 billion in military arms and aid, officials like Latvian Foreign Minister Baiba Braze lament, “Earlier and more would have been quite decisive.” Critics highlight missed opportunities in 2022 when Ukrainian forces gained ground but lacked advanced weapons to sustain their advantage. CIA chief William Burns acknowledged nuclear risks but called Russia’s threats “saber-rattling.” National Security Advisor Jake Sullivan defended Biden’s strategy as an “extraordinary feat,” though detractors argue it aimed to prevent Ukraine’s collapse rather than secure success. Critics say Biden had two strategic options: ramp up support to let Kyiv finish the job or push for peace negotiations. He chose neither. US officials, in turn, voiced frustration with European governments who were slow to accept that Vladimir Putin would invade and then reluctant to ship weapons at all.  Bloomberg

Ukraine collects vast war data trove to train AI models. Ukraine’s battlefield is shaping the future of AI in warfare, with millions of hours of drone footage serving as a critical resource. Oleksandr Dmitriev, founder of the OCHI system, said his platform has collected 2 million hours of battlefield video from over 15,000 drone crews since 2022. This footage, he said, provides “food for the AI” to develop advanced combat capabilities, such as identifying targets, optimizing weapon use, and learning tactics. Dmitriev described the process as transforming battlefield experience into “mathematics” for AI training. OCHI was initially designed to consolidate real-time drone feeds for military commanders but evolved into a tool for archiving the war. The system now adds 5-6 terabytes of video daily, a dataset foreign allies reportedly find valuable. Experts like Samuel Bendett and Kateryna Bondar emphasized the importance of this data for training AI to distinguish roads, obstacles, and targets based on shapes and colors. Meanwhile, Ukraine’s defense ministry’s Avengers system, employing AI, identifies 12,000 Russian targets weekly. Advanced AI tools also aid in demining and developing autonomous drone swarms. Russia, too, uses AI, notably in Lancet drones for target recognition, underscoring the escalating role of AI in modern conflict. Reuters

Zelensky Raises Prospect of European Peacekeepers in Ukraine. At a European Union summit in Brussels on Thursday, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky raised the prospect of European peacekeepers stabilizing Ukraine during talks to end Russia’s war but called it a temporary measure while NATO membership remains elusive. “As long as Ukraine is not in NATO, this aspect can be considered,” he said, emphasizing that any deployment would require clarity on numbers, roles, and responses to Russian aggression. European leaders, including Chancellor Olaf Scholz, cautioned against premature peacekeeping plans, prioritizing military support instead. Zelensky’s remarks followed earlier discussions with President Emmanuel Macron, who had floated the idea of peacekeepers as part of a ceasefire. Amid skepticism, Zelensky also addressed security guarantees with the U.S. and Europe, reiterating that Ukraine’s long-term security requires NATO membership. While some leaders, like Belgium’s Prime Minister Alexander de Croo, insisted Ukraine must first repel Russian forces, others acknowledged mounting pressure for peace, with Scholz stating, “We must get into a situation in which peace becomes possible.” New York Times Washington Post

EU leaders insist no decisions can be taken about Ukraine without Ukraine, or behind their backs. At a Brussels summit, European Union leaders on Thursday reaffirmed that "nothing about Ukraine without Ukraine" will guide any peace talks, emphasizing that only Kyiv can determine the terms for negotiations. European Council President António Costa stated, “Only Ukraine as the aggressed country can legitimately define what peace means.” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz highlighted the need for long-term aid, prioritizing air defense, artillery, and ammunition, while underscoring that no decisions will be made over Ukraine’s or Europe’s heads. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky called for continued unity between the U.S. and EU, asserting that NATO membership remains Ukraine’s ultimate security guarantee. He praised France’s initiative for a military contingent in Ukraine and urged other allies to join, saying it would help end the war. Concerns linger over how President-elect Donald Trump’s approach might affect Ukraine, given his promises to end the war quickly and his previous unilateral deal-making in Afghanistan. Associated Press

Scholz calls Trump during EU leaders summit to talk Ukraine. German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called U.S. President-elect Donald Trump during the European Council summit on Thursday, agreeing to pursue a “fair, just, and sustainable peace” in Ukraine. Scholz reiterated support for Ukraine’s defense and acknowledged the need to prepare for reduced U.S. support under Trump’s leadership. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, also at the summit, expressed hope that Trump would help end the war but emphasized that NATO guarantees, including U.S. involvement, remain essential. The call marked Scholz’s second conversation with Trump since his reelection, following discussions in November on restoring peace in Europe. Politico EU

Ukraine must decide between 'carrying on the fight or looking to negotiate,' Blinken says. In an interview Thursday on MSNBC Morning Joe, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken emphasized Ukraine faces a critical choice: “The Ukrainians have to make fundamental decisions about carrying on the fight or looking to negotiate and try to bring this to a ceasefire.” He stressed that the U.S., under the Biden administration, is focused on reinforcing Ukraine's battlefield position by providing resources that ensure a strong hand for Ukraine and the incoming Trump administration. Blinken warned of the need for a "just and durable" ceasefire, noting, "There has to be some kind of assurance that Russia is not simply going to rest, refit, and reattack." Highlighting Russia’s mounting losses, he stated, “Putin keeps throwing these young men into a meat grinder of his own making.” Blinken underscored that Ukraine, as an independent, militarily, economically, and democratically strong nation, represents the best rebuke to Russia's aggression. U.S. Department of State Kyiv Independent

