The Real Impact of Western-Supplied Arms to Ukraine
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT: A crucial decision by Germany to provide Leopard II main battle tanks to Ukraine and to allow other Leopard-equipped militaries to do […] More
Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category
The Impact of a Single Missile
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — An explosion last week, in the eastern Polish village of Przewodow, killed two people and created heightened concern about just how quickly […] More
How Dirty and Dangerous Will Putin Get in Ukraine?
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE – Russian officials are warning of a nuclear ‘dirty bomb’ threat as Moscow continues attacking energy and civilian targets in Ukraine. It’s the […] More
China’s Post-Ukraine Playbook
Cipher Brief Expert and retired CIA Senior Executive Mark Kelton took part in a Russia panel during the recent Cipher Brief Threat Conference, along with […] More
The New Age of Energy Crisis and Diplomacy
The energy pressures created by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine are continuing to shape a new global energy future. An EU embargo on Russian coal imports […] More
The Biggest Winner in Ukraine is Beijing
Toby Esterhase: “You’re an old spy in a hurry, George. You used to say they were the worst.” “The Cipher Brief has become the most […] More
This is How Putin’s Strategic Patience May Pay Off in Ukraine
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — Russia is gradually beginning to prevail in Ukraine and the West is just starting to lose focus. Neither France and Germany nor […] More
The Potential of Integrating Intelligence and Intuition
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — When I was just starting out at CIA, there was an analyst in my group who worked in a particularly methodical way. […] More
The National Security Implications of New Rules of the Road for Cyber
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — The Cyber Initiatives Group (powered by The Cipher Brief) filed national security-related comments in support of the SEC’s proposed rules regarding Cybersecurity […] More
Putting Europe’s Energy Problem into Perspective
Foreign Ministers from Ireland, Lithuania and the Netherlands say the European Union is drafting proposals for an oil embargo on Russia as news of civilian […] More
How South Korea’s Election Could Impact U.S. National Security
Bottom Line: In the closest South Korean presidential election in decades, Yoon Suk-yeol, a former prosecutor, recently defeated the ruling party candidate, Lee Jae-myung. Yoon ran […] More
NATO’s Emergency Session Will Move Us Closer to What?
Bottom Line: As NATO members prepare for an emergency session in Brussels on Thursday, Russia is continuing a brutal campaign of destruction in Ukraine. While […] More
The Real Power of Intelligence ‘Auxiliaries’
The democratization of intelligence is changing how espionage is done – and by whom. How can states best achieve their aims in an age of […] More
The US is Engaging in a Strategy to Share Intelligence on Russia More Broadly. Is it Worth the Risk?
As US and European diplomacy efforts to de-escalate tensions along the Ukraine border — where nearly 130,000 Russian troops have amassed — seem to have […] More
How Iran is Winning, One Attack at a Time
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — This week, U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM) issued a statement confirming that “U.S. forces at Al Dhafra Air Base, near Abu Dhabi in the United […] More
Want to Dominate in Cyber? Better Change your Policy.
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE/OPINION — Following the early 2021 cyberattacks against Colonial Pipeline that led to widespread gas shortages on the U.S East Coast, the U.S. government […] More
The Value of a Well-Placed Spy in Moscow
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — I hope CIA has an agent like Dmitry Polyakov operating in Moscow right now. A Major General in Soviet Military Intelligence (the […] More
Corporate Intelligence Playbook: Part 1
FEATURE — Occasionally, we ask Cipher Brief Experts with experience in both the public and private sectors to share their thoughts on security-related issues. The […] More
Winter is Coming: Global Energy Markets and the Impact on National Security
Colder weather is settling in around much of the globe and after a year and a half of managing a global pandemic, energy markets are […] More
Chris Inglis and the Gathering Cyber Storm
Chris Inglis’ new White House office has a startup feel to it. There are desks, a few chairs, a coffee maker and a poster hanging […] More
Expert Brief: Iran, the Middle East and Strategies around Oil
The Middle East has demanded Washington’s attention on an almost weekly basis since President Biden took office in January. Since then, the White House has […] More
An Open-Source Brief: former CIA Officer Marc Polymeropoulos
We’re starting a new segment on The Cipher Brief’s Open-Source Collection Podcast and adding to the line-up of curated headlines we bring you from around […] More
Behind the Headlines: Russia in Myanmar, Peru’s New President and what Enjin means for the United Nations Global Compact
Behind the Headlines brings you expert perspectives on today’s headlines by telling you more than what happened, but also what it means. You can also […] More
Defining the IC’s Mission Space for Climate Change
As part of a special series on climate in partnership with The Intelligence Project at Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, and […] More