Negotiate Now to Limit Range of Iranian Bombs

By Steven Ward

Steven R. Ward is a retired intelligence officer and former member of CIA’s senior analytic service who specializes in Iran and the surrounding region. A retired U.S. Army Reserve lieutenant colonel and graduate of the United State Military Academy at West Point, he currently is a contract historian for the Joint Chiefs of Staff Joint History Office. Between 2010 and 2012, he was a CIA Visiting Professor to the US Naval Academy at Annapolis. From 2005 to 2006 he served as the Deputy National Intelligence Officer for the Near East on the National Intelligence Council, and he was a Director for Intelligence Programs on the National Security Council from 1998 to 1999.

Earlier this summer, the Trump administration chalked up a number of supposed achievements in its ongoing efforts to contain Iran’s ballistic missile program. U.S. President Donald Trump signed into law additional sanctions, while U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley coaxed the British, French, and German UN representatives into officially criticizing the launch of Iran’s Simorgh space launch vehicle (SLV) in late July as threatening and provocative. The Trump administration quickly placed sanctions on Iranian companies that support Tehran’s space program.

While pleasing to a president and many others in both parties in Washington who appear determined to blow up the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) agreement that limits Iran’s nuclear program, these efforts are as inaccurately off-target as the Iranian missile strike on terrorists in Syria last June. Worse, they display a fundamental unwillingness to understand and account for Tehran’s genuine political and security needs. This blinds Washington to opportunities to limit Iran’s ballistic missile forces to their current ranges, which are well short of posing an intercontinental threat to the U.S. homeland.

“The Cipher Brief has become the most popular outlet for former intelligence officers; no media outlet is even a close second to The Cipher Brief in terms of the number of articles published by formers.” —Sept. 2018, Studies in Intelligence, Vol. 62

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