EU Economy Chief Open to Confiscating Frozen Russian Assets. European Union Economy Commissioner Valdis Dombrovskis has urged the bloc to consider confiscating frozen Russian central bank assets to compensate Ukraine, emphasizing international law’s principle that aggressors are liable for damages. Speaking Thursday, he called for “legally solid” measures, dismissing concerns about financial instability. The EU and G-7 use profits from $300 billion in Russian assets for aid, including a €50 billion loan package for Kyiv. Dombrovskis highlighted the need for stronger defense spending amid security threats and uncertainties around U.S. aid under Donald Trump’s presidency. Proposals like joint borrowing face resistance from countries like Germany and the Netherlands. Bloomberg

Ukraine’s defense procurement problems risk sabotaging war front. Ukrainian Defense Minister Rustem Umerov is under scrutiny over defense procurement issues, including malfunctioning mortar shells and a €553 million shell order moved to a Polish intermediary. Critics, such as Daria Kaleniuk of the Anti-Corruption Action Center, argue these problems undermine reforms to boost transparency and foreign investment. The Defense Procurement Agency (DPA) has implemented stringent controls to reduce corruption, but delays in procurement during wartime have raised concerns. A recent scandal involved 24,000 faulty mortar shells, prompting tighter production oversight and diversification of suppliers. Despite challenges, foreign allies, including the U.S., European Union, and Denmark, remain supportive, with substantial funding committed for Ukrainian arms production. Umerov is set to address parliament, though the date remains undisclosed for security reasons. Politico EU

Ukraine may consider Russian gas transit if Moscow is not paid during the war. ​​Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and Russian President Vladimir Putin both ruled out extending the Russia-Ukraine gas transit deal set to expire at year’s end, though their positions diverged on potential alternatives. Zelensky stated Ukraine would not prolong the deal if it benefits Russia financially, but added that transit could be considered if payments to Russia are withheld until the war ends. He rejected proposals for intermediaries, emphasizing that relabeled Russian gas would still fund Moscow's war efforts. Meanwhile, Putin declared the contract's expiration unavoidable, with Gazprom prepared to adapt. Efforts to secure alternative arrangements, led by Slovakia, face logistical and political hurdles. Reuters Bloomberg

G-7 Considering Options to Harden Price Cap on Russian Oil. The G-7 is considering measures to strengthen the price cap on Russian oil to curb Moscow’s war revenues. Proposals include reducing the per-barrel cap from $60 to $40 or replacing it with a total ban on handling Russian crude. Current restrictions allow Western operators to insure and transport oil below the cap, but Russia has evaded these through a covert "shadow fleet." Sanctions on vessels and increased inspections in Europe aim to counteract this. With falling oil prices and forecasts of a 2025 surplus, G-7 nations are weighing aggressive actions while balancing economic impacts and maritime safety concerns. Bloomberg

Orban to EU: Wait for Trump Before Extending Russia Sanctions. Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban surprised European Union leaders on Thursday by proposing to delay the extension of sanctions on Russia until after Donald Trump’s inauguration, citing the need for "strategic patience" and alignment with the incoming U.S. administration. Orban, a Trump ally, has previously obstructed EU measures against Russia and emphasized maintaining the transatlantic relationship. His stance heightened concerns about potential fractures in EU unity, especially if Trump scales back U.S. support for Ukraine. European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen reiterated the bloc’s commitment to Ukraine, while Danish Prime Minister Mette Frederiksen stressed increased EU defense spending to fill potential gaps. Bloomberg

Russia's Syria exit could help Ukraine-Israel relationship. The collapse of Bashar al-Assad’s regime in Syria has weakened Russia’s influence, sparking calls for Israel to reassess its cautious stance toward Ukraine. Yuli Edelstein, chair of Israel’s Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee, urged stronger support for Ukraine, emphasizing the "strategic alliance between the Russians and Iranians." Ukrainian Ambassador Yevhen Korniychuk echoed this, arguing Israel no longer has an excuse to avoid aiding Ukraine. While intelligence cooperation has advanced, Israel refrains from providing military technology. Critics, like analyst Rebekah Koffler, caution against straining ties with Russia, citing its leverage in the Middle East. However, shifting geopolitics may allow greater Israeli-Ukraine collaboration. Fox News

Russia conducted a mass cyberattack on Ukraine's state registries.  Russia launched a massive cyberattack on Ukraine's state registries, disrupting vital services for births, deaths, marriages, and property records, Deputy Prime Minister Olha Stefanishyna said Thursday. The attack temporarily suspended registry operations under the Justice Ministry, though some services resumed Friday. Stefanishyna attributed the attack to Russia's effort to undermine critical infrastructure. Restoration will take about two weeks, with plans for enhanced future protections. Both sides have faced cyberattacks throughout the 34-month war. Reuters

Estonia's top spy says NATO must deter Russia for next 10 to 20 years. Estonian intelligence chief Kaupo Rosin emphasized the need for NATO to deter Russia over the next 10-20 years, citing increased defense spending and stockpiling in Estonia, now allocating 3.4% of its GDP to defense. He highlighted the importance of credible military plans and resources to counter Russia's military ambitions. Rosin also warned of potential risks from Chinese technology, including vulnerabilities in solar inverters, advocating for preemptive measures to protect critical infrastructure from potential manipulation. Reuters

Russia will remain a threat to Europe even after Ukraine war, Finland says. Finnish Defense Minister Antti Hakkanen warned that Russia and its allies, including North Korea and Iran, will remain a threat to Europe even after the Ukraine war. Presenting Finland's first defense review since joining NATO, he stressed bolstering national defense and cooperation with allies like Sweden, the U.S., and Estonia. Finland will maintain defense spending above 2% of GDP and may consider reintroducing anti-personnel landmines to secure its 1,300-kilometer border with Russia. Reuters

