Russia Prepares For New Phase of War – Against Ukraine and the West
SUBSCRIBER+EXCLUSIVE — The Ukraine war has reached a “pivotal moment,” a “critical stage,” an “inflection point“ – all phrases used to describe the current situation […] More
NATO
Who Will Shore Up NATO Amid Global Emergencies?
OPINION — In the 1990s, over one million North Koreans died of starvation. People in North Korea were eating grass and the bark of trees […] More
Sweden’s Path to NATO Still has Pitfalls
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE / OPINION – When the Turkish Parliament’s Foreign Affairs committee approved Turkish President Tayyip Recep Erdogan’s proposal to approve Sweden’s bid to join […] More
NATO Intel Chief Warns Russia: Ukraine ‘belongs in the NATO family’
CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING – In late 2021, NATO Assistant Secretary for Intelligence and Security David Cattler traveled to Kyiv, Ukraine, just around the time Russian […] More
The Latest
Intel Report from Ukraine as it launches Counteroffensive
CIPHER BRIEF INTEL REPORT — During a recent visit to Kyiv centered around The Cipher Brief’s Kyiv Economic and Security Forum, a small Cipher Brief […] More
NATO’s Growing Arctic Club Could Soon Give Russia, China a Chilling Show Of Force
CIPHER BRIEF REPORTING — NATO may eventually need a new name, or at least more of a polar focus, the Chief of U.S. Naval Operations […] More
Russia’s Borders Are a Source of Growing NATO Power
OPINION — A major buildup of U.S. and NATO fighting units and equipment has taken place in Eastern Europe and the Baltic nations, while most […] More
Prolonged Ukraine Conflict Looms Even as Arms Deliveries Grow
As critical as it is to discern Russia’s next battlefield moves, there are longer term implications for the United States and NATO stemming from their […] More
The Real Impact of Western-Supplied Arms to Ukraine
BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT: A crucial decision by Germany to provide Leopard II main battle tanks to Ukraine and to allow other Leopard-equipped militaries to do […] More
The Impact of a Single Missile
EXPERT PERSPECTIVE — An explosion last week, in the eastern Polish village of Przewodow, killed two people and created heightened concern about just how quickly […] More
Despite moves, Putin loses ground in Ukraine
EXPERT Q&A Read also How Dirty and Dangerous will Putin Get in Ukraine for Subscriber+Members The Cipher Brief: What do you see as the significance of […] More
NATO Prepares for Battle
In an apparent reversal of more than 200 years of military neutrality, Sweden’s governing party on Sunday, announced that it will support an application to […] More
NATO’s Emergency Session Will Move Us Closer to What?
Bottom Line: As NATO members prepare for an emergency session in Brussels on Thursday, Russia is continuing a brutal campaign of destruction in Ukraine. While […] More
This is NATO’s Casablanca Moment
OPINION — In the 1942 Hollywood classic Casablanca, Ingrid Bergman, playing Ilsa Lund famously says, “Play it, Sam.” A little under a year later, the […] More
NATO and Putin’s Bad Assumptions
A former NATO Supreme Allied Commander takes aim at the Russian President’s less-than-perfect assumptions about invading Ukraine and the opportunity presented for NATO The Cipher […] More
Why the Istanbul Summit May be Afghanistan’s Last Chance
Tim Willasey-Wilsey, Former Senior Member, British FOreign and Commonwealth Office Cipher Brief Expert Tim Willasey-Wilsey served for over 27 years in the British Foreign and […] More
Are Gas Deposits in the Mediterranean Worth a War?
The discovery of large gas deposits has refueled decades-old territorial disputes in the Mediterranean. In late July, Turkey announced it was dispatching a survey ship […] More
NATO Imagines Future Warfare
Innovation is a key component of readiness when it comes to future threats. NATO’s Innovation Hub recently commissioned a short story from author August Cole, […] More
How NATO is Innovating Toward the Future
The North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) may have been created in in 1949 by the United States, Canada, and several Western European nations in order […] More