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The Future of Iran Lies Beyond the Regime

Mark Fowler

The Future of Iran Lies Beyond the Regime

The U.S. administration is pursuing its latest strategy: a naval blockade combined with aggressive “Outcast” sanctions, aiming to strangle the [...] More

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The Pentagon’s 2027 Drone Problem

Richard Berry

The Pentagon’s 2027 Drone Problem

On September 30, at Quantico, the Secretary of War announced a four-star command for autonomous warfare. The memorandum behind it is two pages long. [...] More

Iran Calls Itself the Victim, Its Record Tells Another Story

Ambassador Joseph DeTrani

Iran Calls Itself the Victim, Its Record Tells Another Story

Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian’s speech at the United Nations did not mention Iran’s history of terrorism and the thousands of innocent victims [...] More

Ambassador Joseph DeTrani

How the Intelligence Community Can Shape AI Trust With New Terminology

Dr. Jerry Laurienti

How the Intelligence Community Can Shape AI Trust With New Terminology

The Intelligence Community (IC) has an opportunity now to influence how we talk about, and thus how we approach, AI use in our work by formally [...] More

Dr. Jerry Laurienti

The Houthis Took the Red Sea Coast. How Did Washington Miss It?

Mark Fowler

The Houthis Took the Red Sea Coast. How Did Washington Miss It?

The recent military moves taken by Yemens Houthis resulted in stunning victories and significant strategic gains, virtually unopposed. By taking the [...] More

AI Is Coming to the Counter-Drone Fight

Walter Pincus

AI Is Coming to the Counter-Drone Fight

“Twenty years ago, the state of North Dakota poured in multiple millions of dollars to figure out what it looks like to do beyond visual [...] More

Walter Pincus Fine Print

Trump’s Rejection of Iran Offer Highlights Another Big Problem

Richard Berry

Trump’s Rejection of Iran Offer Highlights Another Big Problem

Beijing says artificial intelligence will give the state a visible hand to allocate capital. Here’s the rub: Washington’s economic authority sits in [...] More

Cipher Brief Expert View

NATO Can’t Count Its Way to Maritime Superiority

Matthew Van Wagenen

NATO Can’t Count Its Way to Maritime Superiority

Allied navies are still counting hulls. The contest at sea is now about who sees, decides, and acts first.Earlier this month, Western officials [...] More

Cipher Brief Expert View

A warning about ‘model welfare’

Mustafa Suleyman

A warning about ‘model welfare’

Download a highlighted marked-up version of the Claude ConstitutionDownload the taxonomy as a PDFThis essay was originally published here and is [...] More

When Threats Move Faster Than Institutions

Jennifer Ewbank

When Threats Move Faster Than Institutions

A major aspect of the national security story of the past year comes down to one gap. Our adversaries, and increasingly the machines they use, now [...] More

Putin Is Testing the West’s Resolve

Rob Dannenberg

Putin Is Testing the West’s Resolve

In the preface to volume one, “The Gathering Storm,” of his six-volume memoir of World War II, British Prime Minister Winston Churchill recalls a [...] More

The Military’s Race to Operationalize AI

Walter Pincus

The Military’s Race to Operationalize AI

“I feel as though I was catapulted into a dystopian future in which the battlefield (or ‘kill zone’ as Ukrainians call it) is dominated by drones and [...] More

Walter Pincus Fine Print

The Authority We Cannot Keep

Richard Berry

The Authority We Cannot Keep

Washington announced permanent control of Greenland on Friday. The two governments that must ratify it announced, in the same breath, that the text [...] More