Russian missile kills three, wounds three more in Ukraine's Kharkiv region. A Russian missile attack killed three people and wounded three more in Ukraine's northeastern Kharkiv region on Thursday, the national police said. It added on the Telegram messenger that more than 10 private houses were damaged. Reuters

Russian missile hits residence in Kryvyi Rih, six injured. A Russian missile struck and badly damaged a two-story residence in the southeastern Ukrainian city of Kryvyi Rih, injuring six people, including two pulled alive from under the rubble, officials said Friday. Serhiy Lysak, governor of Dnipropetrovsk region, wrote on Telegram that a man and a teenage girl had been rescued in Kryvyi Rih, President Volodymyr Zelensky's hometown. Windows were shattered in a nearby 10-story apartment building. Reuters Kyiv Independent

5 killed, 7 injured in fire at detention facility housing war deserters in Russia's Sakha Republic. A fire at a Yakutsk detention center housing Russian soldiers accused of desertion killed five people and injured seven, Russian officials reported. The blaze occurred early on Dec. 20, with the cause still under investigation. Yakutsk, a historically significant site for detaining political prisoners, reflects Russia’s struggles with desertion amid high war casualties. Mediazona reported over 8,200 mobilization-related court cases since the war began. Those injured were hospitalized for smoke inhalation, and victim identities are being confirmed. Kyiv Independent

Ukrainians Mourn the Loss of a Young Journalist and Her Stories. Ukrainian journalist Viktoria Roshchyna, 25, was widely mourned after her death in Russian custody in September. Known for her courage, Roshchyna reported from Russian-occupied territories, providing rare insights into life under occupation. Her stories included accounts of devastation in Mariupol and Ukrainian children forcibly sent to Russian camps. Arrested by Russian forces multiple times, she endured beatings but remained undeterred, often venturing into dangerous areas without informing her editors. In 2023, she traveled to Russia, reportedly planning to re-enter occupied Ukraine. Detained in Taganrog, a notorious Russian detention center, she died before being transferred to Moscow. Russia has yet to return her body. New York Times

ISW Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment for Thursday, Dec. 19. Vladimir Putin said he should have launched a full-scale invasion of Ukraine earlier, violating the 2014 ceasefire. Putin reiterated demands from Ukraine's weakest moment in 2022, ignoring Kyiv's territorial gains. He believes Russia will outlast Ukrainian and Western resolve, refusing lesser settlements unless further military setbacks occur.  Putin falsely claimed Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is illegitimate to justify delayed negotiations and demand capitulation. He justified focusing on Donetsk over Kursk, downplaying reliance on North Korean forces and emphasizing Russia’s new "Oreshnik" missile as a deterrent. Putin misrepresented Russia's economy as stable, blaming the Central Bank for rising inflation and interest rates. He promoted resettling Russians in occupied Ukraine to alter demographics while evading blame for systemic military payment failures.

Battlefield update: Russian forces advanced near Kupyansk, Toretsk, Kurakhove, Vuhledar, Velyka Novosilka, and Robotyne. Institute for the Study of War

Opinion: Does Trump want Putin to get Ukraine’s $26 trillion in gas and minerals? Marc A. Thiessen argues that Ukraine’s vast $26 trillion mineral wealth, including critical resources like uranium, lithium, and titanium, presents both a strategic opportunity and risk for the U.S. Donald Trump must decide if these resources will benefit Ukraine and its allies or fall into Russian and Chinese hands. Thiessen highlights how U.S. support has helped Ukraine retain most of its resources but warns that Russia’s aggression remains a mortal threat. He advocates for a peace deal that ensures Ukraine’s sovereignty, defensible borders, and military strength while using its natural wealth to attract investment and secure stability. Washington Post

Opinion: Ukraine’s destruction is the only acceptable outcome for Putin. Jonathan Sweet and Mark Toth argue that Russian President Vladimir Putin seeks Ukraine’s destruction, either through war or coercive diplomacy. Despite devastating losses, including over 766,000 soldiers dead or wounded, Putin remains committed to escalating the conflict, even deploying North Korean troops and advanced missiles like the Oreshnik. The authors view his nuclear threats and rejection of peace talks as tactics to prolong aggression. They urge Donald Trump to counter Putin’s bluffs by enabling Ukraine to target Russian forces and infrastructure across the border. Rewarding Russian aggression, they assert, would undermine Ukraine’s sovereignty and global stability. The Hill

Opinion: A Russian general’s killing in Moscow points to a worrying trend. Max Boot examines the targeted killing of Russian Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov in Moscow, highlighting its controversy and implications. The Security Service of Ukraine justified the act by citing Kirillov’s involvement in deploying banned chemical weapons, while U.S. National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan criticized the operation as beyond acceptable military doctrine. Boot contrasts this with the U.S. killing of Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani, noting their potential to set dangerous precedents for authoritarian regimes. While the operation signals accountability for Russian war crimes, Boot argues it is unlikely to alter the war’s trajectory meaningfully. Washington Post

Opinion: Five things Russia’s invasion has taught the world about Ukraine. Peter Dickinson outlines five key lessons about Ukraine from Russia's invasion. First, Ukraine’s distinct identity is now globally recognized, debunking Russia’s narrative of "one people." Second, Ukraine’s vast size has emerged in global consciousness, altering perceptions of its geopolitical weight. Third, Ukraine’s role as an agricultural superpower, crucial to global food security, is now widely acknowledged. Fourth, the country’s innovation, particularly in defense technology, has cemented its reputation as a tech hub. Lastly, Ukraine’s unity has shattered stereotypes of regional divisions, with citizens nationwide rallying against Russian aggression. These insights reshape Ukraine’s international image and bolster global support. Atlantic Council

