Anticipating China’s Next Moves on Taiwan

By Joseph DeTrani

Ambassador Joseph DeTrani is former Special envoy for Six Party Talks with North Korea and the U.S. Representative to the Korea Energy Development Organization (KEDO), as well as former CIA director of East Asia Operations. He also served as the Associate Director of National Intelligence and Mission Manager for North Korea and the Director of the National Counter Proliferation Center, while also serving as a Special Adviser to the Director of National Intelligence.  He currently serves on the Board of Managers at Sandia National Laboratories.  The views expressed represent those of the author.

As the U.S. decides on its next president, The Cipher Brief is focusing on increasing, and concerning tensions over Taiwan.  TCB’s Brad Christian spoke with Ambassador Joseph DeTrani about increased U.S. military sales to Taiwan and what indicators might signal that China is confident enough to risk an invasion?

Ambassador DeTrani is former Special envoy for Six Party Talks with North Korea and is the former CIA director of East Asia Operations.  He spent more than two decades as a member of CIA’s Senior Intelligence Service. He has also served as Special Adviser to the Director of National Intelligence and is a fluent Mandarin Chinese speaker.

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