The Cipher Brief: National Security news, analysis and expert commentary.

The Open Source Report

Israel launches air strikes in Iran, with muted response from both sides

CIA Director Burns warns Ukraine could lose war by end of year

Senate to vote on Section 702 with expiration deadline looming

FBI Director Wray warns Chinese hackers seeking to target U.S. critical infrastructure

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Cipher Brief Expert Perspectives


Israel Strikes Iran

BOTTOM LINE UP FRONT – Less than one week after Iran’s attack against Israel, Israel struck Iran early on Friday, hitting a military air base […] More

On The Cipher Brief’s Digital Channel

Dispatches from Kyiv: Glenn Corn


Alternative Perspectives


Dispatches from Kyiv: Paul Kolbe

Dispatches from Kyiv: General David Petraeus (Ret.)

Disinformation: A Weapon to Destroy Democracy?


Book Reviews

The Dead Drop

Dead Drop

This Week’s Dead Drop: April 19

PAYBACKS ARE HELL: Much has been made about Russian President Vladimir Putin’s penchant for making individuals who have defected from Russia or otherwise offended his regime, to pay a price. The 2018 attack on Sergei Skripal is just one example.  But apparently, the Kremlin is not the only outfit that goes after citizens who have opted to change sides.  Recently, we’ve been reading stories about Vasily Prozorov, a former Ukrainian intelligence officer, who defected to Russia back in 2018. Video emerged of Prozorov starting his Toyota Land Cruiser in a Moscow parking lot [...] More

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Podcasts

State Secrets

The Cipher Brief made its first reporting trip to Ukraine in February of 2022. That’s when we first met Tymofiy Mylovanov, the President of the Kyiv School of Economics. When we sat down with him then, Ukraine was preparing to mark one year since Russia’s brutal invasion. Mylovanov was sober at the time about what it would take to win the war and rebuild the country. Just over a year later, with an aid package that has been held up for months in Washington - I sat down with him again to talk about what it will take to rebuild Ukraine even as the war rages on - and why he still has hope even amid the challenges – for what lies ahead.

Cover Stories: Spies, Books & Entertainment

CNN anchor and Chief National Security Analyst Jim Sciutto is out with a new book called “The Return of Great Powers: Russia, China and the Next World War.” Drawing on his reporting from current hot spots like Ukraine, Taiwan and the Middle East - and in depth interviews with top U.S. and foreign leaders, Sciutto has written about the precarious nature of global security and how developments in each of these hot spots impacts the other. We’ll talk to him about how Chinese President Xi and Russian President Putin have similar views about their destinies in expanding their countries borders.

The Fight

There are few who understand this war better than Nataliya Bugayova. She lived and worked in Ukraine for years. Her present focus – as a non-resident fellow and the former Russia team lead at The Institute for the Study of War, is on the analysis of the Kremlin’s operations and on what’s happening in Ukraine today. She also serves as Director of Strategic Intelligence at a company called Vertical Knowledge.

Bugayova was part of a visiting delegation with The Cipher Brief that was led by General David Petraeus last fall. We sat down shortly afterward, to get her perspective on how this war is ‘really’ going and how she sees it ending.


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Since retiring from CIA in 2017, I’ve been honored to be a part of the exceptional Cipher Brief team providing expert assessment – whether it’s nuclear proliferation, transnational terrorism, and climate change or hard targets like Iran, North Korea, China, and Russia – The Cipher Brief delivers without the predisposed ideological bias so often prevalent in today’s discourse.

Daniel Hoffman Former CIA Chief of Station

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Lieutenant General (Ret.) Guy C. Swann III Lieutenant General (Ret.)

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Lt. Gen. Michael Groen (Ret.) Former Director, Joint Artificial Intelligence Center

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John McLaughlin Former Deputy Director of the CIA

The Cipher Brief means intelligence for business. And business has never needed a clear global picture more than now. I’ve been doing this for nearly fifty years and I have never seen the globe more complicated nor the effects of distant events more immediately felt. Seasoned intelligence professionals speak freely and candidly every day on The Cipher Brief and bring their intellect, their experience and their global networks to bear on what will be tomorrow’s news.

General Michael Hayden Former Director, CIA and NSA

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