Opinion: Kremlin is in fantasyland over Russian general’s assassination. Julia Davis argues that the assassination of Russian Lt. Gen. Igor Kirillov highlights two key developments: Ukraine’s growing capacity to conduct sophisticated operations within Russia and the Kremlin’s reliance on anti-Western propaganda to deflect from its vulnerabilities. While Ukrainian intelligence reportedly claimed responsibility for the attack, Russian officials, including Vladimir Solovyov and Dmitry Medvedev, pointed fingers at British intelligence, reviving Russia’s historic fixation on “Anglo-Saxon” enemies. This narrative, Davis notes, obscures Ukraine’s adeptness in penetrating Russia’s security apparatus, which Moscow’s propagandists struggle to acknowledge, instead clinging to imperialist attitudes that underestimate their neighbors’ capabilities. Center for European Policy Analysis

AMERICAS

American taxpayers paying heavily to maintain oligarch’s seized yacht.  The yacht Amadea, seized from Russian gold magnate Suleyman Kerimov, has cost the U.S. about $30 million to maintain, the Washington Post reported.  U.S. officials have seized roughly $650 million in assets from Kremlin-allied oligarchs.  The U.S. planned to sell the property and turn over the profits to Ukraine. But the effort has yielded only $6 million in aid for Ukraine so far. Why? The Post finds out.  Washington Post

Drone mystery prompts FAA to temporarily ban drone flights over New Jersey, New York sites. The Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) on Thursday announced that it has temporarily banned drone flights for 30 days over dozens of critical infrastructure sites in New Jersey and New York due to safety concerns. The decision, made at the request of federal security agencies, affects 22 sites in New Jersey, including utility facilities, and 29 sites in New York, including locations in New York City and nearby areas. While officials stress that there are no security threats, the ban is a precautionary measure amidst a spike in reports of drone activity and the illegal use of lasers pointed at aircraft in the region. Reports of lasers have surged by 269% compared to the same period last year. Authorities warn against targeting drones with lasers or shooting at them due to potential risks to manned aircraft. The FAA is also extending a drone flight ban over President-elect Donald Trump's golf course in New Jersey through January 31. Despite the increase in drone-related incidents, officials assert that most sightings involve hobbyist drones or misidentified aircraft, with no evidence of national security risks. Reuters Forbes Fox News CBS

House rejects Trump-backed spending deal as government shutdown looms. A spending bill supported by Donald Trump was rejected by the U.S. House of Representatives on Thursday, as dozens of Republicans opposed it, leaving Congress without a clear plan to avoid an impending government shutdown. The failed vote, 174-235, exposed divisions within the Republican Party, particularly between its fiscal conservatives and Trump-aligned factions. The bill aimed to extend government funding into March, provide $100 billion in disaster relief, and suspend the debt ceiling for two years to pave the way for tax cuts under Trump. Critics, including Democrats and some Republicans, argued the bill would increase national debt without addressing spending cuts, with Democratic leaders calling it a giveaway to the wealthy. If no agreement is reached by Friday at midnight, a partial government shutdown could begin, disrupting services, halting paychecks for federal workers, and delaying holiday travel. House Speaker Mike Johnson, who is under severe pressure from his party's right flank, has struggled to unify Republicans and may face a leadership challenge in January. Even if the bill had passed the House, it faced significant opposition in the Senate and from President Biden, making its prospects dim. Previous debt ceiling disputes have rattled financial markets, and this latest impasse underscores potential fiscal turmoil as Trump prepares to take office. New York Times Reuters BBC Bloomberg The Hill The Guardian  

Air Force secretary says Elon Musk ‘not a warfighter,’ needs to learn more, after tech billionaire’s comments. Outgoing Air Force Secretary Frank Kendall on Thursday dismissed Elon Musk’s recent claims that crewed fighter jets are “obsolete,” suggesting that Musk “needs to learn a little bit more about the business” of military operations before making such statements. The Tesla CEO recently criticized crewed fighters, calling their advocates "idiots" and arguing that drones will dominate future warfare. While Kendall acknowledged the potential of uncrewed systems, he asserted that the necessary technology is still decades away and that crewed aircraft remain essential for now. The Air Force is integrating autonomous drone wingmen, known as Collaborative Combat Aircraft (CCAs), to work alongside F-35s and future fighters. Kendall highlighted the importance of human pilots managing these drones, ensuring secure communication, and maintaining operational effectiveness. Pilots are already training to use CCAs, which they believe will enhance mission safety and efficiency. Kendall also defended continued investment in the F-35 program, citing its advanced capabilities and global demand. While the Air Force plans to purchase 1,763 F-35s, this number could be adjusted based on the success of CCAs and next-generation technologies. Defense News 

Biden will travel to Rome for Meloni, Pope meetings in final foreign visit of presidency. U.S. President Joe Biden is set to visit Rome from January 9-12 for meetings with Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni, President Sergio Mattarella, and Pope Francis. The trip will underscore the strength of the U.S.-Italy relationship. Biden is expected to thank Meloni for her G7 leadership, and address global challenges. This visit, likely Biden’s final foreign trip as president, highlights Meloni’s growing influence as a key E.U. leader. Biden will also meet with Pope Francis to discuss global peace efforts. Meanwhile, Meloni’s ties with Washington are expected to strengthen under President-elect Donald Trump, who has praised her as a "fantastic leader." Meloni has also advocated for an open approach with Trump’s administration and has a close friendship with Trump adviser Elon Musk. Politico Deutsche Welle La Repubblica The White House Il Messaggero 

