If Iran Responds: What Might Be Their Weapon of Choice?

| Norman T. Roule
Norman T. Roule
Former National Intelligence Manager for Iran, ODNI

The U.S. re-imposed sanctions on Iran on Monday after pulling out of the JCPOA Agreement in May.  European allies responded by issuing a statement saying the nuclear agreement with Iran “is working.”  

The reimposition of sanctions followed Iranian military exercises in the Gulf last week that U.S. officials largely interpreted as a show of strength and a reminder that Iran has the ability to close the Strait of Hormuz, if it desires. 

In a webcast on Monday for Cipher Brief members, the former National Intelligence Manager for Iran at the ODNI, and current Cipher Brief expert Norman T. Roule answered questions about the likely impact that reimposing sanctions will have on Iran and the likelihood that Iran will choose to retaliate.  This is a condensed and edited version of that conversation. 

With recent evidence of Iran’s involvement in terrorist and cyber activities as well as a military show of strength, we asked Roule to talk about the likely form of retaliation, if Iran choses to take that path.

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The Author is Norman T. Roule

Norman T. Roule served for 34-years in the Central Intelligence Agency, managing numerous programs relating to Iran and the Middle East.   He served as the National Intelligence Manager for Iran (NIM-I) at the Office of the Director of National Intelligence from November 2008 until September 2017.  As NIM-I, he was the principal Intelligence Community (IC) official responsible for overseeing all aspects of national intelligence policy and activities related to Iran, to include IC... Read More

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