Putin’s Health and State of Mind are very Hard Targets
OPINION — The current horrific invasion of Ukraine – including aerial bombing of civilian targets in large cities – by Russian military forces, and Russian […] More
OPINION — The current horrific invasion of Ukraine – including aerial bombing of civilian targets in large cities – by Russian military forces, and Russian […] More
As Russian troops continue to bombard Ukrainian cities and the Ukrainian government reports more than 2,000 people killed since Russian President Vladimir Putin’s invasion last […] More
OPINION — Russian President Vladimir Putin, who has repeatedly threatened the use of his nuclear weapons and now has placed his nuclear deterrence forces on […] More
A former NATO Supreme Allied Commander takes aim at the Russian President’s less-than-perfect assumptions about invading Ukraine and the opportunity presented for NATO The Cipher […] More
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE – What we are witnessing in Ukraine is a tragedy that, just a few months ago, many considered unthinkable – no, unimaginable: a […] More
OPINION — Putin’s invasion of Ukraine will generate immediate waves on the intel front, especially in HUMINT operations. Some effects will follow established patterns, but […] More
OPINION — Following a masterful combination of long-term strategy, gray zone tactics, hybrid warfare, and management of the information space, Russia’s President Putin has at […] More
OPINION – The diplomatic and military moves of world leaders can be akin to a tango, a basic pattern of steps incorporating long pauses and dramatic […] More
OPINION — As the situation in Ukraine unfolds, the prospect of serious cyberattacks has captured the attention of cyber intelligence professionals like myself and the […] More
OPINION — Is this the future of major power conflicts? Remember President Joe Biden’s January 19, 2022, press conference response to a question about sanctions […] More
British Prime Minister Boris Johnson said Thursday that an attack against a kindergarten in Ukraine is a “false flag operation designed to discredit the Ukrainians”, […] More
As US and European diplomacy efforts to de-escalate tensions along the Ukraine border — where nearly 130,000 Russian troops have amassed — seem to have […] More
OPINION — The Biden administration has introduced a new tactic that I’ve called “Deterrence by Disclosure,” as the U.S. makes public its intelligence about Moscow’s […] More
OPINION — As a national leader, Vladimir Putin deserves respect. You underestimate him at your peril. But it is a qualified respect. Putin wields the […] More
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — We have a long history of misreading Russian intentions. The classic example was the judgement by the British Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC) […] More
OPINION — Russian President Vladimir Putin has been the center of world attention since last November, when he began a buildup of Russian forces on […] More
As career intelligence and diplomatic professionals look at today’s Ukraine situation, many – like Cipher Brief Expert and former Senior Member of the British Foreign […] More
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — It is still more probable than not that Russian President Vladimir Putin will employ military force in the coming weeks. He is […] More
Search