U.S. charges Chinese citizen with acting as Beijing’s agent in local California election. Yaoning “Mike” Sun, a 64-year-old Chinese national, was arrested on Thursday for allegedly acting as an illegal agent for the Chinese government while serving as a campaign manager for an unnamed politician elected to a Southern California city council in 2022. The case highlights growing concerns over China’s efforts to influence U.S. local elections by supporting candidates aligned with Beijing’s interests. Sun is accused of conspiring with Chen Jun, another Chinese national recently sentenced for acting as an illegal agent of China. Prosecutors allege Sun coordinated with Chinese officials, managed travel for the councilperson, and arranged meetings with top Chinese diplomats. Sun, a former Chinese military member and director of a media outlet linked to the councilperson, appeared ideologically driven to advance Beijing’s agenda in the U.S. This arrest follows similar cases of Chinese influence operations on American soil, including a September case involving a former aide to New York governors. Associated Press United States Department of Justice USA Today  

Texas starts harsh billboard campaign in Mexico to discourage migrants. Texas Governor Greg Abbott has announced a billboard campaign in Mexico and Central America to deter illegal immigration, highlighting potential dangers such as sexual assault and legal consequences. One shocking sign reads, "How much did you pay to have your daughter raped?" while another warns of arrests for illegal entry. Abbott stated that the $100,000 campaign aims to discourage migrants from crossing before President-elect Donald Trump takes office on January 20. Texas also plans to offer land near the border for Trump’s ambitious deportation initiatives. Reuters 

U.S. immigration agency deports highest number of individuals since 2014. U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) deported over 270,000 people to 192 countries in the past fiscal year, the highest number in a decade and nearly double the prior year. This marks ICE’s largest deportation tally since 2014, when it removed 315,943 individuals, and highlights logistical challenges President-elect Donald Trump may face in executing his pledge for mass deportations. The increase was driven by expanded deportation flights, including to countries such as Guatemala, Honduras, El Salvador, and even China. Mexico remained the top deportation destination, followed by Guatemala and Honduras. Despite the rise in deportations, ICE’s resources remain strained, with its officer count unchanged over a decade while its caseload has quadrupled to 7.6 million. Meanwhile, border arrests dropped significantly, reflecting increased Mexican enforcement and stricter asylum rules under President Biden.  Associated Press 

EUROPE

Hungary on path of no return under Orbán, warns Polish minister. Hungary is unlikely to reverse its defiance of European Union law and erosion of civil society under Viktor Orbán’s leadership, according to Polish Justice Minister Adam Bodnar. Drawing on Poland’s past struggles with illiberal governance, Bodnar argued that change is unlikely without a leadership shift. Even if opposition leader Péter Magyar wins in 2026, repairing damage from 16 years of Fidesz rule would be a monumental task. As Warsaw assumes the European Union Council presidency in January, Bodnar plans to advocate stronger protections for civil society and judicial independence across the bloc. PoliticoEU

Germany expands submarine contract to six boats in joint purchase with Norway. Germany and Norway are expanding a joint submarine deal with ThyssenKrupp Marine Systems, increasing the order to 10 submarines (6 for Germany and 4 for Norway) as part of a €5.5 billion project. Germany’s defense spending package of €21 billion also includes upgrades to its military, such as anti-air warfare frigates, artillery systems, and digitalizing land-based operations. The new submarines are set to enhance NATO operations and reduce costs through cooperation between the two countries. ThyssenKrupp has invested heavily in expanding production capacity for the project, which may attract additional international partners.  Defense News 

U.K. selects Peter Mandelson as next U.S. ambassador. Peter Mandelson, a former senior minister in the government of ex-Prime Minister Tony Blair, is expected to be appointed Britain’s new ambassador to the United States. His selection is seen as strategic, given his extensive ministerial experience, his tenure as European trade commissioner, and his reputation as a skilled political operator. Mandelson, currently a member of the House of Lords, is tasked with managing key transatlantic issues as U.S. president-elect Donald Trump returns to office. His priorities will likely include strengthening U.S. support for Ukraine under a Trump administration, safeguarding the U.K. economy from potential import tariffs, and improving London’s trading relationship with Washington. Mandelson, a critic of Brexit, has emphasized the necessity of balancing U.K.-U.S. trade priorities and resolving tensions with Trump advisor Elon Musk. Politico 

MIDDLE EAST

Syrians turn vigilante, taking revenge on enemies and oppressors.  Hay’at Tahrir al-Sham, the Islamist rebel group that toppled the Assad regime, is trying to contain vigilantes bent on revenge attacks to settle personal and sectarian scores. The Washington Post reported seeing evidence of extrajudicial killings in Damascus and Hama province, including videos of fighters executing alleged members of Syria’s state security forces. Preventing the violence from spiraling will be a key test for HTS as it strives to unite a territory loosely controlled by different armed factions.  Washington Post 

Syrians returning home to Homs find only destruction.  The ancient city of Homs in central Syria was a center of resistance, and its people were bombed, starved, beaten and killed.  The New York Times describes Homs now, after the fall of dictator Bashar al-Assad.  New York Times 

U.S. diplomats to meet Syrian rebel leader in Damascus.  Barbara Leaf, the State Department's top diplomat for the Middle East, will lead a delegation to Damascus in coming days to meet Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, A.K.A. Ahmed al-Sharea, leader of the Islamist rebels who downed Syria’s dictator Bashar al-Assad. Jolani’s group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham, is currently a U.S.-designated terrorist group, which means that Washington can communicate with the group but cannot offer material support.  U.S. officials say they would consider lifting HTS’s terrorist designation, in place since 2018, as well as sanctions on the Syrian state if the group proves its commitment to stability and “inclusive” rule. “What we need to see is actual concrete steps, building an inclusive nonsectarian government, a transition, eventually getting to an election,” Secretary of State Antony Blinken told Bloomberg’s “The Big Take” podcast Thursday. Leaf’s trip follows visits to Damascus by officials from France, Germany and the U.K. The EU is planning to reopen its legation in Damascus, and Turkey and Qatar are reopening embassies. American officials are encouraged by Jolani’s moderate rhetoric. They have already been in touch with HTS to discuss Syria’s political transition and to urge them to find American journalist Austin Tice, abducted in Damascus in 2012. The U.S. military has had an ongoing military presence in Syria since 2014 to counter ISIS. Pentagon Spokesperson Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder told reporters Thursday that there are currently 2,000 U.S. troops in the country — double the number previously disclosed.  Of those, 1,100 of those are on temporary duty.  Financial Times  Axios State Department

Pentagon acknowledges U.S. troops doubled in Syria before regime’s ouster. The Pentagon revealed on Thursday that the U.S. has approximately 2,000 troops in Syria, more than double the previously disclosed figure of 900. These forces, including 900 on long-term deployments and 1,100 on temporary rotations, are focused on combating ISIS. The Pentagon clarified the initial underreporting was due to diplomatic and operational security considerations. The U.S. has maintained a military presence in Syria since 2014, working with the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) against ISIS. However, the conflict has grown more complex following the fall of Bashar al-Assad’s regime, with fears that a power vacuum could aid an ISIS resurgence. There are also rising tensions with Turkey over its opposition to the SDF. CNN Defense News Reuters Associated Press Al Jazeera 

Syrian Kurdish chief says non-Syrian Kurdish fighters will leave if total truce is agreed with Turkey. Kurdish fighters from outside Syria, who supported the Syrian Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) during the conflict, will leave the country if a full ceasefire is achieved with Turkey, according to SDF commander Mazloum Abdi. Turkey, which views Syrian Kurdish groups as linked to the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK), a group it considers a terrorist organization, has made the withdrawal of non-Syrian Kurdish fighters a key demand. Abdi acknowledged the presence of PKK members but denied organizational ties between the SDF and PKK. The SDF, backed by the United States in the fight against ISIS, is seeking a ceasefire amid escalating hostilities, including Turkey’s recent capture of Manbij. Abdi proposed a plan for SDF forces to withdraw from Kobani and transfer control to local security forces under U.S. supervision. He also emphasized that with a political transition underway in Syria, non-Syrian Kurdish fighters should return home. Some of these fighters had stayed to assist after the battle against ISIS but are now preparing to leave if peace is achieved. Reuters 

ASIA & OCEANIA

China’s coast guard claims it repelled Philippine aircraft over disputed Scarborough Shoal. The Chinese Coast Guard on Friday claimed that it expelled a Philippine C-208 plane that "illegally intruded" into the airspace over Scarborough Shoal, a contested territory in the South China Sea. The China Coast Guard reported that it monitored, warned, and drove the aircraft away. Beijing says the Scarborough Shoal, known as Huangyan Island in China, is its "inherent territory." The shoal is also claimed by Manila and has been a point of severe contention between the two countries. China accused the Philippines of infringing on its sovereignty and warned against further "violations and provocations." Tensions over the shoal have been ongoing, escalating since last year. South China Morning Post Reuters

Pentagon argues China’s H-20 long-range stealth bomber has years to go before debut. The Pentagon's annual defense report suggests that China's advanced H-20 stealth bomber, described as a "new generation of long-range bombers," is unlikely to debut until the 2030s. The H-20 is expected to rival the U.S. B-2 Spirit and B-21 Raider bombers, and will reportedly have a range of over 10,000 km (6,214 miles), enabling it to project power deep into the Pacific and potentially employ both conventional and nuclear weapons. With aerial refueling, its range could theoretically "cover the globe." Despite progress, the Pentagon suggests that China's H-20 program faces engineering challenges and remains inferior to U.S. stealth bombers. Currently, Beijing relies on its older H-6 bomber family, which has limited nuclear deterrence capacity. The H-20, however, is seen as a significant step in enhancing China's strategic nuclear capabilities as part of its "nuclear triad," though questions remain about its ability to match U.S. systems. Chinese officials have provided few details but maintain that the project is on track, with formal announcements expected in the future. State media has teased the H-20's capabilities, emphasizing its potential as a game-changer for China's military strategy. South China Morning Post 

Myanmar army's discloses plan to hold elections.  At regional meetings on Myanmar this week   the junta's foreign minister Than Swe outlined a political roadmap and progress on election preparations, Thai Foreign Minister Maris Sangiampongsa said. Myanmar's neighbors emphasized the need for continued engagement with the junta, and Thai officials said the ASEAN bloc's 'Five Point Consensus' peace plan will remain central to regional efforts to end the conflict.  Reuters

Indian military reports 5 suspected militants killed in fighting in Kashmir. According to the Indian military, its forces killed five suspected militants during a gunbattle in Indian-controlled Kashmir's Kulgam district on Thursday, following a tip about rebel activity. The militants reportedly fired heavily on the troops, injuring two soldiers. Troops are still searching the area, but independent confirmation of the incident is unavailable. The incident is part of the long-running conflict in Kashmir, a region claimed by both India and Pakistan. Militants have been fighting Indian rule since 1989, seeking to unite Kashmir with Pakistan or establish independence. New Delhi accuses Islamabad of sponsoring terrorism, while Pakistan denies the charge, and many Kashmiris view the struggle as a fight for freedom. The conflict has resulted in tens of thousands of deaths over the decades. Associated Press 

Australia to bolster police backing to Solomon Islands as rivalry with China continues.Australia will provide A$190 million ($118 million) to the Solomon Islands to help expand its police force, aiming to reduce the nation’s reliance on external partners, particularly China. The four-year funding commitment underscores Canberra’s position as the Solomon Islands’ "security partner of choice" amidst growing competition with China for influence in the Pacific Islands. The Solomon Islands, which signed a security deal with Beijing in 2022, currently hosts a small Chinese police contingent. Australian police, who previously provided security from 2003 to 2017 and returned in 2021 to address riots, will now support the Solomon Islands in doubling its police force to 3,000 officers. The announcement follows a series of security and funding deals by Australia with Pacific Island nations, including agreements with Nauru and Papua New Guinea that restrict Chinese security involvement. These initiatives align with the Pacific Islands Forum's plan to develop a regional policing strategy among its 18 member nations, which excludes China. Reuters France 24 Australian Broadcasting Corporation ABC

AFRICA

Biden team to report to Congress on credibility of UAE assurance that it’s not backing Sudan’s RSF with weapons. According to a letter examined by Reuters, the Biden administration has committed to providing U.S. lawmakers with an assessment by January 17 on the credibility of the UAE's assurances that it is not supplying weapons to Sudan’s paramilitary Rapid Support Forces (RSF). This development comes in the wake of concerns that the UAE, a major U.S. arms purchaser, may be arming the RSF, which is one faction involved in Sudan's brutal civil war. Senators Chris Van Hollen and Sara Jacobs recently introduced legislation to block U.S. arms sales to the UAE unless it is confirmed they are not supporting the RSF. Abu Dhabi staunchly denies these allegations, though U.N. monitors have found credible evidence of its involvement. U.S. law requires congressional approval for major arms deals, allowing lawmakers to block sales if necessary. Washington is also increasing humanitarian aid to Sudan, where nearly 25 million people need assistance due to the conflict. Lawmakers warn that without UAE support, the RSF's military capabilities would be weakened, potentially encouraging a ceasefire. The Biden administration's upcoming assessment will influence whether Congress takes further action to block arms sales to the Gulf state. Reuters France 24 France 24 

ANALYSIS–Why Russia Is Not a Great Power in Africa.  Russia’s influence in Africa is waning despite its propaganda projecting power and support for sovereignty. Its operations, led by mercenaries like Wagner, often result in civilian harm, such as massacres in Mali. Overstretched resources due to the Ukraine war and challenges in Syria weaken Moscow’s position further. African governments, such as Mali's junta, are diversifying alliances, favoring nations like Turkey. Russia's economic contributions and trade pale compared to Western nations, relying heavily on disinformation campaigns to sustain its image. Foreign Policy

Why African nations are pushing out France. A combination of factors, including mounting anti-French sentiment, frustration with the West, and the desire to explore relationships with other powers such as the UAE, Russia, China, and Turkey, have triggered the beginning of the end for French influence in West Africa. Paris is facing significant challenges as its military and political relationships with former colonies are being redefined; Chad recently announced it would end defense cooperation with France, citing sovereignty concerns, while Senegal’s president signaled the eventual withdrawal of French troops from his country. These developments follow the ousting of French forces in Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso, where anti-French feelings have surged amid criticism of Paris’ perceived failure to curb extremist violence. French President Emmanuel Macron is rethinking his country’s military strategy in Africa, shifting from permanent troop bases to flexible, needs-based deployments and specialized training. This comes alongside efforts to boost economic ties with anglophone countries like Nigeria. Meanwhile, several African governments are seeking alternative security and economic partnerships. Despite these changes, the withdrawal of French forces has left a security vacuum in parts of the Sahel, worsening violence and extremist attacks. Critics argue that reliance on Russian mercenaries is unsustainable and ineffective in addressing long-term security needs. France’s recalibrated approach seeks to maintain its influence while addressing calls for a more equal partnership with African nations. Associated Press 

UN peacekeepers in volatile Congo guard farmers working their fields amid recurrent violence. In the Democratic Republic of Congo’s conflict-ridden east, U.N. peacekeepers from MONUSCO are protecting farmers in areas like Djugu's Dhendro village through an initiative called "Secure Harvest." This program allows farmers, many displaced by violence, to safely tend crops such as corn, beans, and potatoes without fear of attacks or theft by militias, rebel forces, or extremists. Farmers living near MONUSCO bases credit the peacekeepers for enabling their work and providing security. The mission, deployed in the country since 2010, has faced severe criticism for its perceived inability to secure the region, resulting in protests and attacks. While the U.N. Security Council initially approved the mission's end at President Felix Tshisekedi’s request, the Congolese government reversed its decision in July, asking MONUSCO to remain in troubled provinces like Ituri and North Kivu until further conditions are met. Reuters 

Turkey starts constructing rocket-launching facility in Somalia. Somali President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud has announced that Turkey is building a rocket launch facility in the East African nation, aiming to boost Ankara’s long-range rocket testing and space ambitions. Somalia's strategic location on Africa's eastern tip allows safe launches over the Indian Ocean, avoiding risks to residential areas or other nations. The project has the potential to create jobs, generate revenue, and strengthen Turkish-Somali ties. The initiative reflects Turkey's growing influence in Somalia through defense cooperation, infrastructure projects, and mediation efforts with Somaliland. The facility aligns with Ankara’s broader aspirations to join the global space race and advance its technological capabilities. The project's exact location in Somalia has not been disclosed. Bloomberg

Congo mystery disease, identified as malaria, could be something else entirely. Congolese health authorities fear that a mysterious disease outbreak in the country’s west, which has killed at least 37 people, may involve both malaria and another unidentified virus. While 86% of tested cases were positive for malaria, the Thursday death of a man with hemorrhagic fever—a symptom not typically associated with malaria—raises concerns about a concurrent viral infection. The outbreak in the remote Panzi area of Kwango province has 592 reported cases, with most victims being children under 14. Poor nutrition, endemic malaria, and low vaccination rates complicate the diagnosis and response. Experts from the WHO and Congo's health authorities are investigating, with further lab results expected soon. Limited access to the region and testing facilities has delayed efforts to identify the cause. Associated Press 

CYBER, TECH & MARKETS

Meta’s Zuckerberg says it’s ‘sad’ that EU is left behind on AI. Mark Zuckerberg has criticized the European Union’s regulatory environment for hindering Meta's ability to launch new artificial intelligence services, calling it "sad" that the company must exclude the bloc from its AI advancements. Meta had to delay the launching of its Threads platform and new AI services in the E.U. due to "regulatory uncertainty," particularly around the Digital Markets Act and strict data protection rules. Nick Clegg, Meta’s chief lobbyist, echoed these frustrations, blaming slow decision-making by E.U. regulators for delaying innovation and preventing Europeans from accessing the latest AI technologies. He urged regulators to provide clear, pragmatic guidance to foster growth and innovation in the E.U. Similar concerns have also been voiced by Apple regarding its AI rollouts in the region. Politico

U.S. seeking extradition of suspected Israeli LockBit ransomware developer. The U.S. is seeking to extradite Israeli citizen Rostislav Panev, who has been accused of working as a software developer for the LockBit ransomware group from 2019 to 2024. Panev allegedly earned $230,000 in bitcoin for creating tools for LockBit, including one that printed ransom notes on compromised systems. His arrest on August 18 followed a U.S. request, with authorities finding LockBit extortion letters and digital wallets linked to his payments at his home in Haifa. Panev’s lawyer claims he was unaware of the criminal activities and was solely a software developer. The extradition request and lifted gag order aim to prevent other LockBit suspects under investigation from fleeing to Russia. Panev’s arrest is part of broader efforts to disrupt LockBit, following intelligence breakthroughs earlier this year. LockBit's leader, Dmitry Khoroshev, was indicted and sanctioned by multiple countries, though he denies the allegations. Other affiliates, including members linked to the Evil Corp cybercrime group, have also been identified and arrested. The Record Cyberscoop 

$2.2 billion stolen from crypto platforms in cyberattacks this year, Chainalysis reports. Blockchain research firm Chainalysis has found that over $2.2 billion worth of cryptocurrency has been stolen from platforms in 2024, marking a 21% increase from the previous year. The number of incidents rose to 303, with most of the thefts occurring in the first half of the year. Major hacks included $305 million from Japan’s DMM Bitcoin in May, leading to its shutdown, and $235 million from India’s WazirX in July. Both incidents had real-world consequences, with stolen funds being laundered and tracked to platforms linked to organized crime. North Korean hacking groups were responsible for $1.34 billion of the stolen funds across 47 attacks in 2024, nearly doubling their 2023 total. These groups have become notorious for using crypto thefts to fund missile programs and evade sanctions. They executed larger and more frequent attacks in 2024, though their activity declined by 53% after a June summit between Russian President Vladimir Putin and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, during which Russia provided financial and military aid to North Korea. Despite the decline in major attacks, North Korean hackers have also shifted to stealing smaller amounts from lesser-known platforms, demonstrating adaptability and advanced tactics. Chainalysis noted continued sophistication in their operations. Between 2017 and 2023, Pyongyang reportedly netted $3 billion from crypto thefts, as per U.N. investigators. The Record

API pushes for pro-oil agenda under Trump: expanding drilling, easing regulations, and avoiding tariffs. The American Petroleum Institute (API), representing the U.S. oil industry, is lobbying the incoming administration of President-elect Donald Trump to advance policies that bolster energy dominance. In a 42-page proposal, the API outlines its agenda to expand drilling opportunities, reduce environmental regulations, and avoid tariffs that could raise costs for oil and gas operations. Key recommendations include:

• Repealing Biden-era restrictions on oil development in Alaska and increasing federal lease auctions, including in the Gulf of Mexico.
• Easing regulations on methane emissions without completely repealing rules, to maintain stability and foster global LNG sales.
• Avoiding tariffs on crude oil, natural gas, and essential materials to protect industry operations and consumer prices.
• Maintaining the Jones Act, which requires U.S.-built and operated ships for transporting equipment to offshore rigs.

While Trump’s pro-drilling stance aligns with industry goals, his remarks about unrestrained production and potential tariffs on Canadian and Mexican crude have raised concerns. The API is advocating for a balanced approach that prioritizes economic growth and regulatory stability. The organization hopes its proposals will shape a long-term energy policy that extends beyond Trump’s presidency. Bloomberg

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Brad Christian, Ethan Masucol, Elaine Shannon, Brian Bonner, Ken Hughes & Katharine Campbell contributed to this report.

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